Tuesday, April 30, 2013

NEWS,30.04.2013



Willem-Alexander sworn in as Dutch king


The Netherlands' Willem-Alexander was sworn in as Europe's youngest monarch on Tuesday after his mother, queen Beatrix, abdicated and his country hailed the avowedly 21st-century king with a massive, orange-hued party.
Beatrix, 75, shed a tear before signing the act of abdication at the Royal Palace in Amsterdam, witnessed by Willem-Alexander, 46, his Argentine-born Queen Maxima, 41, and members of the government.
A cry went up from the 25 000 crowd in the Dam, the main square opposite the palace where the signing was shown on giant screens.
Willem-Alexander, Maxima and Beatrix appeared in front of the crowds on the palace balcony, bedecked in roses and oranges, before heading for the enthronement ceremony in the neighbouring Nieuwe Kerk.
Beatrix accompanied the king and queen's three daughters to the church, including their eldest, now Princess of Orange Catharina-Amalia, 9.
The Dutch monarch is sworn in before a joint session of the houses of parliament in the deconsecrated church, rather than crowned, because church and royalty are separated in the Netherlands.
The king entered the church at a stately pace with Maxima under an awning of fishing nets, an ancient tradition in the seafaring nation.
Before taking his oath, the king thanked his "dear mother" for the "many beautiful years during which she was our queen."
"I'm treading in your footsteps. I have a clear vision of my office. But no one knows what the future brings," he said.
"Wherever that path leads and however far it goes, I will carry your wisdom and warmth with me," he said.
Ermine-lined cloak
The king swore "to preserve the independence and territory of the kingdom to the best of my ability ... so help me God."
His ermine-lined cloak has been criticised by animal rights activists in the Netherlands, but Willem-Alexander noted that it is old and so no blood had recently been shed for it.
MPs and senators then swore an oath to the king, although 16 MPs have refused to do so saying they have already pledged allegiance to the constitution.
A who's who of royals-in-waiting, including Britain's Prince Charles, Spain's Prince Felipe and Japan's Prince Naruhito and his wife, Crown Princess Masako, attended the ceremony.
Princess Masako is on her first trip abroad in nearly seven years, while Prince Charles also attended Beatrix's enthronement in 1980.
Former UN secretary general Kofi Annan and International Olympic Committee head Jacques Rogge also attended.
Police escorted two republicans from in front of the royal palace shortly before the abdication after they brandished a large sign reading: "I'm not a subject".
They were escorted to an authorised protest area but police later apologised for detaining the anti-monarchists.
Willem-Alexander is the first Dutch king since 1890 and the first of a new wave of relatively youthful European monarchs.
"Beatrix has been queen for 33 years, our queen," Ruud, 49, told AFP on the Dam after the abdication, a tear in his eye.
"She was a stabilising factor and a symbol of our country. It's sad to see her go after all these years, a page in our collective history is turning."
Million visitors
Amsterdam's population is set to double with around a million visitors flooding the city's streets and canals to mark the abdication and enthronement.
Over 10 000 police have been deployed in Amsterdam, with authorities saying they had arrested 70 people since Monday.
The monarchy is popular in the Netherlands, but some question the cost of the royal household and republicans are seeking to get the king's €825 000 tax-free salary reduced.
While Beatrix was known for her formal court, Willem-Alexander has already said that he will not be a "protocol fetishist".
Beatrix's enthronement in 1980 was marred by violent protests and running street battles over a housing crisis that left the city looking like a war zone.
Anti-royalists this time have been allotted six locations in Amsterdam to stage protests. But only around 100 republicans turned up for a protest at just one of the locations, an AFP correspondent reported.
Koningslied
Preparations for the day have been overshadowed by a rancorous debate about the event's official song, known as the Koningslied, which many considered ill-fitting, with its mix of traditional and rap music.
The nation will now sing the Koningslied as one on Tuesday evening, just before the royal family heads off on a water pageant behind Amsterdam's central train station.
Maxima is largely responsible for having made her husband popular after an allegedly boozy youth which earned him the nickname "Prince Pils".
Ever smiling, she has mastered the Dutch language and even taken a charity swim in Amsterdam's canals, endearing herself further in a country that expects their royals to be at once normal and regal.
Speaking ahead of the enthronement, Willem-Alexander said that "people can address me as they wish because then they can feel comfortable".
He stressed he wanted to "be a king that can bring society together, representative and encouraging in the 21st century".

