NEWS,04.12.2012

Steel reprieve comes at price for Hollande

Francois Hollande's bid to rescue steel furnaces in France's historic industrial heartland was to be the mark of a president on the side of the workers and a state with the courage to bring a multinational to heel.But the two-month stand-off over steel giant ArcelorMittal's  Florange plant in Lorraine has unnerved investors in the eurozone's second largest economy, confused France's unions and exposed his six-month-old government to international ridicule.The dispute began in September with reports that ArcelorMittal would shut the idled furnaces at the plant, the last survivor in the once bustling northeastern steel region. The government immediately ordered the company to restart the furnaces or put them up for sale. Hollande's Socialist allies have hailed as a victory a late-Friday compromise under which ArcelorMittal agreed to invest €180m to expand the site near the German border over five years and hold off making forced redundancies. But as the European steel sector struggles to cope with over-capacity, the furnaces themselves will remain shuttered for now, and questions remain over the exact fate of the some 630 workers employed there and further funding needed for expansion.With unemployment at 14-year highs of 10% and his popularity ratings at record lows for a president only half a year into his mandate, there was clear political advantage for Hollande to lock horns with Indian steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal.But the result is at best a no-score-draw, and the tactics used - anti-business rhetoric and the threat of nationalisation could damage his wider reform effort.While his pugnacious, micro-managing predecessor Nicolas Sarkozy led from the front, Hollande let his ministers lead the fight, creating confusion over who runs industrial policy.Arnaud Montebourg, the firebrand leftist industry minister who pushed the nationalisation option hardest, declared Mittal a persona non grata in France and revealed he had found an anonymous potential buyer ready to invest in the plant.That was lapped up by international critics including London mayor Boris Johnson, who told executives in New Delhi that the "sans culottes" revolutionaries had taken control in Paris and advised them to bring their investment rupees to Britain.Montebourg later retracted his personal attack on Mittal but then had to watch as aides of Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault, who announced the final accord, briefed media that his putative investor was neither "credible or solid".Facing opposition calls to resign, Montebourg went on local television on Saturday to announce he had Hollande's support and insist he felt "not betrayed, merely let down" by the outcome.But worse than the damage done to the credibility of one of Hollande's most high-profile ministers, many fear the cacophony further shakes France's image as a place to do business just when it needs all the help it can get to avert recession. "It has been a disaster," a senior French banker said last week as the episode unfolded."Even for sophisticated investors who understand that in France there is a difference between the rhetoric and the reality, this is hugely unnerving."Elie Cohen, economist at the CNRS public research institute, told the commercial i Tele television network that by raising the option of nationalisation, Montebourg risked encouraging copy-cat demands by workers at other struggling sites.It is still too early to say whether the Florange wrangling will hurt foreign investment in France, which Bank of France data show has grown modestly since the 2008/2009 global turndown to hit €30bn or 1.5% of output last year.Barely noticed last week, US online giant Amazon  said it was opening a new distribution centre in northern France that will create up to 2 500 jobs - four times the number at the Florange furnaces and a reminder that 80% of France's economy is now in the services sector.Vital to France's long-term prospects is whether Hollande obtains in coming weeks the overhaul of the country's unwieldy and expensive labour regulations which he has tasked employers and unions to achieve in negotiations by year-end.For that, France's trade unions must make unprecedented concessions to allow business more flexibility in hiring and firing. But the government handling of the Florange tussle has left many labour leaders feeling betrayed."Until the last minute, basically, we were made to believe that temporary nationalisation was essentially a given," Edouard Martin, head of the Florange chapter of France's large CFDT union, told RTL radio. "We did not understand this last-minute fix-up in which Jean-Marc Ayrault unveils an option never before discussed ... We get the feeling he was lying to us all along."A big test now will be whether unions have been riled so much that they stonewall in the labour reform talks. It could also make some more prone to protest if the government makes the extra public spending cuts that analysts say could be needed next year to ensure France hits its deficit-cutting target.For now, both sides hope the battle of Florange is over. ArcelorMittal has welcomed a deal that includes commitments on voluntary redundancies and re-deployment of furnace workers elsewhere in its French activities that go little beyond what it would likely have offered without government intervention.Hollande's office concedes he did not manage to get the furnaces re-opened as he promised during his election campaign,  but argue the deal to expand activity in the current poor economic climate is a victory of sorts.Whether the accord goes ahead in its entirety partly depends on variables outside the two parties' control, including €400m worth of European Commission funding.It may not be quite the end of the story.Referring to the nationalisation threat, one Hollande aide noted: "We are still keeping that revolver on the table."

