ILO: Jobless ranks swell
There are now 30 million more people
without jobs around the world than before the global financial crisis began,
the head of the International Labour Organisation said in remarks published
Friday.The figures come amid a growing debate over the merits of austerity,
especially in Europe, where painful budget-cutting has pushed jobless levels as
high as 25 percent in some countries, including debt-hit Greece and
Spain."Global unemployment is still more than 30 million higher than before
the crisis," said Director-General Guy Ryder. "And nearly 40 million
more women and men have stopped looking for work."He said around a third
of the more than 200 million unemployed around the world are under
25."With the world's workforce growing by around 40 million a year we face
large and growing decent-work deficits stretching out years ahead."Of
those employed, 900 million women and men are unable to earn enough to lift
themselves and their families above the $2 a day poverty line."Ryder said
that figure would be 55% lower if the poverty reduction trend seen before the
crisis had been maintained."This means that the damage of austerity
measures has been more profound than previously thought."There is now an
urgent need to revisit the timelines for fiscal balances, taking a much longer
view of the time it will take to repair the damage done by the financial
excesses of the pre-crisis period."On Thursday, International Monetary
Fund chief Christine Lagarde said too much austerity too quickly could cause
difficulties, particularly if a number of economies were chasing targets at the
same time.In a news conference Lagarde said the IMF was happy for debt-addled
Greece to have an extra two years to get its fiscal house in order, as new
figures showed that one in four Greeks is unemployed."Instead of
frontloading heavily it is sometimes better - given the circumstances and the
fact that many countries at the same time go through that same set of policies
with the view of reducing their deficits - it is sometimes better to have a bit
more time," she said."This is what we've advocated for Portugal, this is what we've advocated for Spain and this is what we
are advocating for Greece."I have said
repeatedly that an additional two years was necessary for the country to
actually face the fiscal consolidation programme."Lagarde also warned that
while the world economy was still expanding "it's certainly not growing as
it should to create jobs around the world", adding that it was crucial
"to make sure there are jobs available for young people".Greece is
going through a painful round of austerity and spending cuts imposed on the
country in return for promised loans and debt relief worth a total of about
€347bn since 2010.This week the OECD said unemployment in advanced countries
stood at 7.9%, or around 47.8 million people, 13.1 million more than at the
onset of the financial crisis in 2008.The Organisation for Economic Cooperation
and Development, which provides analysis and policy guidance for 34 leading
countries, noted that unemployment rates continued to vary widely in August.The
OECD said unemployment in Spain also stood at around 25%, while in Portugal and
Ireland it was 15.9% and 15% respectively.
Beverage tycoon is China's richest man
Beverage tycoon Zong Qinghou
regained his position as China's richest man this year, Forbes magazine said
Friday, but the global economic slump took its toll on other billionaires.Zong,
who heads soft-drink producer Wahaha, has a fortune of $10 bn, according to the
magazine's annual ranking of China's 400 richest, helping him win back the
position he lost last year as his wealth rose by $3.5bn.A similar list released
last month by the China-based Hurun Report also crowned Zong as China richest,
but put his wealth at $12.6bn.Last year's number one, construction equipment
magnate Liang Wengen, fell to sixth place with his wealth sliding 37% from last
year to $5.9bn as his Sany company was hit by a slowdown in China's economy.Forbes
said the number of China's billionaires fell to 113 this year from 146 in 2011,
while the wealth of the country's top 100 richest people declined seven percent
to $220bn.In comparison, the United States has at least 400 billionaires,
according to a list released by Forbes last month."This year we
encountered a long period of economic difficulty that's rarely been seen in the
past decade," editor of Forbes China, Zhou Jiangong, told
a news conference."This is a year which saw wealth created by Chinese
entrepreneurs shrinking," he said.Wu Yajun, who runs property giant
Longfor, is the country's richest woman, with a fortune of $6.2bn, up 5% from
last year.She is also one of five property magnates in the top 10, despite
government controls on the sector aimed at curbing speculation.In a country
that has the largest online population in the world, it is perhaps not
surprising that two internet billionaires made the top ten.Robin Li, co-founder
of China's top search engine Baidu, held on to second place despite a slide in
his company's stock price, with wealth of $8.1bn, down 12%And Ma Huateng, the
owner of Tencent, which operates popular instant messaging and microblog
services, took fourth spot with $6.4bn, gaining 49% from last year.Wang
Jianlin, of property developer Wanda, is at number three with $8bn, roughly
doubling his fortune from last year."Some lost ground, while others in the
same sector made gains. Suffice to say that this year's list reflects the
uncertainty that can arise from China's moderating economic expansion,"
said Zhou of Forbes.China's economy recorded annual growth of 7.6% in the
second quarter this year, its worst performance in three years. The government
will next week announce third-quarter performance.The world's second-largest
economy has been rocked by Europe's debt crisis and the weak US recovery, prompting Beijing to cut interest rates
and ramp up infrastructure spending to spur growth.
S&P downgrades Spain two notches
Standard & Poor's cut Spain's
sovereign debt rating on Wednesday by two notches to just above junk level,
citing the deepening recession and strains from the country's troubled banks.S&P
cut the rating to BBB- from BBB+, just one level above "speculative"
or "junk" grade debt, which could have sent Madrid's borrowing costs
skyrocketing to untenable levels."The downgrade reflects our view of
mounting risks to Spain's public finances,
due to rising economic and political pressures," S&P said."The
deepening economic recession is limiting the Spanish government's policy
options," it said, adding that rising joblessness and tighter spending
will likely intensify social conflict and tensions between the country's
regions and Madrid.Moreover, S&P expressed doubts that all of the eurozone
governments will give their backing to the bloc's effort to recapitalize
Spain's banks, leaving more of the burden at least on the Spanish government
and forcing its debt burden to balloon."Against the backdrop of a
deepening economic recession, we believe that the government's resolve will be
repeatedly tested by domestic constituencies that are being adversely affected
by its policies," S&P said."Accordingly, we think the
government's room to maneuver to contain the crisis has diminished."The
ratings agency also attached a "negative outlook" to the rating, a
warning of a possible further downgrade over the medium term.Such a downgrade
would come, S&P said, if political support for the government's reform
agenda weakens, if eurozone support fails to prevent Spain's borrowing costs
from jumping above sustainable levels, or if debt tops 100 percent of economic
output or debt payments surpass 10% of general government revenues.
This week, at a seminar at the London School of Economics, I asked Professor Ha-Joon Chang, world renowned economist, if he could name a time in history when austerity measures ever led to prosperity. He said no.
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