Merkel challenger remarks spark outrage
Chancellor candidate
Peer Steinbrueck was widely criticised on Sunday, even by his own centre-left
Social Democrats (SPD), for saying German leaders were underpaid. Steinbrueck
has struggled to gain ground against Chancellor Angela Merkel ahead of next
September's election, in part due to lingering criticism over him earning
€1.25m as an after-dinner speaker in the past three years.The remarks from the
former finance minister about what he called the inadequate compensation for
the chancellor drew speedy rebukes across the country's political spectrum,
including from the last SPD chancellor Gerhard Schroeder."A German
chancellor does not earn enough based on the performance that is required of
her or him compared with the jobs of others who have far less
responsibility and far more pay," Steinbrueck, 65, was quoted on Sunday by
the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung newspaper saying."Nearly every savings bank director in North
Rhine-Westphalia earns more than the chancellor does," Steinbrueck said of
his home state.Merkel's pay is set to rise by €930 per month to €17 106 in 2013 along with pay rises for her ministers and members of parliament,
increases that have been criticised by some for sending the wrong signal in an
era of austerity."Some of the debates kicked up by the 'guardians of
public virtue' are grotesque and are harmful for anyone considering getting
involved in politics," Steinbrueck said.The SPD trails Merkel's
conservatives by 10 points in opinion polls, but, with its Greens allies, it
does have a chance of winning power in September because of the prolonged
weakness of Merkel's Free Democrat (FDP) coalition partners. Steinbrueck, whose
blunt talk makes him popular among some voters despite him never winning a
major election and him being defeated as state premier in North
Rhine-Westphalia in 2005, said there were times in his career when he was not
as well off and admitted he was now a "wealthy Social Democrat".
Schroeder, chancellor from 1998 to 2005, has endorsed Steinbrueck to lead his
party against Merkel but distanced himself from Steinbrueck's views on
pay."In my view politicians in Germany are adequately compensated," Schroeder told Bild am Sonntag
newspaper. "I was certainly always able to live off the pay. And anyone
who doesn't feel it's enough pay can always look for another job."Other
SPD leaders indirectly criticised Steinbrueck. Dieter Wiefelspuetz, a top SPD
member of parliament, said politicians were misguided if they compared their
wages to private industry."To serve as chancellor is a fascinating job and
the pay is definitely not shabby," he said.Steinbrueck was once seen as
the centre left's best hope of winning back the chancellorship. He was popular
as the no-nonsense finance minister and the SPD hoped he would siphon centrist
voters away from the conservatives.But the controversy over his earning €1.25m
for 89 speeches will not go away and his campaign has been marred by setbacks
and awkward comments.Analysts say he is also struggling to win over female
voters, many of whom are put off by his combative style. "Merkel is
popular due to a 'woman's bonus' that she gets," Steinbrueck told the
paper.
Italy upbeat at end of 2012
Italy is ending 2012
on an upbeat note, with renewed financial market confidence and optimism among
analysts that the worst of the financial crisis is over, despite expectations
of political uncertainty in the run-up to a general election in February.The
Treasury's borrowing rates were slightly higher at short, medium and long-term
debt auctions last week, but were
well below levels seen at the end of 2011, when Prime Minister Mario Monti took
over from Silvio Berlusconi as Italy teetered on the brink amid the eurozone
debt crisis.In late November 2011, the country was paying a 7.56% rate for its
benchmark ten-year bonds, sparking widespread concerns it might have to ask for
a bailout.On Friday, that rate stood at 4.48%.As 2012 draws to a close, "even
if public debt has breached the two trillion euros mark, Italy's ability to
finance itself is no longer in doubt," said Enrico Marro in Italy's Il
Sole 24 Ore financial daily."For 2013, optimism reigns," he
concluded.The turnaround is principally the result of two factors: the European
Central Bank's promise to buy sovereign debt issued by eurozone member states
without limit if necessary if they meet certain strict conditions, and Monti's
decisive reforms which have restored Italy's credibility internationally. Experts
have forecast a couple of months of volatility on the markets in the lead up to
the February 24 and 25 elections, but the worst appears to be over. Italian
bank Intesa Sanpaolo said "the fever should drop off in 2013 compared with
2012."The bond spread a key measure of the difference between Italian
and German 10-year bond yields has also dropped sharply over the year,
dipping below 300 basis points in early December
from double that figure at its peak. While European leaders congratulated Monti
