Showing posts with label syria. Show all posts
Showing posts with label syria. Show all posts

Saturday, May 4, 2013

NEWS,04.05.2013



Israel Confirms Airstrike Against Syria

 

With a second airstrike against Syria in four months, Israel enforced its own red line of not allowing game-changing weapons to reach Lebanon's Hezbollah, a heavily armed foe of the Jewish state and an ally of President Bashar Assad's regime, Israeli officials said Saturday.
But the strike, which one official said targeted a shipment of advanced surface-to-surface missiles, also raised new concerns that the region's most powerful military could be dragged into Syria's civil war and spark a wider conflagration.
Fighting has repeatedly spilled across Syria's borders into Turkey, Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan and the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights during more than two years of conflict, while more than 1 million Syrians have sought refuge in neighboring countries.
The airstrike, which was carried out early Friday and was confirmed by U.S. officials, comes as Washington considers how to respond to indications that the Syrian regime may have used chemical weapons in its civil war. President Barack Obama has described the use of such weapons as a "red line," and the administration is weighing its options – including possible military action.
Israel has said it wants to stay out of the brutal Syria war, but could inadvertently be drawn in as it tries to bolster its deterrence and prevent sophisticated weapons from flowing from Syria to Hezbollah or other extremist groups.
Israel and Hezbollah fought a monthlong war in mid-2006 that ended in a stalemate.
Israel believes Hezbollah has restocked its arsenal with tens of thousands of rockets and missiles, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly stated the Jewish state would be prepared to take military action to prevent the Islamic militant group from obtaining new weapons that could upset the balance of power.
It is especially concerned that Hezbollah will take advantage of the chaos in neighboring Syria and try to smuggle advanced weapons into Lebanon. These include anti-aircraft missiles, which could hamper Israel's ability to operate in Lebanese skies, and advanced Yakhont missiles that are used to attack naval ships from the coast.
While Israeli officials on Saturday portrayed the latest airstrike as the continuation of Israel's deterrence policy, more Israeli attacks could quickly lead to an escalation, leaving open the possibility of retaliation by Hezbollah or even the Assad regime and Syria ally Iran.
In January, Israeli aircraft struck a shipment of what was believed to be Russian-made SA-17 anti-aircraft missiles bound for Hezbollah, according to U.S. officials. Israeli officials have strongly hinted they carried out the airstrike, though there hasn't been formal confirmation.
Neither Hezbollah nor Syria responded to that strike.
In a warning to Israel earlier this week, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah said his militia "is ready and has its hand on the trigger" in the event of an Israeli attack on any targets in Lebanon.
Details about Friday's strike remained sketchy.
The U.S. officials said the airstrike apparently hit a warehouse, but gave no other details.
Israeli officials did not say where in Syria the Israeli aircraft struck or whether they fired from Lebanese, Syrian or Israeli airspace.
Israel possesses bombs that can travel a long distance before striking their target. The use of such weapons could allow Israel to carry out the attack without entering Syrian skies, which would risk coming under fire from the regime's advanced, Russian-made anti-aircraft defenses.
The Israeli and U.S. officials spoke anonymously because they had not been given permission to speak publicly about the matter.
Obama said Saturday it was up to Israel to confirm or deny any strikes, but that the U.S. coordinates very closely with Israel.
"The Israelis, justifiably, have to guard against the transfer of advanced weaponry to terrorist organizations like Hezbollah," Obama told the Spanish-language TV station Telemundo.
The Syrian government said it had no information on an Israeli attack, while Hezbollah and the Israeli military spokesman's office declined comment.
Amos Gilad, an Israeli defense official, would not confirm or deny the airstrike, but played down cross-border tensions.
Hezbollah has not obtained any of Syria's large chemical weapons arsenal and is not interested in such weapons, Gilad said. Instead, the militia is "enthusiastic about other weapons systems and rockets that reach here (Israel)," he said Saturday in a speech in southern Israel.
Assad "is not provoking Israel and the incidents along the border (between Syria and the Israeli-controlled Golan) are coincidental," Gilad said.
After Hezbollah's military infrastructure was badly hit during the 2006 war, the group was rearmed by Iran and Syria – with Tehran sending the weapons and Damascus providing the overland supply route to Lebanon.
"This is a very sophisticated network of Iranian arms, Syrian collection, storage, distribution and transportation to Hezbollah," said Salman Shaikh, director of The Brookings Doha Center and in 2007 involved in U.N. weapons monitoring in Lebanon.
Shaikh said Israel had detailed knowledge of weapons shipments to Hezbollah at the time and most likely has good intelligence now. "The Israelis are watching like hawks to see what happens to these weapons," he said.
With Israel apparently enforcing its red lines, much now depends on the response from Hezbollah and Syria, analysts said.
Israeli officials have long feared that Assad may try to draw Israel into the civil war in hopes of diverting attention and perhaps rallying Arab support behind him.
But retaliation for Israeli airstrikes would come at a high price, said Moshe Maoz, an Israeli expert on Syria.
"Bashar has his own problems and he knows that conflict with Israel would cause the collapse of his regime," Maoz said. "He could have done that long ago, but he knows he will fall if Israel gets involved."
Hezbollah, which is fighting alongside Assad's troops, appears to have linked its fate to the survival of the Syrian regime. Nasrallah, the Hezbollah chief, said this week that Syria's allies "will not allow Syria to fall into the hands of America or Israel."
On the other hand, Hezbollah could endanger its position as Lebanon's main political and military force if it confronts Israel, and it's not clear if the militia is willing to take that risk.
Hezbollah isn't Israel's only concern. Israeli officials believe it is only a matter of time before Assad's government collapse, and they fear that some of the Islamic extremist groups battling him will turn their attention toward Israel once Assad is gone.
Reflecting Israel's anxiety, the Israeli military called up several thousand reservists earlier this week for what it called a "surprise" military exercise on its border with Lebanon.
Obama has said the use of chemical weapons would have "enormous consequences," but has also said he needs more definitive proof before making a decision about how to respond.
Obama said Friday that he didn't foresee a scenario in which the U.S. would send troops to Syria. Instead, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has said Washington is reviewing its opposition to arming the opposition.
The U.S. so far has balked at sending weapons to the rebels, fearing the arms could end up in the hands of al-Qaida-linked groups or other extremists in the opposition ranks.
Secretary of State John Kerry, meanwhile, is heading to Moscow next week to try to persuade Russian President Vladimir Putin to support, or at least not veto, a fresh effort to impose U.N. penalties on Syria if Assad doesn't begin political transition talks with the opposition.
Russia, alongside China, has blocked U.S.-led efforts three times at the United Nations to pressure Assad into stepping down.
In Syria, about 4,000 Sunni Muslims fled the coastal town of Banias on Saturday, a day after reports circulated that dozens of people, including children, had been killed by pro-government gunmen in the area, activists said.
Also Saturday, Assad made his second public appearance in a week in the capital Damascus. Syrian state TV said Assad, who rarely appears in public, visited a Damascus campus, and footage showed him being thronged by a large crowd. The report said Assad inaugurated a statue dedicated to "martyrs" from Syrian universities who died in the country's uprising and civil war.