S Korea, US to 'maximise' bid to stop North

South Korea and the United States will "maximise" diplomatic efforts to stop North Korea's planned rocket launch, Seoul's top nuclear envoy said on Tuesday as he left for talks in Washington. Lim Sung-Nam's US trip will be dominated by Pyongyang's announcement on Saturday that it intends to launch a long-range rocket between 10 and 22 December. The United States and its key Asian allies South Korea and Japan have condemned the move as a disguised ballistic missile test that violates UN resolutions triggered by Pyongyang's two nuclear tests in 2006 and 2009.Lim told Yonhap news agency that his talks with US officials would seek to "maximise diplomatic efforts and the co-ordination between South Korea and the US to block North Korea's launch". Lim met in Seoul on Monday with ambassadors from China, Russia and Japan other members of the six-party talks on North Korea to discuss a common response. Pyongyang insists the launch is a "peaceful" and purely scientific mission aimed at placing a satellite in orbit. A previous attempt in April failed when the carrier exploded shortly after take-off. During his three-day visit to Washington, Lim will hold talks with his US counterpart, Glyn Davies, and other senior officials. China, the North's closest ally, has expressed "concern" at the launch plan, with the foreign ministry urging "relevant parties to act in a way that is more conducive to the stability of the Korean peninsula". Russia on Monday added its "regret" at Pyongyang's announcement and noted that North Korea was obliged to abide by UN resolutions. Analysts say the international community is running out of options for pressuring the impoverished but nuclear-armed North, which is already under layers of sanctions. The six-party, aid-for-denuclearisation talks have been at a standstill since Pyongyang walked of the forum in April 2009. It staged its second nuclear test a month later.

China's Xi vows to rule by law

China's newly appointed leader Xi Jinping pledged on Tuesday to implement rule of law, in comments that appeared aimed at rising social discontent over government corruption and police brutality.In a speech at the Great Hall of the People that marked the 30th anniversary of China's 1982 constitution, Xi spoke of curbing the near-dictatorial powers of the ruling party.His comments appeared to be the strongest yet by a Chinese leader on the need for legal restraints on the party and come amid a series of graft scandals and reports of the unbridled wealth of China's top communist families."We must firmly establish throughout society the authority of the constitution and the law and allow the overwhelming masses to fully believe in the law," Xi said in comments carried by China Central Television. "To fully implement the constitution needs to be the sole task and the basic work in building a socialist nation ruled by law."Xi was last month named as the head of the ruling Communist Party and is slated to take over the state presidency from current President Hu Jintao in March as part of China's once-a-decade leadership transition.This year's transition was badly rocked by the case of disgraced politician Bo Xilai, whose wife was convicted in August of murdering a British businessman, in a scandal that has revealed rampant graft and lawlessness at the pinnacle of political power.Bo is awaiting trial for corruption and abuse of power after allegedly using police in Chongqing city where he ruled to remove political opponents and dissidents, practices that are routine in China.Since becoming party head, Xi has repeatedly pledged to fight graft and on Tuesday he further vowed to rein in China's top leaders. "We must establish mechanisms to restrain and supervise power, power must be made responsible, power must be supervised, violations of law must be investigated," he said."We must ensure that the power bestowed by the people is constantly used for the interest of the people.""No organisation or individual has the special rights to overstep the constitution and law, any violation of the constitution and the law must be investigated."China's current constitution has enshrined the basic freedoms of speech, press, religious belief and association, but such rights are routinely sanctioned and violated, rights groups say.Xi also appeared to address such alleged rights violations."To ensure the implementation of the constitution, is to ensure the realisation of the basic rights of the people," he said."By defending the dignity for the law, we are defending the will of the party and the people for dignity."