on restoring calm to the markets, Berlusconi's announcement at the start of
December that he is running again for prime minister sparked panic and the
spread began to inch up again.The media magnate has dismissed the spread
measure as "a trick and an invention" used to bring down his
government. Investors will be watching closely in the coming weeks to see if
Berlusconi's large-scale media campaign for re-election wins him potential
votes from Italians tired of Monti's austerity packages and record unemployment
levels.Renewed confidence in financial markets contrasts sharply with official
forecasts for economic growth over the coming year, as Italy struggles to pull
itself out of a recession.Despite Monti's "Grow Italy" plan, the
economy is not expected to return to growth before the end of 2012 or the
beginning of 2014."Business and household sentiment does not appear to have
benefited from the easing market tension," Intensa Sanpaolo said.The
government has forecast a 0.2% contraction of the country's gross domestic
product in 2013 an outlook considered overly optimistic by Italy's business
association Confindustria, which expects GDP to shrink by 1.1% next year.One
figure is on the rise however: the number of people on Twitter following Monti,
who is drumming up support for a reform-led electoral campaign. Monti, who
resigned last week after Berlusconi's People of Freedom party pulled support
from the government, has said he is keen to lead the country again after the
elections a message welcomed by the markets, European leaders and Italy's
Catholic Church alike.
IMF, EU push for softer deficit cuts
The International Monetary Fund and European
Commission officials have encouraged France and its eurozone partners not to
fixate on deficit reduction targets if it would exacerbate the bloc's debt
crisis.The head of an IMF mission in France, Edward Gardner, urged officials in
Paris last week to consider their 2013 budget targets "in a broader European
context."The IMF and the EU Commission expect the French public deficit to
amount to 3.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) next year.They do not believe France can reach its 3.0%
goal, the eurozone limit, without additional measures that could aggravate an
already tenuous economic situation."The credibility of the medium term orientation policy" was more
important than a specific deficit target, Gardner told reporters.Loosening the
criteria would "be more effective, more credible in a coordinated
fashion" across the 17-nation eurozone, he suggested.In Portugal the
public deficit fell at the end of the third quarter to 5.6% of GDP from 6.7% at
the same point a year earlier, while neighbouring Spain has promised to slash
its deficit to 3.0% by 2014 from a blowout shortfall equal to 9.4% of output
last year. Germany expects its budget to be in balance this year, two years
ahead of schedule, but IMF head Christine Lagarde has suggested that Berlin ease up a bit in its
drive for healthy finances. "Germany ... and others ... can allow
themselves to go a little more slowly than others in the push to straighten out
their public finances," Lagarde told the German weekly Die Zeit in
comments published last week.Her call echoed other European voices that are now
arguing for greater emphasis on growth rather than austerity measures."The
IMF is beginning to understand that the French situation has become
dangerous," economist Marc Touati at the ACDefi consulting group said.
Unemployment is climbing and the economy is still struggling, he pointed
out.The IMF was "trying to prepare public opinion" for missed
government targets, Touati suggested."This is not really a new
position," Frederique Cerisier at the French bank BNP Paribas said of
Lagarde's recent remarks. She acknowledged however that some international
institutions were "placing added emphasis" on the need to cut
deficits more gradually.On Tuesday, the EU's 'fiscal compact,' a hard-won step
towards tighter economic coordination agreed as part of efforts to tame the
debilitating debt crisis, takes effect.Finalised in March, 25 of the 27 EU
member states accepted a 'balanced budget rule' in the compact to ensure that
governments would no longer run the massive budget deficits which drove the
debt crisis and nearly sank the euro.But as the European debt crisis drags on
and economies flounder, the idea of allowing governments more time to
straighten out their finances has gained ground.European Economic Affairs
Commissioner Ollie Rehn said last week that France needed more reforms rather
than more austerity."Once you have a credible medium-term budget strategy,
backed up by reforms, you can have a slower adjustment," he told French
daily Le Monde.If a 3.0% French deficit remains a valid reference, "what
needs to be taken into account above all is the structural budget adjustment
effort which France is making with remarkable intensity," the EU official
said.French officials nevertheless seem determined to stick by their targets.