 

NRA official: Our freedom is under attack


President Barack Obama and national media are demonising law-abiding gun owners in the wake of recent violent acts, National Rifle Association leaders and political allies said on Friday at its first convention since the Connecticut school massacre.
"Our freedom is under attack like never before," Chris Cox, executive director of the NRA Institute for Legislative Action, said during a leadership forum.
"When a deranged criminal murders innocent children, they blame us."
The NRA is the nation's leading advocate for gun ownership. It works assiduously to defend the Second Amendment to the US Constitution setting out the right to bear arms.
Organisers expect about 70 000 attendees at the 142nd NRA Annual Meetings & Exhibits in Houston, which began on Friday and continues through Sunday.
Since last year's meeting, a national debate about gun laws sprang up after the December shooting at Newtown, Connecticut's Sandy Hook Elementary School, where 20 children and six adults were killed.
Major victory
The NRA scored a major victory in Congress last month when it beat back a proposal supported by Obama to expand background checks for gun buyers.
At the leadership forum, US Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican, thanked those who fought against the background checks proposal and other efforts to tighten gun control.
"That's your victory," Cruz said. "It's the victory of the American people."
But Cruz cautioned that the fight is not over. Supporters of the proposal, which is a key part of Obama's gun-control effort sparked by the Newtown shooting, have vowed to revive it.
Texas Governor Rick Perry, who burst onto stage after a video showing him shooting a gun, described what he sees as a pattern: When a hate-filled person commits a horrific act, people who hate guns and hate gun owners call for more gun laws, he said. Creating more laws that criminals will ignore is not the solution, said Perry, a Republican.
"They do nothing but make it harder for law-abiding Americans to own guns," Perry said.
No one likes gun violence - especially NRA members, said the governor, who has been working to convince gun manufacturers in states considering tighter gun control to move to Texas.
NRA members are working to make people safer by proposing solutions such as enforcing existing laws, fixing the mental health system and protecting schools, said NRA executive vice president Wayne LaPierre.
They are teachers, firefighters, volunteers, moms and taxpayers, he said.
"The media and political elites can lie about us and demonise us all they want, but that won't stop us," LaPierre said.
"We are Americans, we are proud of it and we are going to defend our freedom."
In the exhibit hall, more than 550 vendors showed off everything from rifles and targets to offers of hunting safaris.
Seminars offered on Friday included a personal safety workshop called "Refuse to be a Victim" and a chef-taught class on cooking wild game.

Italian minister moved after slur


A junior member of Italy's new grand coalition government was given a new portfolio on Saturday, just two days after her appointment, after gay rights associations criticised statements she had made as homophobic.

In a statement, Prime Minister Enrico Letta said Michela Biancofiore would no longer serve as undersecretary for Equal Opportunities, Sport and Youth Policies, but would be given the Public Administration and Simplification portfolios.

Biancofiore, a member of Silvio Berlusconi's conservative People of Freedom party, had told a web interviewer in January: "There are not just heterosexuals, but also different sexualities, which today, unfortunately, are very common."

Franco Grillini, head of gay rights group Gaynet, complained that Biancofiore was "known for her statements against the rights of homosexual couples," and questioned the "logic" of asking her to "work for civil rights, including those of homosexuals".