Cyprus parliament approves €10bn bailout


Cyprus's parliament approved on Tuesday an EU bailout including provisions to impose substantial losses on bank depositors and wind down one of the island's biggest banks.
With a razor-thin majority of just two votes, lawmakers approved terms accompanying €10bn ($13.10bn) in aid from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
In a show of hands, 29 lawmakers from the three parties in the centre-right government approved the motion, with 27 voting against.

Government officials had warned the island would fall into chaotic default, unable to pay salaries or pensions, as early as next month without emergency funding.

"Unfortunately the (bailout) is a one-way street for us. It will avert disorderly default and gives, albeit with many hurdles, some prospect of getting us out of the storm," said Averof Neophytou, head of the governing right-wing Democratic Rally party.

The bailout was unlike any other aid deal, controversially forcing depositors to foot the cost of recapitalising banks exposed to debt-crippled
Greece.

Opposition parties argued that the bailout would keep
Cyprus in perpetual bondage to foreign lenders.

"A 'yes' from
Cyprus's parliament is by far the biggest defeat in our 8 000-year history," said lawmaker George Perdikis of the Greens party at an extraordinary parliamentary session opened on Tuesday.

"Its democratically elected representatives have a gun to their head to agree to a deal of enslavement," he said.

Cyprus, the euro zone's third smallest country, is bracing for at least two more years of economic misery and record unemployment as terms on the bailout start to bite.

Attempts to agree a deal triggered financial chaos last month when parliament rejected a plan to make both insured and uninsured depositors pay a levy to fund the recapitalisation of banks heavily exposed to debt-crippled
Greece.

It was followed by a two-week bank closure. The fallback option was to wind down one of the banks, Laiki, and impose losses of up to 60% on uninsured deposits - over €100 000 - in a second, Bank of
Cyprus.

About 300 demonstrators gathered outside parliament on Tuesday, calling politicians "thieves". One group brought along a fake gallows, which they said was for lawmakers.

Communist AKEL, in government until it lost presidential elections in February, said
Cyprus should seek alternative forms of funding, including possibly an exit from the euro currency. The island adopted the single currency in 2008.

"We know leaving the euro is an equally painful option, but reinstating a national currency could offer prospects for growth in the future," AKEL leader Andros Kyprianou said.

AKEL had made the initial application for financial aid in June 2012.