They insist that the public deficit will be brought down to 3.0% of GDP next
year from 4.5% in 2012, based on a 2013 growth estimate of 0.8% that economists
consider overly optimistic.Friday's third-quarter growth figures gave them
little comfort: official statistics revised growth over that period down from
0.2% to 0.1%.French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici wrote in the German
business daily Handelsblatt that France had a duty to reverse years of budget
deficits."In the past 30 years, France has not been able to
pass a balanced budget. State debt rose to an unacceptable €1.7 trillion in
2011. It is our duty to reverse this," Moscovici said. On Friday he
reaffirmed the goverment's 2013 growth target.Cerisier at BNP Paribas warned
that France, which is nowbenefitting from exceptionally low borrowing rates,
must be careful how it communicates to markets, if it wants to maintain its
credibility.But, she added: "The fact that we can begin to discuss all
that is proof that countries have become more credible with respect to their
economic targets."
France's 75% tax on rich struck down
France's top
constitutional body on Saturday struck down a 75% upper income tax rate,
dealing a major blow to Socialist President Francois Hollande, who had made it
his centrepiece tax measure.The government vowed to push ahead with the tax
rate, which would apply to incomes over a million euros a year, and propose a
new measure that would conform with the constitution.The tax rate had angered
business leaders and prompted some wealthy French citizens to seek tax exile
abroad, including actor Gerard Depardieu who recently took up residency in
Belgium. The Constitutional Council said in its ruling that the temporary
two-year tax rate, due to take effect next year, was unconstitutional because
unlike other forms of income tax it applied to individuals instead of whole
households. As a result, the council said, the tax rate "failed to
recognise equality before public burdens".Though largely symbolic it would
have applied to only about 1 500 individuals the Socialists said the tax rate
was aimed at making the ultra-rich contribute more to tackling France's budget deficit.The move was welcomed by the French Football League (LFP)
which had expressed concern at the impact on top footballers such as Paris
Saint Germain's Swedish star striker Zlatan Ibrahomovic. LFP chairperson
Frederic Thiriez said if the measure had reached the statute book there could
have been an "exodus of the best players" in the French league.The 75% tax rate was a
flagship promise of the election campaign that saw Hollande defeat right-winger
Nicolas Sarkozy in May. Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault said the ruling was a
"symbolic but not severe censure" and pledged to ensure the measure
was adopted." The government will propose a new system that conforms with
the principles laid down by the decision of the Constitutional Council. It will
be presented in the framework of the next Finance Act," he said in a
statement. "We want to maintain" the measure "because it
symbolises the need for the effort to be more fairly shared," he added.The
Constitutional Council also rejected new methods for calculating a separate
wealth tax, striking down a provision that would have increased the amount of
taxable revenues and capital gains. Other new measures in the budget were
approved, however, including an increase in some upper tax rates to 45% and the
addition of capital gains to taxable income. Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici
said the ruling "does not compromise" budget efforts and said the
council had approved "the essential" of the government's economic
policies.But government critics hailed the ruling as proof the Socialists are
pursuing unfair tax policies. "While the whole world watched us in dismay,
Francois Hollande deceived the French into believing that 'taxing the rich'
would be enough to solve our country's problems," said the head of the
right-wing opposition UMP, Jean-Francois Cope."In reality, discouraging
entrepreneurs and punishing the most wealthy until they leave our country
inevitably puts the tax burden on the middle class. This moral error was
sanctioned today. "France is struggling to plug a €37bn hole in its public
finances to meet its target of reducing the budget deficit to the EU ceiling of
3% in 2013.The 2013 budget included €12.5bn in spending cuts and €20bn in new
taxes on individuals and businesses. Critics have said the new tax measures
will stifle economic growth, with the French economy already expected to
contract by 0.2% in the final quarter of this year. The 2013 budget is based on
a government forecast of 0.8% economic growth next year a figure many
economists consider too optimistic. Hollande has seen his popularity plummet in
recent months as the economy stagnates and unemployment mounts.
