Showing posts with label asia pacific. Show all posts
Showing posts with label asia pacific. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

NEWS,18 AND 19.06.2013



Ranks of the rich swelling - report


The number of millionaires in the world jumped 9.2% to 12 million last year, in part because of simultaneous strength in the stock, bond and real estate markets, according to a study of the high-net-worth population.
The survey, released on Tuesday by RBC Wealth Management and Capgemini Financial Services, tracked high-net-worth people, whom it defined as those with more than $1m that they can invest.
North America was home to the highest number of millionaires - 3.7m. But the study projected that the Asia-Pacific region, which held the top spot in 2011, would reclaim it.
Part of the strength in North America came from rising equities markets - the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index gained 13% in 2012. North American investors put 37% of their money into stocks, a higher proportion than people in the Asia-Pacific region, where investors tend to be more conservative, the study said.
The amount of wealth held by the world's richest people also increased substantially, rising 10% to $46.2 trillion, well above the pre-economic crisis level of $40.7 trillion in 2007.
The study forecast high-net-worth wealth would increase 6.5% annually to $55.8 trillion by 2015, mainly because of growth in the Asia-Pacific region.
The survey found that 53% of wealthy US individuals would prefer to have a single firm handle their financial accounts.
However, a 2011 study from Boston-based research firm Aite Group showed more than half of high-net worth investors held their money in four or more financial institutions.
"Having one super-adviser would be preferred, but finding someone who can do that well is hard," said Aite analyst Sophie Schmitt.
The RBC-Capgemini survey polled more than 4 000 high-net-worth people globally in February and March, including 736 Americans.

Switzerland buries US tax law


Swiss lawmakers dealt a death blow on Wednesday to a draft law which aimed to protect the country's banks from criminal charges in the United States for helping wealthy Americans evade tax.
The Swiss government has warned that the bill's failure could prompt impatient US prosecutors to indict banks, though it could still use an executive order to allow them to hand over data to try to avoid criminal charges.
The bill, which lawmakers from both the centre-left and right opposed for widely differing reasons, was designed to let banks sidestep Swiss secrecy laws by disclosing their US dealings so they could avoid prosecution. With or without the law, they will still seek out of court settlements with US authorities that could cost the industry as much as $10bn.
Parliament's lower house voted 123 to 63 against debating the legislation, effectively killing the law, even though the upper house had confirmed its support earlier in the day.
Switzerland's banking lobby expressed regret about the vote and urged the government to do everything possible to help banks reach settlements under a US Department of Justice programme.
"Switzerland must not take the risk of a further indictment of a bank lightly," the Swiss Bankers Association said in a statement.
Finance Minister Eveline Widmer-Schlumpf said the government would do everything in its power but its options were limited without the bill.
The protection of client information has helped to make Switzerland the world's biggest offshore financial centre, with $2 trillion in assets. But the haven has come under fire as other countries have tried to plug budget deficits by clamping down on tax evasion, with authorities investigating Swiss banks in Germany and France as well as the United States.
Experts were divided over the threat posed to Swiss banks by parliament's decision to oppose the law.
"The Americans will get the data they want. They will not stop until they have it," said Martin Naville, head of the Swiss-American Chamber of Commerce. "It is taxing the patience of our American friends. When their patience is over, there will be indictments, perhaps just one or two, but it will be more than enough to create chaos."
No one was immediately available for comment at the US Department of Justice.
Wegelin precedent
Earlier this year a U.S. indictment felled Switzerland's oldest private bank, Wegelin. It paid a $58m fine and closed its doors for good after pleading guilty to helping wealthy Americans evade taxes through secret accounts.
Shares in Basler Kantonalbank, one of the banks under US investigation seen at immediate risk, closed down 2.5%, compared with broadly positive Swiss stocks.
But Peter V. Kunz, professor for business law at Berne University, was more sanguine.
"I think bankers will be indicted, but I don't really see banks getting indicted... as there may not be enough evidence to accuse them of systematically violating US law," he said.
"Wegelin was indicted and settled but in my view this was a singular case. I don't see it as a model case for Swiss banks."
The government's attempt to fast-track the legislation through parliament to meet a US ultimatum angered many lawmakers in the fiercely independent country.
Right-wing lawmakers opposed the bill on the grounds that it could set a precedent that might prompt other countries to seek concessions from Switzerland. The centre-left also rejected it for different reasons, believing Swiss banks should be forced to face the music for aiding tax evasion.
Lawmakers from both the lower and upper house endorsed a statement saying they supported a solution to the long-running tax dispute despite the defeat, and called on the government to allow banks to cooperate under existing laws.
Protracted negotiations
Switzerland's biggest bank, UBS, was forced to pay a $780m fine in 2009 and deliver the names of more than 4,000 clients to avoid indictment, giving the US authorities information that allowed them to pursue other banks.
Since then, the government has tried to reach a settlement for the whole financial industry, but has been hamstrung by Swiss secrecy laws and bickering among banks over who should pay the heavy fines.
US authorities have more than a dozen banks under formal investigation, including Credit Suisse, Julius Baer, the Swiss arm of Britain's HSBC, privately held Pictet in Geneva and local government-backed Zuercher Kantonalbank and Basler Kantonalbank.