US home prices rise, helps economy


US home prices rose in February at their fastest rate in almost seven years, a fresh sign the housing market recovery will help counter the drag on the economy from government belt tightening.
The S&P/Case Shiller index of 20 metropolitan areas released on Tuesday showed single-family home prices rose 9.3% in February from a year earlier.
The data reinforces the view that rising home prices could make Americans feel better about spending this year, helping counter a hit to economic growth from tax hikes and government spending cuts.
"This will be a powerful positive fundamental not only for housing but presumably helpful for consumer spending as well," said Stephen Stanley an economist at Pierpont Securities in Stamford, Connecticut.
Another report showed US consumer confidence rebounded in April as Americans felt better about the outlook for the economy and their income prospects.
The Conference Board, a private industry group, said its index of consumer attitudes rose to 68.1. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a reading of 60.8.
Still, there appears to be a growing risk that weakness in the labor market and broader economy could dial down the housing recovery's strength. Hiring slowed dramatically in March and economic growth was lackluster in the first quarter, raising fears the economy could struggle to cope with Washington's austerity drive.
Business activity in the US Midwest unexpectedly contracted in April to its lowest level since September 2009 as a gauge of employment pulled back, another report showed.
The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago business barometer fell to 49, falling short of economists' expectations for 52.5.
Other recent data has pointed to less steam building in the housing market, but rising prices could give construction firms more incentive to build new homes and increase inventories. A dearth of homes on the market has held back sales.
The S&P/Case Shiller index showed prices gained 1.2% in February on a seasonally adjusted basis from January, topping forecasts for a 0.9% gain.
Following a spectacular collapse that fueled the 2007-09 recession, the housing sector appears to have turned a corner and prices have been rising since February 2012.
More monetary stimulus
The data came as the Federal Reserve prepared to open a two-day meeting on monetary policy. Yields on US government debt fell on the prospect the Fed would continue buying bonds to support the economy. US stock prices also fell.
A recent slew of weak US growth data has raised expectations the Fed will keep its pace of bond buying at $85bn a month throughout the year.
The Fed has kept overnight interest rates near zero since late 2008 and it has tripled its balance sheet to about $3 trillion through purchases of securities, which are aimed at pushing longer-term borrowing costs lower.
A separate report showed US labour costs rose a modest 0.3% in the first quarter, pointing to a lack of inflationary pressures that could give the Fed space to continue its monetary stimulus.
Wages and salaries, which account for 70% of employment costs, increased 0.5% in the first quarter, and were up 1.6% in the 12 months through March, according to the report from the labour department.
Workers' benefits rose 0.1% during the quarter, the slowest pace since 1999. The data may have been distorted by an error found in benefits data for sales and office workers, but the department said the data error probably did not have a major impact.

 

Germany to invest more in Africa


Germany is to increase its economic investment in South Africa and other African states, Foreign Affairs Minister Guido Westerwelle said in Pretoria on Monday.
His country was seeking partners in Africa to do business with as equals, he told reporters after meeting his South African counterpart Maite Nkoana-Mashabane in Pretoria.
"This is a strategic decision of the government in Germany to seek new opportunities in Africa, especially in South Africa. We think Africa is a continent of opportunities.
"We need investments. We need to trade and establish partnerships between equals. We need partnerships in skills development, vocational training, education and science."
Westerwelle is leading a Germany business delegation which has toured Ghana and will be heading to Mozambique.
South Africa was, however, Germany’s "most important economic and political partner" on the continent.
"Last year, our trade was around €14bn and over 600 German companies provide over 90 000 jobs in South Africa," he said.
"South Africa is also an important partner to us in world politics. We followed with close attention the Brics [Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa] summit you hosted in March. It shows how the world is changing and there are new heavyweights like South Africa and we are seeking close co-operation."
He lauded South Africa for its interventions in strife-torn countries on the African continent.
"We value highly South Africa’s commitment to peace and security in Africa, for instance the mediation efforts by former president Thabo Mbeki in Sudan. We pay tribute to your peace-keeping efforts."
Nkoana-Mashabane said Germany extensively supported South Africa’s development priorities and had allocated around R3.4m during the 2012/13 period.
She said Germany was South Africa's third largest trading partner and its second largest investor.
"Africa is on a massive infrastructure building [exercise] which will help unlock the potential of our continent."

EU to protect savers from bank collapses


Depositors should be the very last to suffer losses when a bank collapses, according to a proposal being discussed by European Union countries and seen by Reuters, which would shield savers from the kind of losses they face in Cyprus.
The idea comes as member countries finalise a new draft law for the European Union that could make losses for larger savers a permanent feature of future banking crises. EU officials, however, are nervous that such a regime will panic savers, prompting them to withdraw money.
In the paper, outlining the process of 'bailing in' savers and other steps to deal with troubled banks, officials in Brussels said that it might be wise to put depositors behind all bondholders when dividing losses from a bank collapse.
Small savers, with less than €100 000, will, in any event, be protected. But officials also raise the possibility of allowing national exemptions from losses for big depositors in their country if a bank fails.
By striking such a compromise, officials hope to rebuild confidence after a botched attempt earlier this year to impose losses on depositors in Cyprus - initially also aimed at small savers although this was later changed.
A more favourable treatment of big depositors in the new EU law, charting how to deal with failing banks in a regime that could start in 2015, is backed by the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund.
Ireland, which currently holds the rotating EU presidency, is also pushing for such concessions ahead of a meeting of EU finance ministers in May.
"This would mean that they are not excluded from bail-in, but other creditors would first absorb losses to their capacity before eligible depositors are bailed-in," officials said in the paper, dated April 29.
Before any such softening of provisions, however, EU diplomats will need to convince Germany, which remains sceptical about making such concessions, according to one official familiar with the talks.
Policymakers have sought to portray the losses suffered by depositors at two of Cyprus's banks as a one-off, but experts believe it marks a change in approach in how Europe deals with troubled banks, sparing taxpayers who have been on the hook for previous bailouts.
"After Cyprus, a number of states would like more clarity," said one official who is involved in the discussions.
"It may be that we give depositors preference, which means that they have a higher likelihood of getting back their money."