Paola Concia, an openly gay former parliamentarian from the centre-left Democratic Party, quipped that putting Biancofiore in charge of Equal Opportunities was akin to "placing Cruella de Vil as the guardian of a Dalmatian puppy mill".

Biancofiore responded to her critics in several newspaper interviews published on Saturday. "I am not a homophobe. As a true liberal, I hate all kinds of discrimination," she told La Repubblica.

Speaking to Corriere della Sera, she insisted that using the word "unfortunately" to describe homosexuality was just "a turn of phrase".

She accused gay rights groups of being prejudiced against her, and urged them to look at wider societal problems.
"They just defend their own partisan interests," Biancofiore said.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's Successor As President Of Iran Could Be Less Hostile Toward U.S.

 

For eight years, Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has played the role of global provocateur-in-chief: questioning the Holocaust, saying Israel should be erased from the map and painting U.N resolutions as worthless. His provocative style grated inside Iran as well angering the country's supreme leader to the point of warning the presidency could be abolished.
Now, a race is beginning to choose his successor and it looks like an anti-Ahmadinejad referendum is shaping up. Candidate registration starts Tuesday for the June 14 vote.
Leading candidates assert that they will be responsible stewards, unlike the firebrand Ahmadinejad, who cannot run again because he is limited to two terms. One criticized Ahmadinejad for "controversial but useless" statements. Others even say the country should have a less hostile relationship with the United States.
Comments from the presumed front-runners lean toward less bombast and more diplomacy. They are apparently backed by a leadership that wants to rehabilitate Iran's renegade image and possibly stabilize relations with the West.
The result however may be more a new tone rather than sweeping policy change. Under Iran's theocratic system, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei wields supreme power, making final decisions on nuclear and military questions. However, the president acts as the public face of the country, traveling the world. A new president might embark on an international image makeover and open the door to less antagonistic relations with Iran's Arab neighbors and the West.
The vote comes at a critical time in Iran, a regional powerhouse with about 75 million people and some of the largest oil reserves in the world. Nuclear talks between Iran and world powers are at an impasse while the Islamic Republic barrels ahead with a uranium enrichment program that many are convinced is intended for atomic weapons. Iran also serves as the key ally of Syria's President Bashar Assad, a mainstay so far helping keep him in power as rebels fight to oust him.
It is also in the middle of an apparent shadow war with Israel. Tehran has blamed Israel for deadly attacks on its nuclear scientists. Israel in turn has alleged Iranian attack plots on its diplomats or citizens around the world, including one where two Iranians were convicted of planning to attack Israeli, American and other targets in Kenya on Thursday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned repeatedly that Iran must be stopped from acquiring nuclear weapons, through use of force if need be.
While polls in Iran are unreliable, the tenor of the candidates' speeches reflects a sense among the public that Ahmadinejad's belligerent stance toward the rest of the world has not helped.
"Ahmadinejad has followed a policy of confrontation. He made a lot of enemies for Iran. What were the results?" asked Tehran taxi driver Namdar Rezaei, 40. "The next government should pursue a policy of easing tensions with the outside world."
All the main candidates – including a top adviser and a former nuclear negotiator – are closely linked to the ruling clerics, since opposition groups have mostly been crushed. They reflect the mood of Khamenei, himself a former president, who wants nothing more than to end the internal political rifts opened by Ahmadinejad.
On Wednesday, Khamenei told prominent clerics to avoid "divisive" comments during the election. It is the clerics who will select a small group of hopefuls, probably no more than six, for the ballot.
The ultimate goal is to find ways to ease painful Western sanctions that have evicted Iran from international banking networks, brought public complaints over rising prices and cut vital oil exports by more than half. But what still stands in the way is a complicated dance: Maintaining uranium enrichment while addressing Western fears that Iran could move toward atomic weapons – a charge it denies.
For more than two years, Ahmadinejad has openly defied Khamenei in an attempt to expand the authorities of the presidency. The disputes reached a meltdown point in late 2011, when Khamenei's loyalists mounted an impeachment campaign. Khamenei stepped in to call it off, but warned that Iran could one day eliminate the presidency for a system where the parliament picks a prime minister instead.
"This is a chance for Iran to bring a new tone after eight years of Ahmadinejad," said Ehsan Ahrari, a Virginia-based strategic affairs analyst. "There seems to be a real interest in the ruling system to quiet things down."
Of course, Ahmadinejad is not likely sit on the sidelines after he leaves office. He still carries significant populist support across Iran, particularly in rural areas that benefited from aid from his government. Whichever candidate he backs could get an Election Day bump.
He is now trying to push his top adviser and in-law, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, onto the ballot, but will likely be rejected by the Guardian Council, the group that vets all candidates. Ahmadinejad has been traveling around Iran for weeks, sometimes along with Mashaei.
After the internal political upheavals he triggered, the clerics are expected to stick with safe and loyal candidates, and the candidates know it and are playing to that dynamic.
Tehran's mayor, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, chided Ahmadinejad for "controversial but useless" statements that undermined Iran's international standing.
"Where did the case of the Holocaust take us? We were never against Judaism. It's a religion. ... No one could accuse us of being anti-Semitic," he told Iran's Tasnim news agency last month. "But suddenly, without consideration for the results and implications, the issue of the Holocaust was raised. How did this benefit Iran or the Palestinians?"
Another prominent candidate, Ali Akbar Velayati, took a clear shot at Ahmadinejad by saying Iran needs a "principlist" as the next president – meaning a conservative who will not question the authority of Khamenei or the ruling clerics.
Velayati, a senior adviser to Khamenei, has joined in an unusual three-way alliance with Qalibaf and parliament member Gholam Ali Haddad Adel. Each has promised to give key posts to the two others should he win the presidency.
"If we do not succeed, we have to try for another eight years in order to take back the country's management," Velayati said in a February speech in the seminary city of Qom.
Velayati has deferred to Khamenei on any possible overtures to the U.S. But Qalibaf and others suggest they would urge the leadership to remain open for direct talks.
"Confrontation with the U.S. is not a value by itself," Qalibaf said. "At the same time, an alliance with or bowing to the U.S. won't meet our interests, too. These are two extremist views. We should follow a realistic approach. Dialogue (with the U.S.) is not a taboo."
Mohsen Rezaei, a former chief of Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guard chief who is seeking another chance at the presidency after losing four years ago, says only that he favors a "win-win dialogue."
"That means we won't lose and they (West) won't think Iran is a threat to the world," he said.
And candidate Hasan Rowhani, Iran's former nuclear negotiator and Khamenei's top national security representative, also disparaged Ahmadinejad's grandstanding style, saying Iran needs a "government of prudence."
Another candidate, former Interior Minister Mostafa Pourmohammadi, said even restoring diplomatic ties with Washington is not out of the question as long as Iranian "interests are ensured."
"I believe there is no need for Iran to be at war with the U.S. forever," he said. "Iran has the capacity to protect and ensure its national interests while having ties with the U.S."
Ahmadinejad foe Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, a former president, appears unlikely to make one last presidential run, despite speculation to the contrary. The official IRNA news agency quoted Rowhani on Wednesday saying the 78-year-old Rafsanjani "will definitely not" be a candidate.
However, Rafsanjani still wields considerable clout, and his endorsement will carry weight. Earlier this week, Rafsanjani urged his nation to lower tensions with Iran's archenemy Israel, which is considering military action over Tehran's nuclear program.
"We are not at war with Israel," Rafsanjani was quoted as saying by several Iranian newspapers, including the pro-reform Shargh daily. He said Iran would not initiate war against Israel, but "if Arab nations wage a war, then we would help."
Ahmadindejad's role in this election stands in sharp contrast to the last, where he was front and center and backed by the clerics. Accusations that his re-election was clumsily rigged by a clerical establishment panicked by the possibility of reformers coming to power led to massive demonstrations and reprisals spanning weeks, the most serious unrest in Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution itself.
The election was so contentious that the two main opposition leaders of 2009, Mir Hossein Mousavi and cleric Mahdi Karroubi, remain under house arrest. The remnants of the opposition appear increasingly unlikely to persuade their one major hope, former President Mohammad Khatami, not to seek a comeback run. That leaves them with the choice of boycotting the vote or picking from an establishment-friendly lineup.
While this election is unlikely to spark the same fireworks, a desire for change remains.
"Why shouldn't we be in good terms with the outside world? Why tensions at home and abroad?" asked 35-year-old real estate agent Shahram Rashidi in Tehran. "That's why we really need a totally different president this time."


