Obama to offer entitlement cuts in budget
President Barack Obama will make key concessions to Republican foes next week when he unveils his US budget that proposes cuts to cherished entitlement programs, the White House said on Friday.
Obama's fiscal blueprint slashes the deficit by $1.8 trillion over 10 years, in what a senior administration official described as a "compromise offer" that cuts federal spending, finds savings in Social Security, and raises tax revenue from the wealthy.
Republicans led by House Speaker John Boehner are widely opposed to any new tax hikes, after the president secured $600bn in increased tax revenue in a year-end deal.
But Obama's concession to conservatives in the form of reduced cost-of-living payouts for Social Security benefits could revive consideration of a deficit-reducing "grand bargain" that has proved elusive in recent years.
Such cuts to public pension programmes and public health insurance for the elderly - seen as sacred cows for Obama's Democrats have been longstanding demands of Republicans.
"While this is not the president's ideal deficit reduction plan, and there are particular proposals in this plan like the CPI (consumer price index) change that were key Republican requests and not the president's preferred approach, this is a compromise proposal built on common ground," the administration official said.
The president is willing to "do tough things to reduce the deficit," but only in the context of a package that includes new revenues from the wealthy, the official added.
"This isn't about political horse trading; it's about reducing the deficit in a balanced way that economists say is best for the economy and job creation."
Obama's new revenues will draw in part from capping retirement savings plans for millionaires, and closing some loopholes that benefit the rich.
The annual budget deficit is projected at 5.5% of gross domestic product for the fiscal year ending in September. Under the Obama budget, that would decline to 1.7% of GDP by 2023.
Combined with the $2.5 trillion in savings already achieved since negotiations in 2010, the Obama budget would bring total deficit reduction to $4.3 trillion over 10 years, slightly higher than the overall goal agreed to by both parties for stabilizing the national debt.
Boehner offered a lukewarm reaction to the plan.
"One of the best things President Obama can do is follow the House and outline a balanced budget next week one that includes entitlement reforms that are not conditional on enactment of more tax increases, which will suppress growth instead of encourage it," Boehner said in a statement.
Petrol price fixing probe ends - report
Prosecutors in Italy have wrapped up a probe triggered by suspicions that the country's steep petrol prices were the result of manipulation by several large oil firms, media reported Friday.
The results of the investigation into seven companies - ENI, Shell, Esso, Total ERG, Tamoil, Q8 and API - have been sent to legal authorities in Rome and Milan for possible further action.
Italian motorists pay the highest prices at the pump in the European Union, according to the European Commission's directorate general for energy.
The newspaper La Stampa said the Varese prosecutor's office in northern Italy, which conducted the probe at the urging of a consumer group, suspected the oil companies of "carrying out speculative moves to boost the price of fuel at the pump".
But the head of Italy's biggest oil company ENI, Paolo Scaroni, told reporters on Friday the probe was just the latest official scrutiny of what he described as unavoidably high petrol prices.
"There are several reasons fuel prices in Italy are higher than elsewhere in Europe. To name just one, there are 24 000 service stations in Italy compared with 9 000 in Britain with a total equivalent consumption, so these service stations, in Italy, need a bigger margin" to achieve profitability, he said.
He also cited reduced station opening hours, and noted that Italian service stations cannot sell other items, such as newspapers or cigarettes, to augment revenues.
"There is nothing underhanded," he said.
The average price for unleaded petrol in Italy at the end of 2012 was €1.75 per litre ($8.60 per gallon), according to the European Commission's directorate general for energy.
That compared with €1.50 per litre in France, €1.56 per litre in Germany, and €1.63 per litre in Britain, the data showed, according to the Commission's Eurostat statistics office.
Panicked Cypriots queue at banks
Panicked Cypriots queued outside banks on Friday on rumours that a new levy would be imposed on deposits as part of a bailout, but the authorities moved quickly to assure them this was not the case.