Monday, April 29, 2013

NEWS,29.4.2013



Japan PM to meet Putin, a first in 10yrs


Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Monday for the first such top-level visit in a decade that aims to break years of stalemate in a territorial dispute dating from World War II.

The failure of the two sides since the 1950s to agree a peace treaty owing to the dispute over ownership of the Pacific
Kuril islands chain has held up full potential of bilateral ties.

However since returning to power in December, Abe has made a priority of improving relations with
Russia. Before leaving Tokyo, he reaffirmed his desire to restart stalled talks over the dispute.

"I would like to build a trusted personal relationship with President Putin," Abe told reporters in
Tokyo ahead of his departure for the three-day trip.

"I will work on boosting Japan-Russia relations so that this visit will mark a restart in stalled negotiations over a peace treaty," Abe said.

Abe and Putin were expected to release a joint statement confirming they would restart territorial talks, a Japanese government source told Kyodo News.

Biggest delegation ever

Abe and Putin are due to hold one-on-one talks at the Kremlin, followed by meetings involving business delegations from both sides. They were then to give a joint news conference.

The last such top-level official visit was by then Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, who travelled to
Moscow to meet Putin in January 2003.

Former prime ministers Yasuo Fukada and Taro Aso visited in 2008 and 2009 for shorter, lower-level trips.

Abe's visit is also taking place after an intriguing trip to
Moscow in February by Abe's close ally, the former Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori, who delivered a message from the new premier to Putin.

Abe is being accompanied by a business delegation of 120 people, the biggest ever such group to join a Japanese prime minister on a visit to
Russia.

Japan is particularly interested in increasing its import of Russian energy resources as it seeks to diversify supplies in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear disaster

'Unforgivable outrage'

Russia's trade with Japan reached $32bn in 2012. But
Russia, despite its size and proximity, was only Japan's 15th most important trading partner, in a sign of the unrealised potential of relations.

The dispute surrounds the southernmost four of the
Kuril islands - known in Japan as the Northern Territories - which have been controlled by Moscow since they were seized by Soviet troops at Stalin's behest in 1945 at the end of World War II.

The Kremlin said in a statement that
Russia believed that "dialogue in the interests of arriving at a mutually acceptable solution must be held in a calm, respectful atmosphere."

Yet there remains little hope of an immediate breakthrough, with
Tokyo insisting the four islands currently inhabited by around 16 500 Russians are its territory and Moscow showing no hint of a compromise.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has twice visited the island of Kunashir, called Kunashiri in Japan, infuriating
Tokyo.

Medvedev's first visit to the island, which juts out past the north-eastern tip of
Japan's Hokkaido island, in November 2010 - when he still held the post of president - was condemned by Tokyo as an "unforgivable outrage".

One solution mooted in the past could involve
Russia ceding control of the two smallest islands of Shikotan and Khabomai and keeping the much larger Kunashir and Iturup (known as Etorofu in Japan).

But even this would require massive concessions from both sides that would be unacceptable for nationalists.

After
Russia, Abe was due to visit Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey for talks with leaders there.