Friday, October 19, 2012

NEWS,19.10.2012



EU eyes bloc-wide bank watchdog


EU leaders on Friday agreed to bring banks under bloc-wide supervision next year, but failed to pin down an exact date dashing hopes of a quick move towards a full banking union.Although loose, the 2013 timetable settled during 11 hours of talks at a Brussels summit should eventually pave the way for ailing banks to receive cash directly from Europe's bailout funds.The decision took place in a calmer market environment Thursday, but also against a backdrop of fresh violence in Greece, the origin of the three-year crisis, where a man died during a general strike and anti-austerity protests.The 27 European Union leaders set themselves "the objective of agreeing on the legislative framework by 1 January 2013," said a statement. Work on actually setting up the body would take place "in the course of 2013", it added.German Chancellor Angela Merkel called the timetable "very ambitious," even as French President Francois Hollande pushed for quick implementation. She said the EU needed "quality before speed" and a watchdog "worthy of the name."The European Commission's Jose Manuel Barroso said European Central Bank (ECB) head Mario Draghi had told leaders a "reasonable" estimate for implementation would be "less than one year but certainly more than one or two months.""I can't give you a precise date," EU President Herman Van Rompuy conceded when pushed during an early-hours press conference. Finance ministers, next scheduled to meet on November 12, would take up the issue, he said.Expectations that the new body could begin work from the start of the new year slipped amid discord between Europe's two powerhouses, one European official saying that even in the "fastest scenario", it would be "summer 2013."A French government source said the ECB would only supervise all 6 000 eurozone banks "from the beginning of 2014."The basic idea remains that in future, struggling banks in debt-wracked countries that pose a danger to Europe's financial system could be recapitalised directly from EU bailout funds.But a Spanish governmental source said Madrid had "assumed" for the last month - since the German, Dutch and Finnish governments had rowed back on aspects of a provisional agreement dating from June - "that there wasn't going to be a direct recapitalisation."The Spanish official said the result of independent stress tests was that the recapitalisation would amount to 4.0% of Spain's gross domestic product, "which we can handle." Hollande said expectations on markets of a sovereign bailout request by Spain had not come up, although he warned that "adding austerity to austerity" by imposing harsh conditions on Madrid would be counter productive. Germany has been pushing Madrid back for weeks, and Hollande suggested that next year's German general election lay behind proposals from Berlin to beef up the power of the European Commission to supervise individual countries' budgets.Eurozone leaders also hailed "good progress" in Greece to carry out reforms aimed at getting its economy back on track, after the so-called 'troika' of international lenders said it hoped for a deal "within days" on resuming much-needed financial aid.Greece's conservative-led government is in talks with the troika on an austerity package needed to unlock a loan payment of €31.5bn, which has been pending since June.Greek riot police fired tear gas at protesters on the sidelines of a large anti-austerity rally. A 65-year-old man collapsed and died from a heart attack but it was not immediately clear if his death was linked to the sporadic bursts of tear gas.Elsewhere at the summit, EU President Herman Van Rompuy invited all 27 EU members to attend the December awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize in Oslo, adding that the hardships the bloc now faced were nothing compared to the post-war era.Leaders were to return six hours later from 08:00 GMT, to tackle relations with China and discuss hotspots Syria, Iran and Mali.