Cyprus wrapped up talks this week paving the way for the €10bn ($13bn) bailout from EU-led lenders, but fears swirled that it was still well short of the €5.8bn to fund its end of the deal.
As the speculation spread on Friday morning, customers formed long queues outside some of the larger branches of the Co-op bank, prompting the government to issue a denial of the reports as "unjustified" and "groundless".
"Such an issue was never tabled or discussed, therefore we categorically state that no such issue exists, not even as an intention," said the finance ministry.
"The memorandum has been agreed with the troika and it does not include any additional measure that leads to the need to implement any new haircut on deposits," it said, referring to the EU, European Central Bank and IMF.
The ministry said the measures agreed by the Eurogroup on March 25 for restructuring the Cypriot banking sector were being implemented and the system was "on track towards stabilisation and consolidation".
The central bank also denied reports of any plans to introduce a "general" haircut of deposits to pay for the conversion of uninsured deposits above €100 000 into shares in the island's biggest lender, the Bank of Cyprus (BoC).
"We refute this because such an action is not provided for in the policy decisions taken by the Eurogroup," it said in a statement.
The supervisory authority for the Co-op societies also warned anxious customers to ignore "slanderous rumours" being spread by text messages that a haircut on deposits was imminent.
Under the deal to downsize the banking sector, large BoC depositors could lose all of the remaining 60% of their balances over 100,000 euros depending on the costs of winding up and merging second-largest lender Laiki.
Savers in that bank will have to wait for years to see any of their cash over €100 000.
Banks have been operating under stringent capital controls since they reopened last week, after a near two-week lockdown prompted by fears of a run on deposits.
Global miners to hire more staff
Despite the unpredictability of the global
mining industry, the prospect of hiring more staff is on the cards, according
to a survey by Pedersen & Partners.
From the 160 companies surveyed across the sector, 33% indicated that they will be hiring more staff, while 50% said they will maintain their work force.
The results show that:
From the 160 companies surveyed across the sector, 33% indicated that they will be hiring more staff, while 50% said they will maintain their work force.
The results show that:
- 28% indicate they will be hiring new employees,
- 5% indicate they will be bringing back staff that were laid off,
- 50% will maintain their current staffing levels, and
- 15% suggest they will be restructuring.
The survey noted that the overall perception is
that miners appear to be cautiously optimistic with most firms predicting that
2013 will be very similar to last year or improving somewhat.
However, it was not all good news, several small mining firms with market caps below $10m will not survive through the next year, the survey stated.
"Those with proven projects and strong management reputations may be subject to acquisitions or find more fluid funding through private equity, streaming, flow through shares and eventually, some institutional financing."
According to respondents 47% expect mergers and acquisitions to be a part of their growth strategy this year, while 31% said it will be considered for the right opportunity and 22% ruled it out altogether.
The last five years have been a turbulent time for mines with the global recession, operational restructurings, production cuts as well as expenditure reduction. This resulted in flagging confidence in the mining sector.
Mining in SA
The mining sector in South Africa, which is the backbone of the economy, has faced several challenges in recent months, including proposed job cuts, a series of wildcat strikes and the Marikana massacre in which more than 44 people died.
Data released by Statistics South Africa in March showed that total mining production was 3.1% lower in 2012 compared with 2011.
Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan stated in his National Budget speech in February that mine strife resulted in a revenue shortfall of R16.3bn, estimated to be 5.2% of the 2012/13 gross domestic product.
However, Mines Minister Susan Shabangu said in February that the country is committed to a strong mining industry, adding that the industry had grown from 993 mines in 2004 to almost 1 600 mines.
"We will continue to ensure that an enabling environment is created, while at the same time developing an environment that is responsive to the changing global economic environment and the dynamism of the contemporary mining industry," she said.
However, it was not all good news, several small mining firms with market caps below $10m will not survive through the next year, the survey stated.
"Those with proven projects and strong management reputations may be subject to acquisitions or find more fluid funding through private equity, streaming, flow through shares and eventually, some institutional financing."