UK backs jail time for reckless bankers


Bankers who are reckless with customers' or taxpayers' money could face criminal charges and have bonuses and pensions clawed back, according to proposals backed by Britain's prime minister on Wednesday.
Many Britons blame bankers' risk-taking for the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent economic slump and were furious when the former boss of RBS left the bank with a pension of almost £17m even after a state rescue.
He later agreed to a cut and was stripped of his knighthood but it was one in a series of banking scandals that increased pressure on Prime Minister David Cameron to get tougher on a sector contributing billions of pounds to the British economy.
The parliamentary commission on banking standards he set up last year after Barclays was fined for manipulating interest rate benchmarks said on Wednesday the law should be changed so that bankers found guilty of "reckless misconduct in the management of a bank" could face jail.
The UK Treasury said the new rules could be in place before the end of 2015 but lawyers said it would be hard to prove when a banker had taken too much risk or simply made a mistake.
Asked in parliament whether he supported the report's recommendations on criminal penalties and pay, Cameron said: "Penalising, including criminal penalties ... bankers who behave irresponsibly, I say yes."
Lawyers doubted that new laws would be effective.
"There is likely to be a considerable burden of proof - merely miscalculating or being negligent in an assessment of risk most likely won't be enough," said Michael Isaacs, head of banking litigation at law firm Pinsent Masons.
The commission also recommended a new pay code to better balance risk and reward, with bonuses deferred for up to ten years with the aim of preventing bankers taking risks for short term reward, one of the factors blamed for the crisis.
It also proposed that the UK financial regulator would be granted a new power enabling it to cancel all bonuses and pension rights not yet paid out to senior executives in the event of their banks needing taxpayer support.
Watered down
Banking industry sources said banks were likely to accept many of the proposals in principle, including the threat of criminal sanctions, but will lobby for some to be watered down, including the 10-year deferral on bonuses.
"The commission's conclusions contain many constructive proposals to help fix the issues which have afflicted the industry, most importantly in the emphasis on personal responsibility and accountability," said HSBC Chairman Douglas Flint.
The cross-party commission, which includes former British finance minister Nigel Lawson and Justin Welby, head of the Anglican church, recommended senior bankers are held personally responsible and regulators granted greater powers.
Commission member Pat McFadden said it would be "pressing the government very hard in the coming weeks" to make sure the proposals are implemented. The government has set itself a four week deadline to give a formal response.
"I think all of us who were engaged in this process over the last year very much hope this is not a report which is going to gather dust," he told Reuters.
The British Bankers Association, a lobby group, said it would work with government and regulators to take forward proposals from what it described as the "most significant report into banking for a generation".
Unpopular
Bankers are deeply unpopular in Britain where the economy has narrowly avoided a triple-dip recession and is expected to show tepid growth at best through next year.
"I think jail sentences would be suitable," Ben Stewart, a 34-year-old cabinet maker said in Whitechapel, not far from the City of London, the traditional financial heartland.
"It's fraud a lot of what they've done. Even if it's not legally fraud, I think by most people's moral compass, they'd find it quite distasteful."
The commission recommended the industry adopt two new registers for senior bankers and other employees to make sure the most important responsibilities within banks were assigned to specific individuals.
The 'Senior Persons Regime' would enable those responsible for failures to be identified more easily and provide a stronger basis for action to be taken against them, the report said.
The Financial Conduct Authority, the financial services industry watchdog which took over regulation of banks in April, said it was "learning from the regulatory mistakes of the past".
The commission also urged the government to immediately consider a range of strategies for RBS, which is 81% state-owned, including a possible break-up.
Some commission members, including Lawson, have advocated hiving off RBS's toxic loans into a 'bad bank' leaving the remaining 'good bank' better able to lend to British businesses and households. But Finance Minister George Osborne said such a move would be complicated, time consuming and costly.
The report said the government had interfered in the running of RBS and Lloyds Banking Group, in which it holds a 39% stake, and said RBS was being held back by having the government as its main shareholder.
The level of the government's influence over RBS has come under scrutiny since chief executive Stephen Hester was ousted last week with the Treasury's approval.
Osborne is set to lay out strategies for returning RBS and Lloyds Banking Group to full private ownership in his annual speech to financiers in the City of London on Wednesday.

Big expectations for Obama Berlin speech


Five years and 50 years. As President Barack Obama revisits Berlin, he can't escape those anniversaries and the inevitable comparisons to history and personal achievement.

His 26-hour whirlwind visit to the German capital caps three days of international summitry for the president and marks his return to a place where he once summoned a throng of 200 000 to share his ambitious vision for American leadership.