To Those Seized by Debt Fear: China Holds Just 10 Percent, Down From 2 Years Ago

America is not Greece. We are the world's 1 nation, and the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. Others want to buy our Treasury notes, even at absurdly low interest rates. History will view our failure to finance the rebuilding of our roads, bridges, tunnels, water systems, electric grid all due to Republican obstructionism when others are almost handing us the money to do it as one of the epic economic follies of all time. Nothing like mindless fanaticism to spoil a good day or decade, eh?Nor, as the conventional wisdom would have you believe, have we "mortgaged ourselves to China."How many times do we hear the forces of doom primarily from the right wing that wants to end just about everything government does that can help the American people  that we cannot going on "borrowing from China"?Most Americans seem to believe that we have mortgaged our entire country to China, and that it is only a matter of time before China "forecloses." Not only would it tank the Chinese economy if it tried to "foreclose," but and here's the key point China only owns 10 percent of our debt.Ten percent. And, that is down from 12 percent just two years ago.Mitt Romney, in debate #1, said that he liked Big Bird and Jim Lehrer, but "he could not borrow money from China to pay for it."I attended a major economic forum at Stanford University earlier this year. Niall Ferguson, Harvard Professor of Economics, talked about the dangers of debt by raising the specter that we are fighting wars we are "borrowing from China" to pay for. The audience, that included some of the world's leading economists and financial managers, nodded their heads. [I raised my hand to object, but did not get called on].There may be many reasons why increasing the debt is not a good idea e.g., the interest payments required when interest rates return to more normal levels, and the need for us to have reserves to fund the retirement of the boomers, but the Bushies blew that surplus 10 years ago.But the concern that China is funding our spending is another fiction drummed up by the establishment and fed to us day after day by the lamestream (Sarah, I will always thank you for this one, you got this right!) media, too lazy to say even, "wait a minute, just how much of our debt does China hold?" to the bloviating head-nodding establishment types that appear on our news as "experts." [One might add that, even if China did hold 50 percent of our debt, calling the loans would hurt them more than us, but why bother with such complexities.Indeed, I have yet to hear anyone object to this canard. If they did, one suspects they would never be invited back on the program again, because they have violated the sacred belief system.And, would it not make them apoplectic if they had to acknowledge that, in the last two years under President Obama, the amount owed China has declined to 10 percent, from 12 percent, of our debt. Now, that would be a real stick-in-the-eye.