According to respondents 47% expect mergers and acquisitions to be a part of their growth strategy this year, while 31% said it will be considered for the right opportunity and 22% ruled it out altogether.
The last five years have been a turbulent time for mines with the global recession, operational restructurings, production cuts as well as expenditure reduction. This resulted in flagging confidence in the mining sector.
Mining in SA
The mining sector in South Africa, which is the backbone of the economy, has faced several challenges in recent months, including proposed job cuts, a series of wildcat strikes and the Marikana massacre in which more than 44 people died.
Data released by Statistics South Africa in March showed that total mining production was 3.1% lower in 2012 compared with 2011.
Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan stated in his National Budget speech in February that mine strife resulted in a revenue shortfall of R16.3bn, estimated to be 5.2% of the 2012/13 gross domestic product.
However, Mines Minister Susan Shabangu said in February that the country is committed to a strong mining industry, adding that the industry had grown from 993 mines in 2004 to almost 1 600 mines.
"We will continue to ensure that an enabling environment is created, while at the same time developing an environment that is responsive to the changing global economic environment and the dynamism of the contemporary mining industry," she said.
US trade deficit shrinks to $43bn
The US trade deficit edged lower in February after a big jump in January, government data released Friday showed.
The commerce department reported the trade gap shrank to $43bn, down from the revised $44.7bn in January.
The decline, which came after a large 16.7% deficit increase in January, surprised analysts who had projected a deficit of $44.7bn.
US exports grew 0.8 percent to $186bn, strengthened by the exports of industrial goods (up 4.5%) and automobiles (up 1.6%).
Meanwhile, US imports held steady at $228.9bn.
US imports of crude oil, which represent more than 10% of imported goods by the US, dropped 5.6% to $23.6bn.
But US imports of foreign automobiles rose 4.6% between January and February to reach $24.8bn.
On a 12-month basis, the US trade deficit has dropped by 3.5%.
Ireland slowly recovering
Ireland's central bank said on Friday the country's gradual economic recovery was broadly on track, barely changing its growth forecasts but warning the government it could not afford to ease back on its austerity programme.
It predicted gross domestic product would expand by 1.2%, a touch below the 1.3% foreseen three months ago, and kept its 2014 growth forecast at 2.5%.
Bailed out in late 2010, Ireland has been one of the few eurozone economies to grow over the past two years and closed in on weaning itself off emergency assistance last month by raising €5bn ($6.42bn) in a landmark 10-year bond sale.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), one of Ireland's bailout lenders, struck a similar note on Wednesday when it said the economy would grow by 1.1% this year, the first time in six quarterly reviews it has not marked down its view for 2013.
However like the IMF, which cautioned that Ireland's gradual recovery remained highly uncertain, the central bank said its medium-term assessment for the export-focused economy relied on a pick-up in external demand from the second half of 2013.
"The gradual recovery of the Irish economy is continuing," the central bank said in its latest quarterly review.
"The prospects for such a recovery must be treated with some caution, however, given the high degree of uncertainty regarding the near-term outlook for world demand."
The bank said that while recent surveys, particularly in consumer sentiment, pointed to an easing in the rate of decline in the eurozone, the bloc was facing a delayed emergence from recession, and that would have knock-on effects for Ireland.
Export growth - driven completely by the booming services industry - would fall to 2.5% this year as a result, down on the 3% expected in January, while expansion in 2014 was marked down by just under the same amount to 5%.
That should be mostly offset by a lower than previously expected drop of 0.2% in consumer spending this year and slightly quicker rise of 0.4% in 2014. The fall in domestic demand may, finally, be nearing an end, the bank said.
With any growth in the domestic economy slight at best, unemployment is still forecast to fall only slightly, to 13.9% next year even though the estimated rate fell to 14% over the last two months.
The bank added that while unemployment rates for those with the lowest levels of education were around four times higher than those with third-level qualifications, in absolute terms the majority of the unemployed come from higher education.