That was 2008, when Obama was running for president and those who supported him at home and abroad saw the young mixed-race American as a unifying and transformational figure who signified hope and change.

Five years later, Obama comes to deliver a highly anticipated speech to a country that's a bit more sober about his aspirations and the extent of his successes, yet still eager to receive his attention at a time that many here feel that Europe, and Germany in particular, are no longer US priorities. A Pew Research Centre poll of Germans found that while their views of the US have slipped since Obama's first year in office, he has managed to retain his popularity, with 88% of those surveyed approving of his foreign policies.

Obama also has an arc of history to fulfil.

Fifty years ago next week, President John F Kennedy addressed a crowd of
450 000 in that then-divided city to denounce the Soviet bloc and famously declare "Ich bin ein Berliner", German for "I am a Berliner". Since then, presidents from Ronald Reagan to Bill Clinton have used Berlin speeches to articulate broad themes about freedom and international alliances.

Need for activism

Obama, fresh from a two-day summit of the Group of Eight industrial economies, will speak at the
Brandenburg Gate, a symbol of Germany's division and later reunification. It is a venue that German Chancellor Angela Merkel denied him in 2008, saying only sitting presidents were granted such an honour.

The past context and the weight of it are not lost on the White House.

"This is a place where US presidents have gone to talk about the role of the free world essentially," said Obama's deputy national security adviser, Ben Rhodes. "He is seeking to summon the energy and legacy of what's been done in the past and apply it to the issues that we face today."

Rhodes said Obama will make the case that even though the Berlin Wall came down 23 years ago and the threat of nuclear war has dissipated, the type of activism apparent during the Cold War needs to be applied to such current challenges as climate change, counterterrorism and the push for democratic values beyond the United States and Europe.

A senior administration official said Obama will also renew his call to reduce the world's nuclear stockpiles, including a proposed one-third reduction in US and Russian arsenals. He is not expected to outline a timeline for this renewed push. The official insisted on anonymity in order to preview the issue before the president's speech.

Obama will also hold a joint news conference with Merkel.

Merkel surprised by scope of spying

The visit was attracting widespread attention in
Germany. People waved and snapped photos as Obama sped by after his arrival and a thick cluster awaited the motorcade as it passed the Brandenburg Gate. An evening news show in Berlin devoted itself to the president's visit, highlighting "Das Biest", or "The Beast", as the president's armoured limousine is called.

There have been a few small protests, including one directed against the National Security Agency's surveillance of foreign communications, where about 50 people waved placards taunting, "Yes, we scan."

Merkel has said she was surprised at the scope of the spying that was revealed and said the
US must clarify what information is monitored. But she also said US intelligence was key to foiling a large-scale terror plot and acknowledged her country is "dependent" on co-operating with American spy services.

For Merkel, the visit presents an opportunity to bolster her domestic standing ahead of a general election in September.

The
US and the Germans have clashed on economic issues, with Obama pressing for Europe to prime the economy with government stimulus measures, while Merkel has insisted on pressing debt-ridden countries to stabilise their fiscal situations first.

But the two sides have found common ground on a trans-Atlantic trade pact between the European Union and the
US At the just-completed G8 summit, the leaders agreed to hold the first talks next month in the US.

Obama calls for nuclear reductions


Issuing an appeal for a new citizen activism in the free world, President Barack Obama renewed his call on Wednesday to reduce US and Russian nuclear stockpiles and to confront climate change, a danger he called "the global threat of our time."
In a wide-ranging speech that enumerates a litany of challenges facing the world, Obama said he wanted to reignite the spirit that Berlin displayed when it fought to reunite itself during the Cold War.
"Today's threats are not as stark as they were half a century ago, but the struggle for freedom and security and human dignity, that struggle goes on," Obama said at the city's historic Brandenburg Gate before a crowd of 6 000 invited guests under a bright, hot sun.
"And I come here for this city of hope because the test of our time demands the same fighting spirit that defined Berlin a half-century ago."
He called for a one-third reduction of US and Russian nuclear stockpiles, saying it is possible to ensure American security and a strong deterrent while also limiting nuclear weapons.
Obama's address, delivered from behind bullet-proof glass, comes nearly 50 years after John F Kennedy's famous Cold War speech in this once-divided city.
The president has previously called for reductions to nuclear stockpiles. But by addressing the issue in a major foreign policy speech, Obama signalled a desire to rekindle an issue that was a centrepiece of his early first-term national security agenda.
The president discussed non-proliferation with Russian President Vladimir Putin when they met on Monday on the sidelines of the Group of 8 summit in Northern Ireland. During Obama's first term, the US and Russia agreed to limit their stockpiles to 1 550 as part of the New START Treaty.
In Moscow, Russian foreign policy aide Yuri Ushakov said that plans for any further arms reduction would have to involve countries beyond Russia and the United States.
"The situation is now far from what it was in the '60s and '70s, when only the USA and the Soviet Union discussed arms reduction," Ushakov said.
Withdrawal
Obama's calls for co-operation with Moscow come at a time of tension between the US and Russia, which are supporting opposite sides in Syria's civil war. Russia also remains wary of US missile defence plans in Europe, despite US assurances that the shield is not aimed at Moscow.
Germany's foreign minister, Guido Westerwelle, is a strong advocate of nuclear disarmament and has long called for the removal of the last US nuclear weapons from German territory, a legacy of the Cold War.
The Buechel Air Base in western Germany is one of a few remaining sites in Europe where they are based.
Under an agreement drawn up when they formed a coalition government in 2009, Merkel's conservatives and Westerwelle's Free Democratic Party agreed to press Nato and Washington for the nuclear weapons to be withdrawn, but did not set any time frame.
Nuclear stockpile numbers are closely guarded secrets in most nations that possess them, but private nuclear policy experts say no countries other than the US and Russia are thought to have more than 300.
The Federation of American Scientists estimates that France has about 300, China about 240, Britain about 225, and Israel, India and Pakistan roughly 100 each.