Gun Industry Thrives During Obama's First Term

Tennessee lawyer Brian Manookian says he never considered himself a gun enthusiast. He owns just one handgun and was raised in a gun-free home. But the firearms industry has proven so successful in recent years that he decided to give up practicing law and make guns his livelihood.It's a decision that's put Manookian on track to earn four times what he made as a corporate health care attorney, a job that earned him six figures right out of law school, he said.And he's far from alone. An analysis by The Associated Press of data tracking the health of the gun industry shows that President Barack Obama has presided over a heyday for guns.Sales are on the rise, so much that some manufacturers cannot make enough fast enough. Major gun company stock prices are up. The number of federally licensed, retail gun dealers is increasing for the first time in nearly 20 years. The U.S. gun lobby is bursting with cash and political clout. Washington has expressed little interest in passing new gun laws, despite renewed calls to do so after recent deadly shootings in Colorado and Wisconsin.Four years ago the gun lobby predicted Obama would be the "most anti-gun president in American history." Yet it is hard to find a single aspect of the gun world that isn't thriving."The driver is President Obama. He is the best thing that ever happened to the firearm industry," said Jim Barrett, an industry analyst at C.L. King & Associates Inc. in New York.Obama has made no pledges to push for new gun control legislation and does not have the support in Congress or among voters even if he did. During this week's presidential debate, he did suggest renewing a U.S. ban on assault weapons and coming up with an overall strategy to reduce violence. But both Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney said the real need is for the government to enforce gun laws already on the books.Meanwhile, sales are brisk.Since opening a $5 million armory in Nashville last month, Manookian and his business partner have outdone their own expectations, selling inventory three to four times faster than they expected. The facility has high ceilings and granite fixtures in the bathroom and provides instructional courses and a shooting range in addition to firearms for sale."It is a very strong investment," Manookian said.Others agree.For the first time since 1993, the number of federally licensed retail gun dealers in the U.S. increased slightly in 2010 and 2011. The country added 1,167 licensed retail gun dealers, according to Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives records. After the assault weapons ban of 1994 – now expired – the number of gun dealerships dropped annually until 2010. As of October 2012, there were 50,812 retail gun dealers – 3,303 more than in 2009."Business has been very good," said Frederick Prehn, who a year ago opened a small gun store above his dentistry practice in Wausau, Wis. In the past year, Prehn has relocated twice to larger spaces and gone from one employee to eight.Some gun store owners can't keep shelves stocked, said Brian Jones, owner of Bullseye Shooter's supply in Painted Post, N.Y. Jones said he opened his gun store in November 2010. In his first year, he said he sold between 600 and 700 guns. A little more than halfway through his second year, he's already sold 700.For the first time in the company's history, Sturm Ruger & Co. Inc. stopped taking orders for a couple of months this year. Ruger, one of the nation's largest gun manufacturers, has since resumed taking orders, though gun-sellers say demand is still outpacing production.Dan Wesson Arms, Inc., a small gun manufacturer that sells to a niche market, stopped taking orders this spring because the company had sold out the entire year's production, spokesman Jason Morton said. The company has stopped taking orders before, but never so early on the entire line, he said."Wouldn't you want to be in a business where customers are just begging to hand you money?" said Bill Bernstein, owner of East Side Gun Shop in Nashville.Obama is not yet through his first term, but the federal government already has conducted about as many background checks for gun owners and prospective buyers on his watch as it did during the first six years of George W. Bush's presidency. In the first 3 1/2 years of the Bush administration, the FBI conducted about 28 million background checks. During the same period of the Obama administration, the FBI conducted more than 50 million. The gun industry uses the number of background checks as a reliable indicator of demand.Ruger and Smith & Wesson represent nearly 30 percent of the U.S. gun manufacturing industry and lead the market in production of pistols and revolvers, according to government statistics. The two companies have been running production lines around the clock, hiring workers and operating at maximum capacity, said Barrett, an industry analyst who also owns Ruger stock.Ruger's sales have increased 86 percent since Obama took office, and Smith & Wesson's sales have gone up nearly 44 percent, compared with 18 percent for overall national retail sales.And the companies have big expectations for the industry's future, as they're spending more money on research and development than ever before.The NRA itself has done well, too. The lobbying organization has had more cash on hand during the Obama years than it had since 2004, finishing 2010 with more than $24 million, according to the most recent figures available."Which makes it incredibly ironic that the gun lobby is opposing Obama," said Dan Gross, president of the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence. Gross said Obama, who initially campaigned to reinstate the assault weapons ban that expired under Bush, has done what he said was "disappointingly little" on gun control.But the gun lobby says the success of the industry does not indicate that Obama is good for Second Amendment rights."This is the most dangerous election in our lifetimes," NRA chief executive officer Wayne LaPierre said in February, a point he's made regularly during the NRA's campaign to defeat Obama.The gun lobby stands by its 2008 predictions that Obama would be anti-gun. NRA spokesman Andrew Arulanandam noted Obama's appointment of two Supreme Court justices whom the NRA considers anti-gun, plus Obama's support of a United Nations arms trade treaty and the botched operation called Fast and Furious, which the NRA says was concocted as part of a plan to enforce new gun restrictions."Gun owners and hunters fear that a second Obama administration with no future political campaigns to worry about will try to destroy this great American freedom," Arulanandam said.Fears of a Democratic president taking office and issuing stricter gun control laws led to an initial spike in gun sales in 2008, giving dealers some of the highest profit margins they'd ever seen. But even after it became clear Obama was not going to make gun control a priority as president, the industry has continued to do well.Fear of crime may be driving some sales. The number of violent crimes rose by 18 percent in the U.S. in 2011, according to Justice Department figures released this week. It was the first year-to-year increase for violent crime since 1993, marking the end of a long string of declines.Firearm sales typically increase during poor economic times, said Steve Sanetti, chief executive officer and president of the National Shooting Sports Foundation, a trade association for the industry. More Americans are hunting and shooting for recreation as well, he said. Sanetti attributes that to military servicemen and women with firearms experience returning to civilian life and wanting to keep up with shooting as a pastime. He also said recreational shooting is a relatively cheap and accessible hobby, drawing in new buyers.Voters have made clear that gun control isn't a priority. A recent AP-National Constitution Center poll found that 49 percent of adults felt laws limiting gun ownership infringe on the public's right to bear arms, while 43 percent said such laws do not infringe on those rights. After the recent mass shootings in Colorado and Wisconsin, 52 members of Congress sponsored a bill to track bulk sales of ammunition, but the legislation went nowhere.The firearms industry entrepreneur Manookian said it is clear that guns are a priority for Americans. People around the country are waiting in lines at shooting ranges, he said, cash registers at gun stores are ringing with $1,000 purchases and his brand new armory in Nashville is in the black two weeks after it opened.