It gave a cool reception to the government's promise to voters of a 20% reduction in the €5.1bn of austerity measures planned by 2015, following a deal struck with the European Central Bank to ease its the burden of its bank-assumed debt.
"Full implementation of the announced budget measures remains essential to preserve market confidence and to keep a buffer against negative shocks," the bank said.
Germans back Merkel's crisis management
A new poll shows Germans widely approve of
Chancellor Angela Merkel's crisis management following a bailout deal for
Cyprus, suggesting it remains a key asset for the leader as she prepares to
seek a third term in elections in September.
The poll for ARD television published on Friday also showed Merkel's
popularity riding high and that of centre-left challenger Peer Steinbrueck, who
had a gaffe-strewn start to his campaign, sinking further. But, although Merkel's conservative bloc is easily the biggest single party, it gave neither Merkel's current centre-right coalition nor the combination of Steinbrueck's Social Democrats and the Greens a parliamentary majority.
Merkel's hard-nosed handling of the debt crisis has long been popular at home, though many in the nations that have been bailed out resent the austerity and reform policies attached to the deals.
The poll of 1 002 people, conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, found 65% agreed that Merkel has "acted correctly and decisively in the euro crisis”.
Only 33% thought that the German government thinks too little about the well-being of people in crisis-hit countries as it works to rescue the euro.
Fifty percent said it was right that investors and bank depositors in Cyprus had to contribute to the bailout for the small island nation.
Merkel's government was insistent that large depositors should help pay, but was criticised by Germany's opposition for initially accepting a short-lived plan that would have involved a levy on small deposits as well.
The survey found that 68% were satisfied with Merkel's work, unchanged from last month, and that Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble was close behind, with 63%. But Steinbrueck's rating was down four points to 32%.
Still, the survey pointed to one risk for Merkel: It found that 75% of respondents believed the worst of the euro crisis is still to come.
Germany's economy so far has been relatively unscathed by the crisis, even as several countries suffer recessions.
A new group calling itself Alternative for Germany, which advocates scrapping the euro in its current form, plans to launch itself as a party on 14 April and run in the 22 September elections.
It's unclear whether it will be able to make any impact; another party, the Free Voters, has failed to make any inroads with a more moderate platform of opposition to the current bailout policies.
The ARD poll gave a margin of error of plus or minus up to 3.1 points.
North Korea advises diplomats to leave
Foreign diplomats in Pyongyang huddled on Saturday to discuss a North Korean evacuation advisory as concerns grew that the isolated state was preparing a missile launch at a time of soaring nuclear tensions.
The heads of all EU missions had agreed to meet to hammer out a common position after Pyongyang warned embassies it would be unable to guarantee their safety if a conflict broke out and that they should consider leaving.
Most of their governments made it clear they had no plans to withdraw any personnel, and some suggested the advisory was a ruse to fuel growing global anxiety over the current crisis on the Korean peninsula.
"We believe they have taken this step as part of their country's rhetoric that the US poses a threat to them," a British Foreign Office spokesperson said in London.
Missiles
The embassy warning coincided with reports that North Korea had loaded two intermediate-range missiles on mobile launchers and hidden them in underground facilities near its east coast.
"The North is apparently intent on firing the missiles without prior warning," the South's Yonhap news agency quoted a senior government official as saying.
They were reported to be Musudan missiles, which have never been tested, but are believed to have a range of around 3 000km, which could theoretically be pushed to 4 000km with a light payload.
That would cover any target in South Korea and Japan, and possibly even reach US military bases located on the Pacific island of Guam.
The White House said on Friday it "would not be surprised" by a missile test.
"We have seen them launch missiles in the past.... And it would fit their current pattern of bellicose, unhelpful and unconstructive rhetoric and actions," White House spokesperson Jay Carney said.
'Provocative act'
The Pentagon warned any such test would be "a provocative act", with spokesperson George Little urging Pyongyang to "follow international norms and abide by their commitments".