Obama defends terrorism tactics in Berlin


President Barack Obama defended US intelligence methods on a visit to Berlin on Wednesday, telling Chancellor Angela Merkel and wary Germans that Washington was not monitoring the e-mails of ordinary citizens or damaging civil liberties.

Obama is popular in Germany but revelations before the trip that the United States has a covert internet surveillance programme, codenamed Prism, have caused outrage in a country where memories of the eavesdropping East German Stasi secret police are still fresh.

Merkel said at a joint news conference that also touched on Afghanistan, Syria and the global economy, that the two leaders had held "long and intensive" talks on the spying issue, and pointed out that some questions still need to be cleared up.

"This is not a situation in which we are rifling through the ordinary e-mails of German citizens or American citizens or French citizens or anybody else," said Obama, on his first visit to the German capital as president.

"This is not a situation where we simply go into the internet and start searching any way we want. This is a circumscribed system directed at us being able to protect our people and all of it is done under the oversight of the courts."

Obama was later due to speak to a crowd of roughly 4 000 invited guests at the Brandenburg Gate, which used to stand alongside the Berlin Wall dividing communist East Berlin from the capitalist West of the city.

Tension in
Afghanistan

His visit comes on the 50th anniversary of John F Kennedy's famous Ich bin ein Berliner speech. Seizing on the Cold War theme, Obama is expected to announce plans to sharply reduce nuclear arms stockpiles, an initiative he kicked off with a speech in
Prague in 2009 but which involves complex negotiations with Russia.

At the news conference, he touched on tensions with Afghan President Hamid Karzai over US plans to begin talks with the Taliban to try to seek a negotiated peace after 12 years of war, acknowledging "huge mistrust" between the Western-backed government in
Kabul and its arch-foes.

"We do think that ultimately we're going to need to see Afghans talking to Afghans about how they can move forward and end the cycle of violence there so they can start actually building their country," Obama said.

As a sign of displeasure with the
US move, Karzai has suspended talks with Washington on a troop agreement. But Obama said he welcomed Karzai's announcement that Afghan forces would soon take responsibility for security from the US-led Nato peacekeeping force.

On
Syria, Obama said reports that the United States was ready to "go all in" to war in the country were exaggerated. He reiterated his view that President Bashar Assad's government had used chemical weapons, while acknowledging that Russia was sceptical on this point.

For her part, Merkel said
Germany would not deliver weapons to the rebels, even though a European Union arms embargo on Syria has lapsed.

Pragmatic relationship


Obama arrived in
Germany from a two-day summit with Group of Eight leaders in Northern Ireland where he and other leaders clashed with Russian President Vladimir Putin over Syria.

He last came to
Berlin in 2008, during his first campaign for the presidency. Back then, Merkel refused to allow him to speak at the Brandenburg Gate. Instead he spoke down the road in Berlin's Tiergarten park, attracting a crowd of 200 000 - largely enthusiastic admirers.

The Democrat has forged a pragmatic - if not warm - relationship with the conservative Merkel, who is hoping to get a boost out of the visit months before a German election.

In a message which seemed designed for her domestic audience, she told Obama at the news conference that balance was essential in government monitoring of Internet communications.

"I made clear that although we do see the need for gathering information, the topic of proportionality is always an important one and the free democratic order is based on people feeling safe," said Merkel, who grew up in the communist East and experienced the Stasi first hand.

Obama said the US had thwarted at least 50 threats because of its monitoring programme, including planned attacks in
Germany.

Reassurance on drones


"So lives have been saved and the encroachment on privacy has been strictly limited," he said.

A poll last week showed 82% of Germans approve of Obama, but the magic of 2008, when he was feted like a rock star, has faded amid concerns about his tactics in combating terrorism.