 

Mine strife a test for private equity

 

With the world's largest miners flocking to sell assets, cost cuts across the industry and a virtual drought in buyers, private equity funds may finally be tempted into a sector long seen as potentially lucrative but risky.
Industry veterans say the coming months will be a test of whether private equity funds can turn intentions into investments and become more than niche players in an industry that has traditionally relied on public markets for cash.
"Interest from private equity in the sector is the highest I have ever seen," one veteran industry banker said.
Another senior industry adviser described a "now or never" moment despite volatility in commodity prices, citing what could be a drawn out period of low valuations in which traditional buyers - largely, other miners - are kept out by demands they refocus and cut back rather than grow.
Volumes certainly point to increased interest.
According to research and data group Preqin which studies private equity, eight natural resources funds focused solely on mining raised an aggregate $8.5bn in 2012, more than the years 2006-2010 combined, though data did not show how much was spent on acquisitions.
Analysis by consultancy Ernst & Young suggests that private capital investors accounted for 21% of mining deal activity globally in the nine months to September 30 last year, against just 12% for the same period in 2011.
Smaller miners and developers are also eager to tap alternative sources for funding. In a sign of how tough the markets now are, the Toronto stock exchange - the prime destination for emerging producers - has not had one mining IPO in the first quarter, for the first time in a decade.
"There are a lot of buying opportunities, and for those who have the funds, you might find there is less competition, and that is what private equity looks for - a good deal," said Jason Burkitt, UK mining leader at PricewaterhouseCoopers.
Gold rush?
Private equity firms have so far steered clear of mining because of the scale and political risk involved in many operations.
Volatile commodity prices and long time horizons are also off-putting, not to mention that the investment firms often lack the manpower or expertise to cover global projects.
Typically, funds have stuck to niche assets, like high-end aluminium products for the aerospace and auto industry, in the case of Alcan Engineered Products, later Constellium, bought from Rio Tinto by funds led by Apollo in 2011.
Now, however, heavyweights like Apollo but also KKR and Carlyle are joining specialised energy-focused First Reserve, Denham Capital and Resource Capital in betting more heavily on the sector, drawn in by the prospect of an extended period of cheap prices and an unprecedented funding drought.
Apollo, which aims to invest $100m to $500m per transaction, closed a $1.3bn natural resources fund in 2012 which will invest in areas including oil, gas and mining.
The fund was one of several to look at BHP Billiton's majority stake in Canadian diamond mine EKATI, which also elicited interest from rival KKR before being sold to miner Dominion Diamond Corp.
KKR has also been named as a potential suitor for Rio's majority stake in the Northparkes copper-gold mine.
Smaller firms in pole position
However industry bankers and specialist funds both questioned whether big name private equity firms would be able to successfully compete in the mining sector.
"Size sometimes can be a disadvantage in our environment. You need to make decisions quickly - you need to have the coal face not too far removed from decision making process, so you can react quickly," Sierra Rutile's chief executive, John Sisay, said. The Sierra Leone-focused mineral sands producer's largest shareholder is specialist fund Pala.
"Smaller firms are able to do that better."
Traditional funds may also lack the extensive specialist teams needed to evaluate projects across commodities and across the world, and may be unable to invest for the longer term.
One of the top shareholders in EMED Mining, a London-listed company redeveloping the former Rio Tinto copper mine near Seville, is specialist Resource Capital.
"If you are playing the development game you are playing the development timeline," EMED's chief executive, Harry Anagnostaras-Adams, said.
Bert Koth, a Perth, Australia-based director at Denham Capital, also questioned the idea that traditional firms would step in. Although mining firms are shedding assets at a pace not seen for decades, many are doing so at auctions which can drive up prices - something private equity is likely to want to avoid.
"Generalist PE firms have a pretty poor track record as they don't fully understand the risks involved. I query whether they really appreciate what they are getting into," Koth said.