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

NEWS,02.10.2012



One step forward, two back for Greece on debt


Every step Greece takes to shore up its finances seems to make it harder for Athens to make the numbers add up in the long-term, especially when it comes to its spiralling debt.Monday's 2013 budget plan contained some positive news - for example, the expectation that Greece will have a primary budget surplus, before debt financing costs, for the first time since 2002 - as well as some more alarming forecasts.Chief among those was an acknowledgement that the economy will shrink again next year, by 3.8%, the sixth annual contraction in succession, and that the debt-to-GDP ratio will rise to 179.3% in 2013, a dauntingly high figure.The bottom line is that Greece is in a worse state now than even the most pessimistic forecast just six months ago.The relationship between growth and debt is the focus of the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund - the troika of inspectors currently in Athens poring over the government's projections.In the coming 4-6 weeks, the troika will publish its latest report assessing whether Greece's debt is sustainable in the longer-term, something many private sector economists have already concluded is not the case.In its last analysis published in March, the troika said Greece needed to get its debts down to 120% of GDP by 2020 for the situation to be manageable and concluded the goal was achievable under certain optimistic assumptions.But as so often with the Greek economy in the past three years, most of the assumptions are already way off-target and the likelihood of Athens meeting the 2020 goal is now even slimmer than it was then.That makes it all the more likely that Athens will have to go through another debt restructuring, involving further losses for bondholders, if it is to return to solvency. And this time it is the official sector - mostly European governments and their taxpayers - who will have to take a hit rather than the private sector.That would be a major blow to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, whose country is the biggest contributor to euro zone rescue funds, and diplomats say she would be eager to avoid such an event before a September 2013 German general election."Debt reduction will still require a herculean domestic fiscal adjustment," JP Morgan said in an analysis of Greece's deteriorating debt predicament back in July."The upshot of this arrangement is that the inevitable decisions on burden-sharing that lie ahead will relate to official creditors and Greek citizens," it said, noting 70% of Greek debt would be in official sector hands by 2014."Ugly picture" Perhaps the clearest illustration of how far Greece has strayed in the past six months - during which time it has held two elections and so far failed to push through the legislation needed to cut spending and raise revenue - is set out in black and white in the troika's 10-page analysis from March.In that report, written just after private investors took a 70% writedown on their Greek bond portfolios, the EU/IMF inspectors said they expected public debt to peak at 170% of GDP in 2014 under a worst-case scenario.Wisely, they added a proviso: "The debt trajectory is extremely sensitive to programme delays, suggesting that the programme could be accident prone, where sustainability could come into question."Indeed, the debt next year is now forecast to be 10 percentage points higher than even the worst-case figure, and could go on rising in 2014, depending on whether grow returns."It's an extremely ugly picture," said an EU economic adviser responsible for coming up with solutions to the crisis."The truth is, everyone knows Greece needs another debt restructuring but no one wants to acknowledge it right now because the contagion impact remains."A further concern is that even if Greece were magically to get its debt down to 120 percent of GDP by 2020 - an adjustment of around 120 billion euros in seven years - there is no hard-and-fast rule that says it will then be sustainable.For some countries with low growth, a debt level of 90% of GDP is hard to sustain. Others, such as Japan, can survive with debts approaching 200% of GDP."When it comes to Greece, we just used 120% because that's where Italy's debt level was at the time and Italy had managed to sustain it," an EU official closely familiar with the troika's work


Sanctions failing to halt Iran: Israel

 

International sanctions against Iran are biting but are not slowing the country's nuclear programme, Israel's strategic affairs minister Moshe Yaalon said on Tuesday."The sanctions and the pressure in place against Iran for around the past two years are effective, but the centrifuges continue to turn," Yaalon told Israeli public radio."There is a sanctions clock, and the Iranian nuclear programme is getting closer and closer to the red line," he added."We think it is necessary to impose harsh sanctions, economic, political or otherwise, against Iran, and we retain the military option," Yaalon said."But the fact is that diplomacy is not working and the sanctions have not had the desired effect because Iran is continuing its nuclear programme."Israel, the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear power, and much of the international community, believe Iran's nuclear programme masks a weapons drive Tehran says the programme is for peaceful energy and medical purposes, but has been slammed with increasingly harsh sanctions that have squeezed the country's economy.On Monday, Iran's currency plummeted at least 17% in trading, prompting the US State Department to describe the freefall as evidence that sanctions were putting pressure on the Iranian government."From our perspective this speaks to the unrelenting and increasingly successful international pressure that we are all bringing to bear on the Iranian economy. It's under incredible strain," State Department spokesperson Victoria Nuland said.