In a nod to the criticism, Obama defended his failure to close the
Guantanamo Bay prison on Cuba that his predecessor George W Bush opened after the invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, shortly after the 11 September attacks in New York and Washington.

He also reassured Germans that the
US military was not using German bases to launch unmanned drone attacks.

For Obama, who grew up in
Hawaii and spent part of his childhood in Indonesia, Europe has sometimes seemed an after-thought. The signature foreign policy initiative of his first term was his "pivot" to Asia.

But analysts say plans to create a free-trade zone between the
United States and European Union are a sign that he is repositioning policy to focus on Europe.

Enduring bonds


"The Obama administration has found it harder than expected to work with emerging powers and has fallen back to a more traditional reliance on European allies," said Charles Kupchan, professor of international affairs at
Georgetown University.

"
Washington doesn't have better options. And when it comes to who to engage in Europe, Germany grows stronger and stronger."

Obama spoke of "enduring bonds based on common values" that linked the
United States to Europe.

Peacekeeping: Ban warns of new threats


UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said on Wednesday the world body's peacekeeping efforts face growing dangers from non-traditional threats such as suicide bombers and improvised explosive devices.

Ban told reporters on a visit to a peacekeeping training base near the Chinese capital that the UN must ensure that peacekeepers have the necessary training and specialised skills to face the threats.

These threats "are not new to the UN, but they are more intense," Ban said.

Ban's comments came at the start of a three-day visit to
China to meet with newly appointed President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang. Their discussions are expected to include China's growing involvement in UN affairs, along with international topics including tensions on the Korean Peninsula.

He said peacekeepers need to react rapidly and gather and analyze information on remote areas. In order to ensure that capability, the UN is deploying drones for the first time to its mission in the
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ban said.

Ban also praised
China's commitment to peacekeeping efforts. China has dispatched 22 000 troops to 23 missions, more than the other four permanent members of the UN Security Council combined.

"I applaud this solidarity," Ban said, noting 14 Chinese peacekeepers have died while serving.

Threatened

In all, nearly 3 000 peacekeepers have died in the line of duty since the first were deployed 65 years ago - 103 of them last year in Congo, Darfur, Sudan, Ivory Coast and other countries. Eight more civilian contractors, such as pilots, also died during deployment with peacekeeping missions in 2012.

The United Nations currently has more than 113 000 personnel serving in 16 UN peacekeeping and political missions.

In the latest crisis to hit peacekeeping efforts,
Austria announced it would pull out its 377 peacekeepers from the 911-member UN force in the Golan Heights after fighting from the Syrian civil war threatened their positions earlier this month.

That will leave just 341 Philippine soldiers and 193 from
India in the strategic area along the border with Israel.

Philippine Foreign Secretary Albert del Rosario told reporters on Wednesday that his country will keep its peacekeepers in place at least until 3 August. It will then consider a request from Ban to stay on, del Rosario said.

Tuesday, January 29, 2013

NEWS,29.01.2013



RBS faces £500m fine over Libor scandal


Britain's Royal Bank of Scotland could face a £500m ($786m, €585m) fine from British and US authorities for its role in the Libor rate-rigging affair, media said Tuesday.The Wall Street Journal, citing people briefed on negotiations, added that US authorities were pushing for a settlement of allegations that would result also in an RBS division pleading guilty to criminal charges.The newspaper said that the deal could be completed within the next fortnight and added that RBS was resisting any guilty plea amid fears it would lose clients and spark costly litigation.A spokesperson for the state-rescued bank would not be drawn on the article, simply saying: "Discussions with various authorities in relation to Libor setting are ongoing."We continue to co-operate fully with their investigations," he added in a statement.Investors meanwhile took flight at Tuesday's development. RBS shares sank 5.98% to finish at 345.80 pence on London's FTSE 100 index of leading shares, which ended 0.71% higher at 6 339.19 points.The Edinburgh-based lender is 82% owned by the British government after a vast bailout during the global financial crisis.The Libor affair erupted in June 2012 when Barclays bank was fined 290m by British and US regulators for attempted manipulation of Libor and Euribor interbank rates between 2005 and 2009.In December, Swiss banking giant UBS was slapped with fines totalling $1.5bn after a major probe by Swiss, British and US regulators revealed evidence of massive misconduct."It cannot be said that this comes as a surprise given that it was well flagged that authorities will chase RBS following the successful takedowns of Barclays and UBS," said analyst Ishaq Siddiqi at trading group ETX Capital."However, it does serve to remind us just how careless and brazen traders at these banks were, taking excessive risk to manipulate rates."The response in markets may be somewhat muted in the sessions ahead as over the months we have learnt just how deep this corruption ran through the Libor market and instead, investors are likely to breathe a sigh of relief as these charges will remove an overhang in the stock price."The Libor rate is used as a benchmark for global financial contracts worth about $300 trillion. However, the system was found to be open to abuse, with some traders lying about borrowing costs to boost trading positions or make their bank seem more secure.The London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, is a flagship instrument used all over the world, affecting what banks, businesses and individuals pay to borrow money. Euribor is the eurozone equivalent.