Iran squeezed by higher edible oil costs


Iran is having to pay a premium for basic foodstuffs such as cooking oil, highlighting the increasing strain on Tehran from Western sanctions aimed at its disputed nuclear programme, even though the sanctions don't cover food.
Wilmar International, the world's largest listed planter, and Mewah International, a $570m edible oils processor - both listed in Singapore - are driving sales to Iran on long-term contracts, with Middle Eastern trading sources reporting premiums of up to $30 a tonne to the cash benchmark.
Food shipments are not targeted under the sanctions, but the financial squeeze has cut off firms operating in Iran from much of the global banking system and pushed inflation above 30%. Oil exports, Iran's major source of hard currency, have more than halved since 2011.
Food exporters largely shun Iranian deals, with a volatile rial currency deepening risk and foreign banks wary of financing the food trade for fear of reputational damage.
A shopkeeper in Tehran told Reuters he had put up his price of imported cooking oil by up to 30% this month. A 900 millilitre bottle of cooking oil costs around 39 000 rials ($3.18), compared to a 1 litre bottle that sells for $3.10 in Britain and $1.20 in palm oil-producing Malaysia. Another storekeeper said prices had been stable for weeks.
"One woman man"
Iran has shifted to Southeast Asian palm oil as sanctions and limited supplies have disrupted imports of soybeans and oil from Argentina. Malaysia, the world's second-largest palm oil producer, saw exports to Iran jump 60% last year to a record 548 603 tonnes - still less than 5% of Malaysia's total exports of about 17 million tonnes.
Wilmar and Mewah dominate the trade with Iran where demand for high-value refined palm olein, used in cooking oil, can reach 500 000-700 000 tonnes a year.
Wilmar sells to Saudi Arabian food company Savola, which buys palm oil to feed its edible oil processors in Iran, three Middle Eastern trading sources told Reuters.
They said Wilmar demands a premium of $20-$30 per tonne to cover potential payment delays and interest charges.
Wilmar said it does not comment on specific contracts. Savola did not respond to requests for comment.
"Savola is a one woman man. It sticks to one palm oil company to supply its refineries and it's Wilmar for the past few years," said a Dubai trading source close to Savola. "Payments can be slow, but there are ways around it. The money will be banked in (Saudi) riyals, euros and US dollars from Turkish banks. Sometimes, the money will come via India."
Mewah last month shipped 75 310 tonnes of palm oil to Iran, its best month so far this year, shipping documents show.
"Mewah is the go-to person for Iran. It buys the palm oil from Malaysian firms and then sells it to Iran," said a trading executive from a Malaysian plantation who deals with Mewah. "They are established in the Iran trade and have deep pockets to withstand payment delays."
Planters who have sent cargoes to Iran with Mewah include subsidiaries of IOI Corp, Kuala Lumpur Kepong and a Malaysian unit of Wilmar, cargo surveyor documents show. Officials at those companies declined comment.
Shipping documents obtained by Reuters show Wilmar exported at least 114 000 tonnes of refined palm oil to Iran from the Indonesian island of Sumatra alone last year. In January of this year, Wilmar shipped another 10 700 tonnes to Iran from Sumatra.
"Wilmar doesn't do high stakes gambling. So it has taken a corporate guarantee from Savola's head office in Saudi Arabia," said a Southeast Asian trading source who has done deals with Savola. "It's become standard practice."
Savola has 832,000 tonnes of annual capacity in Iran, giving it nearly 40% market share in a country of over 74 million people. The firm's revenues from Iran increased by almost a third last year to 4.4bn riyals ($1.17bn), about 42% of its global edible oil sales.
Captive market
Iran is proving more profitable than price-sensitive China, where competition means Wilmar only profits from refining margins. And India, the world's top palm oil buyer, has imposed higher import taxes to stem the flow of cheap refined edible oil from Indonesia and Malaysia.
With more than half a million hectares of oil palm estates in Indonesia and Malaysia, Wilmar makes most of its sales, and profits, from trading with India and China.
"Indonesia is looking for new markets for its refined palm oil. Iran is a natural choice, it has captive consumers. They desperately need the oil and they will pay a premium," said a Singaporean trader, who didn't want to be named as he is not authorised to speak to the media.
So far this year, shipping records show Mewah has exported 168 100 tonnes of palm oil from Malaysia to ports in Iran. Most cargoes are taken up by private Iranian buyers though state food procurement firm GTC is also an occasional buyer, traders said.
"We do come into the palm oil market from time to time to buy. These are private deals," a GTC official told Reuters from Tehran. He declined to discuss the deals.