Russia tells Nato to stay away from Syria


Russia told Nato and world powers on Tuesday they should not seek ways to intervene in Syria's civil war or set up buffer zones between rebels and government forces.Moscow further called for restraint between Nato-member Turkey and Syria, where violence along their shared border has strained relations between the former allies.Tensions have flared since a mortar round fired from inside Syria struck the territory of Turkey. Ankara has threatened to respond if the strike were repeated.When asked by Interfax if Moscow worried whether the tense border situation could prompt Nato to intervene to defend Turkey, its easternmost member, Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov warned against any such step."In our contacts with partners in Nato and in the region, we are calling on them not to seek pretexts for carrying out a military scenario or to introduce initiatives such as humanitarian corridors or buffer zones." Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan, one of Assad's most caustic critics, recently lashed out at Russia for blocking efforts at the UN Security Council to exert pressure on Assad and said Moscow's stance allowed massacres in Syria to continue.Turkey has floated the idea of setting up "safe zones" inside Syria to protect civilians from the conflict but that would also have to be approved by the Security Council.Russia and China have vetoed three Security Council resolutions condemning Syrian President Bashar Assad and have blocked attempts to impose further sanctions on his government or intervene more directly in the conflict.Ankara has repeatedly complained of artillery and gunfire spilling over the border into Turkey, leading to threats of retaliation.Assad may cling to power"We believe both Syrian and Turkish authorities should exercise maximum restraint in this situation, taking into account the rising number of radicals among the Syrian opposition who can intentionally provoke conflicts on the border," Gatilov was quoted as saying.The West accuses Russia of supporting Assad in the bloody 18-month conflict and imposing a stalemate in the Security Council as violence in Syria has spiralled.Moscow says Syrians themselves should decide their fate and says it will veto any Security Council resolution that could serve as a springboard for military intervention.Russia accuses the West of overstepping its mandate when it set up a no-fly zone in Libya last year, leading to the fall of Muammar Gaddafi to a popular uprising and insurgency.Western diplomats in Moscow say Russia seems to believe Assad may still successfully cling to power though they see Russia's dialogue with some Syrian opposition groups as an attempt to secure its interests there if he were overthrown.

Saturday, May 12, 2012

NEWS, 12.05.2012.


Greek president to urge unity government


Greece's president was set on Saturday to call last-ditch talks in a bid to forge an emergency unity government and avoid fresh elections, after the main parties failed to form a working coalition.Highly-indebted Greece is deeply torn over the tough austerity measures imposed as conditions for its IMF-EU bailouts, and the crisis has raised the threat it could default and leave the 17-member eurozone.Legislative elections last Sunday saw voters punish the mainstream parties and left a fractured political landscape that has raised the spectre of new elections within weeks, amid intense EU pressure over Greek finances.Socialist Pasok leader Evangelos Venizelos said Friday he had failed in the latest bid to form a government, after radical leftist party Syriza refused to join a pro-austerity coalition with the socialists and conservatives.The latest twist in the tortuous political drama came as EU paymaster Germany threatened to cut off the country's loan lifeline and hinted that the crisis-ridden eurozone could get along without Greece.Venizelos was the third party leader who tried and failed to cobble together a government after the inconclusive elections."I am going to inform the president of the republic (Saturday) and I hope that during the meeting with Carolos Papoulias, each party will assume its responsibilities," Venizelos told reporters in Athens.The head of state is then expected to urge party leaders to form a government of national salvation. If the parties cannot agree a compromise by next Thursday, new elections will have to be called.Venizelos had been hoping to win the support of Syriza, a party deeply opposed to the terms of the $311bn EU-IMF bailout and which surged to second place in Sunday's vote.Earlier, another possible ally, the small Democratic Left party, said it would not join a government made up of only Pasok and the conservative New Democracy party that did not include Syriza.Earlier this week both Syriza and the New Democracy party failed in their own attempts to assemble a coalition government.German leaders warned Friday that Athens could expect no more money without reforms and also suggested that the eurozone would cope if the cash-strapped country left the 17-member currency union.


Syria refuses to submit torture report


Syria's authorities have refused to submit a report on torture in the country to a United Nations committee scheduled to discuss the situation there next week, its secretary said on Friday.The Committee Against Torture monitors the implementation of the UN's anti-torture convention by state parties and is currently meeting in Geneva."There is no assurance that a delegation [from Syria] will come but we have been informed that no report would be submitted," committee secretary Joao Nataf told AFP in an email.He added that the meeting would take place on Wednesday as scheduled.The Committee Against Torture is holding its 48th session from 7 May to 1 June when it will focus on a number of countries including Canada, Cuba and Syria.All states party to the convention are required to submit regular reports to the panel of 10 independent experts which then makes recommendations.In November last year chairperson Claudio Grossman wrote to the Syrian authorities highlighting the committee's concern over reports of the spread of torture in the country where a bloody crackdown on protesters was unleashed in March 2011.Grossman asked Damascus to provide a special report stating the measures being taken to ensure its obligations under the Convention Against Torture were being fulfilled.Since the crackdown observers estimate more than 12 000 people have died, including more than 900 since an 12 April truce went into effect.On Tuesday UN-Arab League envoy and broker of the peace plan Kofi Annan told the UN Security Council of his fears that torture, mass arrests and other human rights violations were intensifying in Syria.