Global tourism peaked in 2012 - UN


International tourist arrivals exceeded one billion for the first time last year, with the Asia-Pacific region posting the biggest increase in foreign visitors, and numbers will rise further in 2013, a UN body said on Tuesday. The number of international tourist arrivals grew by 4.0% to 1.035 billion in 2012, up from 996 million in 2011, the Madrid-based United Nations World Tourism Organisation said in an annual survey."2012 was a year of constant economic instability in the entire world, especially in the euro zone. Despite this international tourism managed to maintain its course," the body's Secretary General Taleb Rifai told a news conference.The organisation forecasts international tourist numbers will grow in 2013 although at a slightly lower rate of 3.0%  4.0%.Global tourism figures were hit hard by the 2008 global financial crisis, with the rise in international arrivals that year slowing to 2.1% after jumping 6.6% in the previous year.Arrivals plunged by 3.9% in 2009, its worst performance in 60 years, as the outbreak of the swine flu virus contributed to cash-strapped consumers' decision to stay home.But international tourism arrivals bounced back the following year, rising 6.6% in 2010 and by 5.0% in 2011 even though global economic crisis had not yet ended. The Asia-Pacific region posted the largest growth in visitor arrivals last year with the number of foreign tourists up by 14 million or 6.5% to 233 million.Growth in the number of foreign visitors was highest in Southeast Asia, with the number of arrivals up by 8.7% over 2011.Tourist numbers climbed 4.1% in emerging economies compared with a 3.6% rise in advanced economies.The only region to report a decline in tourist numbers compared with 2011 was the Middle East with 2.0% fewer arrivals because of political instability in popular tourist spots such as Egypt and Syria.But the drop in the number of visitors to the region was smaller than the decline of 7.0 posted in 2011, the UN body said.Asia and Africa are expected to post the greatest growth in tourist numbers this year.The agency predicts tourist arrivals will increase by 5.0%-6.0% in the Asia-Pacific region this year and by 4.0%-6.0% in Africa.The Middle East will see the number of foreign visitors to the region rise by 0 and 5.0% this year while Europe will post growth of 2.0%-3.0%.The forecast of continued growth in international tourist arrivals next year comes a week after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted the global economy will grow slightly less in 2013 than expected.The IMF projects global gross domestic product annual growth of 3.5% this year, a dip of 0.1 point from its October forecast owing largely to weakness in the eurozone, and 4.1% in 2014.The UN World Tourism Organisation predicts international tourist arrivals will rise by an average of 3.8% each year between 2010 and 2020 and will reach 1.8 billion in 2030.

Japan to approve $1.02 trillion budget


Japan's cabinet was Tuesday set to approve a $1.02 trillion annual budget with boosts in defence and public works spending amid a festering territorial row with China and a renewed assault on deflation.The cabinet is expected to approve a ¥92.61 trillion budget for fiscal 2013, with revenue estimated at ¥43.10 trillion and new bond issuance at ¥42.85 trillion - the first time in four years revenue will have been greater than new bond issuance, local reports have said.The budget is down from the ¥92.9 trillion allocated in the fiscal 2012 initial budget, the first decrease in seven years, they said.But the defence budget is up by ¥40bn or about 0.8% from the previous year to ¥4.75 trillion, the first rise in 11 years, at a time Japan is embroiled in a row with China over a chain of islands in the East China Sea.Beijing has repeatedly sent vessels to the disputed waters, prompting calls in Japan for more measures to defend the Tokyo-controlled islands, called the Senkakus in Japan but known as the Diaoyus in China.Defence Minister Itsunori Onodera has said the military will add nearly 300 personnel to help defend the disputed islands.Meanwhile, public works spending rises for the first time in four years, growing by ¥710bn to ¥5.29 trillion, reports said.Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who took office in December, has pledged to pull Japan out of years of deflation by active government spending coupled with aggressive monetary easing by the Bank of Japan.Abe's government announced a $226.5bn stimulus package earlier this month.In the fiscal 2013 budget, the issuance of new government bonds decreases by ¥1.4 trillion from the preceding year to ¥42.85 trillion, Jiji Press said.The government is planning an $86bn bond sale to pay for the stimulus, stoking fears about spending by Tokyo, which already owes creditors cash equal to twice the size of its economy.