US lawmakers seek last-gasp fiscal deal
After weeks of failed
haggling, the fiscal cliffhanger is at hand as US lawmakers convene Sunday in a
bid to strike a year-end deal that avoids huge tax hikes and possibly spending
cuts set to kick in January 1.With the clock ticking ever closer to the New
Year's time bomb, the suddenly alarmed Senate and House were holding special
sessions 36 hours before the year-end deadline for a plan that would keep
America from tumbling off the so-called fiscal cliff. The stakes in the game of
holiday-interrupting brinkmanship are enormous. Economists agree the $500bn in
fiscal pain due to hit when the new year starts would stifle the US economic
recovery and send the country back into recession, spelling bad news for the
global economy as well. Aides to both sides' leaders in the Democrat-controlled
Senate worked feverishly behind closed doors Saturday to fashion a deal
palatable to Democrats as well as to Republicans, who control the House of
Representatives. The Senate convenes Sunday at 1:00 pm (18:00 GMT) while the House goes into session an hour later, with no votes
expected before 23:30 GMT. Both chambers would have little time to debate and then pass a deal
that has eluded the White House and Congress for weeks. President Barack Obama,
who called congressional leaders to the White House on Friday, will address the crisis once more when he gives
an interview on NBC's Sunday morning talk show "Meet the Press. "Amid
the tense negotiations, Obama pressed lawmakers to clinch a deal, even if they
must reach a compromise that lacks the significant deficit-reduction measures
both sides had sought. If lawmakers fail, "every American's paycheck will
get a lot smaller," the president warned. "Congress can prevent it
from happening, if they act now. "Obama, sensing a mandate from his
re-election last month, wants to raise taxes on the rich. Republicans want only
to close tax loopholes to raise revenue and demand significant spending cuts in
return, notably to federal benefit programs like Social Security. But if nothing is
done by the deadline, all taxpayers will see an increase. Following the White
House talks, the Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican Minority
Leader Mitch McConnell are heading efforts to craft a deal. But any agreement
would also have to pass the House, where there is doubt that an Obama-backed
deal would win favor with restive conservatives in
the Republican caucus. While each side must for the sake of appearances be seen
to be seeking a deal, one way out is to go over the cliff, then fix the problem
in the first days of next year. Under that scenario, Republicans who are
philosophically opposed to raising taxes could vote to lower the newly raised
rates on almost all Americans without formally hiking taxes. Lawmakers, while
ruing the inability to work out a multi-trillion-dollar grand bargain in time,
have said a pared down version dealing mainly with taxes was within reach. Citing
unnamed people briefed on the talks, The Washington Post said one version under
consideration would protect nearly 30 million taxpayers from paying the higher,
alternative minimum tax rate for the first time and maintain unemployment
benefits for two million people.The plan also would halt a steep cut in
Medicare reimbursements for doctors and preserve popular tax breaks for both
businesses and individuals, such as those for research and college tuition, the
report said.But the two sides were still at odds over where to set the limits
of wealthy - at $250 000 or $400 000 of annual income and over taxes on
inherited estates. Nor has there been agreement on spending cuts so sought
after by Republicans, who say excessive government spending is the main driver
of US debt. Obama warned that if an agreement was not reached in time, he
would ask the Senate to hold an up-or-down vote on a basic package that
protects the middle class from a tax hike, extends unemployment insurance, and
"lays the groundwork for future... deficit reduction. "In a weekly
Republican address, Senator Roy Blunt expressed some optimism, saying that
"going over the fiscal cliff is avoidable. "But he criticised
Democrats for focusing mainly on taxes while setting aside government spending,
arguing that such inaction "shouldn't be an option."
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