North Korea, incensed by UN sanctions and South Korea-US military drills, has issued a series of apocalyptic threats of nuclear war in recent weeks.
The North has no proven inter-continental ballistic missile capability that would enable it to strike more distant US targets, and many experts say it is unlikely it can even mount a nuclear warhead on a mid-range missile.
Nevertheless, the international community is becoming increasingly skittish that, with tensions showing no sign of de-escalating, there is a real risk of the situation spiralling out of control.
The latest expression of concern came from Communist icon Fidel Castro, who warned the danger of a nuclear conflict erupting was higher than it had been at any time since the 1962 Cuban missile crisis.
If war broke out on the Korean peninsula, "there would be a terrible slaughter of people", Castro wrote in a front-page article in Granma, the Cuban Communist Party's newspaper.
UN won't withdraw
The United Nations said it had no plans to pull staff out after the North Korean warning message to embassies and NGOs in Pyongyang.
Spokesperson Martin Nesirky said UN chief Ban Ki-moon was "studying the message," and added that UN staff "remain engaged in their humanitarian and developmental work" throughout North Korea.
According to the British Foreign office, embassies and organisations were told to inform the Pyongyang authorities by 10 April what assistance they would require should they wish to evacuate.
"Our understanding is that the North Koreans were asking whether embassies are intending to leave, rather than advising them to leave," the spokesperson said.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow was consulting with China over the warning, as well as the United States and other members of the stalled six-party talks on North Korea.
In South Korea, a Navy official told Yonhap that two Aegis destroyers with advance radar systems had been deployed - one off the east coast and one off the west coast - to track any missile launch.
North Korea refused on Saturday to lift a ban on South Koreans accessing their companies in a joint industrial zone on the North side of the border.
Entry to the Seoul-funded Kaesong complex has been barred since Wednesday.
Castro urges calm in North Korean crisis
Communist icon Fidel Castro on Friday called on
North Korea and the United States to avoid confrontation and reminded both sides of their
"duties" towards peace.
"If a war breaks out there, there would be a terrible slaughter of
people" in both North and South Korea "with no benefit for either of them”, Castro wrote in a front-page
article in Granma, the Communist Party's newspaper.Now that the North Korean government "has demonstrated its technical and scientific advances, we remind them of their duties with those countries that have been their great friends."
Castro urged North Korea to remember that "such a war would affect... more than 70% of the planet's population”, and decried "the gravity of such an incredible and absurd event" in such a densely populated region.
Castro said the present crisis presents the most serious risk of a nuclear war since the 1962 Cuban missile crisis, a two-week standoff between the United States and the Soviet Union over placing nuclear missiles in Cuba.
The "duty" to avoid the conflict is also in the hands of Washington "and of the people of the United States”, Castro said.
If a war breaks out, President Barack Obama's second term "would be buried in a deluge of images that would portray him as the most sinister personality in the history of the United States."
Castro, 86, handed over power to his brother Raul in 2006 but remains influential in Cuba and among leftists worldwide.
Meeting Kim Il-Sung
In his article, the Cuban leader recalled "the honour" of meeting Kim Il-Sung, the founder of the North Korean regime and grandfather to current leader Kim Jong-un.
The late North Korean leader, who died in 1994, was a "historic figure, notably brave and revolutionary," Castro wrote.
Castro also wrote that North Korea "has always been friendly with Cuba, as Cuba has been always and will continue to be" friendly with North Korea.
Castro writes an occasional column titled "Reflections of Comrade Fidel" that runs in state media. This is his first column since June 2012.
North Korea, incensed by UN sanctions and South Korea-US military drills, has issued a series of apocalyptic threats of nuclear war in recent weeks.
On Thursday the North Korean army said it had received final approval for military action, possibly involving nuclear weapons, against the threat posed by US B-52 and B-2 stealth bombers taking part in the joint drills.