 

Japan, China set to boost economic ties


Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said on Tuesday he was open to a meeting with Chinese leaders to rebuild ties damaged by a territorial dispute but said there was no room for negotiations on their row over a group of small islands.The remarks came after China's Communist Party chief, Xi Jinping, told a Japanese envoy sent to Beijing last week that he was committed to developing bilateral ties and would consider holding a summit meeting.Relations between the world's second- and third-largest economies plunged after the Japanese government bought three disputed islands from a private owner last September, sparking anti-Japan protests across China.Some Japanese businesses were looted and Japanese citizens attacked."It is precisely because we have a problem that we should hold the summit between leaders and have high-level talks," Abe said on a television programme, "I would like to consider a top-level summit if circumstances allow."The conservative prime minister has just increased the defence budget for the first time in 11 years and swept back to power in a December election calling for the protection of Japan's "beautiful seas".He reiterated Japan's stance on the islands, which it controls. Japan calls them the Senkaku while China calls them the Diaoyu."The Senkaku Islands are our land and China has taken provocative steps against them ... we have been clear that there is no room for negotiation on this matter," he said."But on top of that, there's an economic relationship. Japan invests in China and reaps benefits from exporting its goods there while China creates job places thanks to Japanese investment," said Abe, adding that maintaining strong economic ties were vital for both countries."If top-level meeting was necessary to achieve that, we should do it and from that point on rebuild our relationship."

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

NEWS,19.12.2012



Obama wants gun policy recommendations by JanUARY


US President Barack Obama has directed a Cabinet group to give him recommendations by next month on ways to tighten the regulation of guns in the wake of the Connecticut massacre of schoolchildren.Responding to national outrage over Friday's killing of 20 children, aged six and seven-years-old, Obama held a White House news conference to announce that Vice President Joe Biden will lead an effort to craft policies to crack down on gun violence.Obama said he believed Americans would support the reinstatement of a ban on the sale of military-style assault weapons, a ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition clips, and a law requiring background checks on buyers before all gun purchases, which would close a loophole that allows sales at open-air gun shows without such background checks.Saying gun control cannot be the only solution to the problem, Obama expressed support for making it easier for Americans to get access to mental health care "at least as easy as access to a gun," he said.Under pressure from fellow Democrats to act, Obama insisted the guns issue would not be ignored this time. Previous appeals for more gun regulation have died even as mass shootings have continued.With Biden at his side, Obama said the group would give him proposals that he could outline in his State of the Union speech in late January. Cabinet members involved include Attorney General Eric Holder, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius and Education Secretary Arne Duncan."This is not some Washington commission," Obama said. "This is not something where folks are going to be studying the issue for six months and publishing a report that gets read and then pushed aside."This is a team that has a very specific task to pull together real reforms right now."The Newtown, Connecticut, shooting of so many schoolchildren by a 20-year-old gunman has shocked Americans in ways that previous mass shootings have not. The gunman's mother and six adults at the school were also killed before he shot himself.Some previously adamant opponents of increased gun control have expressed a willingness to consider more regulation. Even the powerful National Rifle Association, the lobby group that has sought time and again to stymie gun legislation, said this week that it would be prepared to offer meaningful contributions to ensure there is no repeat of Newtown.Obama himself has done little to rein in America's gun culture in his four years in office. His administration has to a certain extent expanded gun rights by permitting the carrying of firearms in national parks.Asked why he has been a no-show on the subject until now, Obama defended himself, saying he has been dealing with the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression and wars in Iraq and Afghanistan."I don't think I've been on vacation," he said, adding the Newtown massacre "should be a wake-up call for all of us"."We may never know all the reasons why this tragedy happened," Obama told reporters. "We do know that every day since, more Americans have died of gun violence."If there is even one thing that we can do to prevent any of these events, we have a deep obligation, all of us, to try."We know this is a complex issue that stirs deeply held passions and political divides and, as I said on Sunday night, there's no law or set of laws that can prevent every senseless act of violence in our society."The fact that we can't prevent every act of violence doesn't mean we can't steadily reduce the violence and prevent the very worst violence."Obama added he would push such a proposal "without delay", citing as a model a previous ten-year ban on assault weapons military-style semi-automatics that Congress allowed to expire in 2004.Whatever steps Obama's task force comes up with are likely to face some criticism because many Republicans see the US Constitution's Second Amendment right to bear arms as sacrosanct."What we're looking for here is a thoughtful approach that says we can preserve our Second Amendment, we can make sure that responsible gun owners are able to carry out their activities, but that we're gonna actually be serious about the safety side of this," Obama said.Obama has tapped Biden to lead other high-profile initiatives, including efforts on a deficit-reduction compromise with congressional Republicans in 2011.US Representative Ron Barber, who was wounded in a 2011 Arizona shooting that targeted his predecessor, Gabrielle Giffords, welcomed the effort and echoed other Democratic lawmakers' calls to ban military-grade guns."We cannot go on blithely believing that we can solve this problem in other ways," Barber said at a news conference earlier at the Capitol."We have to look at the weaponry used and we have to look at the people who use it and we have to do something about both,"Friday's massacre was the fourth shooting rampage to claim multiple lives in the United States this year.