Central banks prop up global economy


Five years after the onset of the global financial crisis, the world economy is in such a chronic condition that the European Central Bank might cut interest rates this week and the Federal Reserve is likely to indicate no let-up in the stimulus it is providing the US economy.
With the eurozone economy in recession, momentum is building for the ECB to lower interest rates for the first time since July 2012, according to senior sources involved in the deliberations.
If the bank does not act on Thursday, a quarter-point cut in June is considered a racing certainty.
The ECB is the most conservative of the world's main central banks. Its main short-term rate, now at 0.75%, is higher than the equivalent rate of the Fed, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. And unlike its peers the ECB has not engaged in quantitative easing - printing new money to buy bonds.
But the ECB seems to be softening. "I would argue that the ECB should be thinking of easing policy; whether they are currently is more debatable," said Stephen King, global chief economist for HSBC in London.
Only a small majority of 76 economists polled by Reuters expected a cut as early as this week.
The swing factor for King is what is happening to Germany, the eurozone's largest economy. Until recently, Germany had been showing resilience thanks to its export sector. But April's survey of purchasing managers and the Munich IFO institute's monthly poll were distinctly soft.
"Germany is becoming more like everybody else. It is being dragged down, whether it likes it or not, through weakness in southern Europe, slowing growth in China and the depreciation of the Japanese yen," he said.
"None of these things are good for Germany. So the weaker Germany becomes, the easier it is to agree on a common monetary policy," he added.
China's official purchasing managers' survey for April, to be released on Wednesday, is likely to provide more evidence that the world's second-largest economy is shifting down to a lower trend rate of growth after three decades of averaging around 10 percent a year.
Economists polled by Reuters expect the index derived from the survey to have edged up to 51.0 from 50.9 in March, holding above the threshold of 50 that demarcates month-on-month expansion from contraction.
Jian Chang, who tracks the Chinese economy for Barclays in Hong Kong, prefers to describe the economy as being in a stabilisation rather than a recovery phase.
"As long as the PMI comes in above 50 it will show that modest, slow growth is continuing," she said.
Global markets have become addicted to the drug of super-fast Chinese growth and tend to react badly to signs of softness. But Chang said the authorities in Beijing, intent on guiding the economy to a more sustainable growth rate, are not panicking.
There has been no big investment package, for example, to support the government's urbanisation drive.
Policymakers will be comfortable as long as growth for the year as a whole comes in above their target of 7.5%, she said. Barclays is forecasting an outcome of 7.9%.
Whether that target is met will depend in part on an improvement in exports to the European Union and to the United States, which on Friday reported a disappointingly soft first-quarter gross domestic product growth rate of 2.5%.
The pace of expansion has averaged just 1.4% over the last two quarters and 1.8% over the past year, noted Jay Feldman, director of US economic research at Credit Suisse in New York.
"All in all, growth is persistent, but decidedly underwhelming. At this trajectory, achieving a labour market recovery beyond the fits-and-starts progress of the last few years will be a challenge," he told clients.
Figures this week are likely to fit into the same pattern.
The Institute of Supply Management's April manufacturing survey is forecast to dip to 51.0 from 51.3 in March, while the economy is likely to have generated 150 000 jobs in April, up from just 88 000 in March but not enough to reduce the jobless rate from 7.6%.
Because the Fed has pledged to stick to its super-loose policy until unemployment falls to 6.5%, the central bank is expected to confirm at this week's policy meeting that it will keep buying $85bn in bonds every month to keep bond yields low and encourage investment.
Talk had started to grow that the Fed might start to wind down, or taper its quantitative easing programme. But after the latest economic data, the central bank's tone is likely to change, according to Steve Ricchiuto, chief US economist for Mizuho Securities in New York.
"They're going to come out of this meeting with a more balanced view on tapering and say, 'we could increase or we could taper'," he said.
Indeed, price pressures are so muted because of slack in the economy that some Fed policymakers have raised the prospect of injecting even more stimulus.
The core personal consumption expenditure deflator, the Fed's favourite inflation gauge, rose just 1.3% in the year to March, Friday's GDP report showed.
"Low inflation leaves that much more leeway for the Fed to focus on growth and jobs. If the core PCE index falls much farther, look for 'inflation being too low' to show up in more Fed communications," Feldman said.