Obama vows to veto fiscal cliff plan


President Barack Obama on Wednesday warned Republicans he would veto their "Plan B" plan to avert the looming fiscal cliff crisis, saying it would dump pain disproportionately on the middle class. The move came as hopes faded for an imminent deal to avert a year-end combination of tax hikes and huge spending cuts which analysts fear could spark a new US recession and damage the fragile global economic recovery.Republican House Speaker John Boehner framed the legislation, which would raise taxes on those earning more than $1m, in case his talks with Obama on a broader plan to trim the US deficit do not bear fruit by the deadline.His gambit was the latest move in a tense game of brinkmanship between the Democratic White House and Republican House, which has deep political ramifications for the balance of power in Washington during Obama's second term.White House communications director Dan Pfeiffer said the Boehner plan meant that the wealthiest Americans would still benefit while students and families would lose critical tax cuts and health and unemployment benefits they need.Pfeiffer said the plan would also "perversely" not include spending cuts that Republicans have demanded in talks with Obama."This approach does not meet the test of balance, and the president would veto the legislation in the unlikely event of its passage."If Boehner and Obama do not reach a deal before the end of the year, George W Bush-era tax cuts on all Americans will expire and taxes will go up.Obama campaigned on renewing tax cuts for people earning less than $250 000 but has since moved the threshold in negotiations with Boehner up to $400 000.Boehner spokesperson Brendan Buck called what he said was the White House's opposition to a back-up plan "bizarre and irrational”."In the absence of a 'balanced' solution from the president ... we must act to stop taxes from rising across the board in 12 days," he said.Earlier this week, hopes were rising for a deal but Boehner's decision to put a Plan B on the House floor has some observers wondering whether he can sell a deal with Obama to his own restive caucus.White House officials privately say that they believe Obama has made significant compromises in search of a deal with Boehner, including agreeing to a Republican plan to calculate the impact of inflation on the Social Security retirement plan, which could slow the growth of benefits.


Global disasters cost $140bn


Natural and man-made disasters around the world this year, including Superstorm Sandy, will cost at least $140bn (€106bn), according to a study published by Swiss insurance group Swiss Re on Wednesday.The insurance industry will cover about $65bn of all losses from such catastrophes, the study showed, ticking in above the average for the past 10 years.It nevertheless marked a significant drop from 2011, when massive earthquakes and flooding forced insurers to dish out more than $120bn to cover disaster-related losses.Natural catastrophes alone this year will lead to more than 11 000 deaths and $60bn in insured claims, Swiss Re said in a statement.But after two years when natural disasters such as the devastating Haiti earthquake and Pakistan floods were largely concentrated in Asia Pacific and South America, "2012 is dominated by large, weather-related losses in the US", it added. The "top-five insured loss events" had all happened in the US, it pointed out. They included Hurricane Sandy which wreaked havoc across the east coast of the country, as well as in the Caribbean and the Bahamas at the end of October."Estimates for the insured cost of the devastation are between $20 and $25bn," it said, though "it is still too soon to gauge the final overall damage".In addition, extremely dry weather conditions in the US had led to "one of the worst droughts in recent decades, affecting more than half of the country", the study showed. Drought-related agricultural losses there were expected to swell to $11bn, it added.


Claims from superstorm Sandy in check


The Lloyd's of London insurance market said it can cope comfortably with claims from Superstorm Sandy that could cost it up to $2.5bn, the third-biggest loss in its 324-year history.There will be no impact on the market's central fund, a cash reserve used to meet claims, if any of the insurance syndicates operating at Lloyd's finds itself unable to pay."The Lloyd's insurance market remains financially strong and, while claims from this storm could still evolve over time, the market's total exposure is well within worst-case scenarios," Chief Executive Richard Ward said on Wednesday. Sandy, which killed 132 people as it swept through the northeastern United States on October 29, is expected to cost the insurance industry up to $25bn, making it the second-costliest storm after hurricane Katrina in 2005. At the top of the Lloyd's estimated range, Sandy would displace last year's Thai floods as the market's third-biggest loss, surpassed only by Katrina and the September 11 terrorist attacks. Those disasters cost Lloyd's $4.3bn and $3bn respectively, without adjusting for inflation.Sandy came towards the end of a relatively uneventful year for natural catastrophes, in contrast with 2011, which was the industry's second-costliest year on record after Japan's Tohoku earthquake and Thailand's worst floods in half a century. Analysts say that insurers' claims bill for 2012, as a whole, will be relatively subdued and most should turn a profit for the year."My overriding view is that all Sandy will do is turn what would have been an exceptionally profitable year back into an average to slightly below average year," Espirito Santo analyst Joy Ferneyhough said. Insurers look set to absorb about $65bn in catastrophe claims this year, slightly more than half the $120bn they picked up in 2011, reinsurer Swiss Re said on Wednesday. Lloyd's, a group of about 80 competing insurance syndicates that traces its origins back to a 17th century London coffee house where merchants insured ships, has historically borne 10% of the claims from big natural disasters.Insurers and analysts have said that accurately assessing the final bill from Sandy is difficult because of the size of the affected region, which includes New York and other densely populated and industrialised areas.