Netanyahu: Iran hasn't crossed red line


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Monday, Iran had not crossed the "red line" he set for its nuclear programme, despite an assessment to the contrary by a former Israeli intelligence chief.
At the UN in September, Netanyahu drew a red line across a cartoon bomb to illustrate the point at which he said, Iran will have amassed enough uranium at 20% fissile purity to fuel one nuclear bomb if enriched further.
He said then that Iran could reach that threshold by mid-2013.
Last week, Amos Yadlin, a former chief of Israeli military intelligence, told a security conference in Tel Aviv, that "the Iranians have crossed the red line" Netanyahu drew at the UN General Assembly.
Without referring directly to Yadlin, Netanyahu said at a meeting on Monday of his Likud-Beitenu parliamentary faction, that Iran's nuclear activities remained short of his benchmark.
"Iran is continuing with its nuclear programme. It has yet to cross the red line I presented at the UN, but it is approaching it systematically," he said in broadcast remarks.
"It must not be allowed to cross it."
Uranium usage
The Islamic republic says it is enriching uranium only for peaceful energy and medical purposes.
Israel, widely believed to be the Middle East's only nuclear-armed power, has issued veiled warnings for years, that it might attack Iran if international sanctions and big power diplomacy fail to curb what it regards as a drive by Tehran to develop atomic weapons.
Israel has long insisted on the need for a convincing military threat and setting clear lines beyond, which Iran's nuclear activity should not advance.
It says this is the only way to persuade Iran to bow to international pressure, by curbing enrichment activity and allowing unfettered UN inspections.

Venezuela signs $1bn agreement with Cuba


Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro wrapped up a two-day visit to Cuba late on Sunday in which the two allies reaffirmed their strategic alliance, signing $1bn in co-operation agreements.

The visit, which came just two weeks after Maduro's election to replace the late Hugo Chavez, was hailed as great success by state media, which said it will help
Havana and Caracas "strengthen our union."

The two countries said they signed 51 agreements encompassing health, education, transportation, sports, energy and special "social missions".

Maduro, before he departed the island, hailed his nation's relationship with
Cuba as "a strategic alliance that transcends the times; more than an alliance, it is a brotherhood".

Cuba is only the second country Maduro has visited since his 14 April election victory.

Maduro held talks with President Raul Castro, who reaffirmed
Cuba's "unyielding will to continue co-operation in solidarity with Venezuela, determined to share our fate with the heroic Venezuelan people".

He also held a separate, five-hour meeting with Fidel Castro, aged 86, the retired leader of the Cuban revolution, who paid homage to his dear friend Chavez and the alliance that the two nations forged in October 2002.

12-year-old leftist relationship

The relationship has been crucial to
Cuba, shoring up a Soviet-style economy that has floundered since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989.

The deal is
Cuba's biggest source of cash, well ahead of money sent home by expatriate Cubans, tourism or exports of nickel and tobacco.

The two allies also have engaged in a variety of joint projects, like a refinery in
Cienfuegos, Cuba.

An estimated 40 000 Cuban doctors, technicians and advisers work in Venezuela, which supplies Cuba with 130 000 barrels of oil a day as part of a 12-year-old relationship that has closely bound together their leftist, anti-US governments.

But the Cuban connection also remains a point of heated contention in
Venezuela, which split 50.8-49 in the elections to succeed Chavez and saw some 700 000 people switch to the opposition.

During the election campaign, opposition candidate Henrique Capriles repeatedly attacked the "gifts" sent from
Venezuela to Cuba, calling Maduro "Cuba's candidate" and demanding that Caracas cut off oil supplies to Havana.

Venezuela's National Electoral Council plans to begin an expanded audit of the results on Monday, but cautioned the move cannot overturn Maduro's win.
The opposition has until the end of next week to file suit with the Supreme Court to contest the outcome.