Showing posts with label referendum. Show all posts
Showing posts with label referendum. Show all posts

Thursday, February 9, 2012

NEWS.09.02.2012.


Iran turns to barter for food as sanctions cripple imports



Cooling towers at a nuclear power plant northeast of downtown Tehran, Iran.

Iran is turning to barter - offering gold bullion in overseas vaults or tanker loads of oil - in return for food as new financial sanctions have hurt its ability to import basic staples for its 74 million people, commodities traders said. Difficulty paying for urgent import needs has contributed to sharp rises in the prices of basic foodstuffs, causing hardship for Iranians with just weeks to go before an election seen as a referendum on President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's economic policies. New sanctions imposed by the United States and European Union to punish Iran for its nuclear programme do not bar firms from selling Iran food but they make it difficult to carry out the international financial transactions needed to pay for it. Surveys of commodities traders around the globe show that since the start of the year, Iran has had trouble securing imports of basic staples like rice, cooking oil, animal feed and tea. Grain ships have been held at its ports, refusing to unload until payment can be received for cargo. With Iran's real currency tumbling, the prices of rice, bread and meat in Iranian bazaars have doubled or more in dollar terms in recent months. Iranian grain importers have in the past side-stepped sanctions by booking business through the United Arab Emirates, traders said, but this option was cut off by the UAE government in response to sanctions. Iran has been trading oil in currencies like Japanese yen, South Korean won and Indian rupees, but such deals make it difficult to repatriate profits. Deals revealed on Thursday appear to be among the first in which Iran has had to result to offering cashless barter to avoid sanctions, a sign of new urgency as it seeks to buy food and get around the financial restrictions.” Grain deals are being paid for in gold bullion and barter deals are being offered," one European grains trader said, speaking on condition of anonymity while discussing commercial deals. "Some of the major trading houses are involved.” Another trader said: "As the shipments of grain are so large, barter or gold payments are the quickest option.” Details of how the barter deals work are still unclear as the payments problem is so new, and traders did not disclose the exact size of such deals. The economic hardship is being felt in Iran at a pivotal time in its domestic politics and its nuclear diplomacy with the West. The United States and Europe say the sanctions are needed to push Iran to the negotiating table before it produces enough nuclear material to build an atomic bomb. Iran says its nuclear programme is peaceful. Last month it began nuclear enrichment at a new facility deep under a mountain to make it secure from military strikes. Iranian officials deny that sanctions are having a serious economic impact, while also saying that their people are willing to endure any hardship in support of the country's sovereign right to nuclear technology. Officials in Israel, Iran's arch foe, openly say time is running out for air strikes to destroy the nuclear programme if sanctions do not persuade Tehran to back down. Iran’s parliamentary election on March 2 will be its first vote since a presidential vote in 2009, when Ahmadinejad's disputed re-election against a reformist opponent triggered eight months of violent street demonstrations. The Iranian government successfully put that uprising down by force, but since then the "Arab Spring" has revealed the vulnerability of authoritarian states in the region to popular anger fuelled by economic hardship.
Reformists are barely represented in next month's election, having been barred from standing or declaring boycotts. The vote will be hotly contested between Ahmadinejad's supporters and conservative opponents who blame him for economic disarray. Children of Iranian opposition leaders called on the international community to help their voices reach the rest of the world, opposition leader Mirhossein Mousavi's website Kaleme reported on Wednesday. Reformists are planning a rally next week, which could be a rare test of whether the soaring food prices are increasing anger on the streets.The Feb. 14 rally would mark a year of house arrest for Mirhossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi, the candidates who opposed Ahmadinejad in 2009. It was announced on Mousavi's website, Kaleme. The effect of Iran's difficulty processing payments on often opaque international commodities markets can be felt directly on the streets in the form of higher prices and shortages. According to commodities traders in Asia, shipments of palm oil from both the top suppliers, Indonesia and Malaysia, have been halted to Iran because traders fear they cannot get paid. The two countries account for 90% of global supply of the oil, a staple ingredient for products from margarine to sweets.” I can confirm that Singaporean firms have stopped. We don't want to go anywhere near Iran at this moment, it is too risky," said a trader with a listed Singaporean firm that ships Indonesian palm oil cargoes to the Middle East and Iran. A trading source from Saudi Arabia whose firm runs a 16,000-tonne-a-year plant that refines food oil in Iran said the sector was barely operating. A margarine factory owner in Tehran told Reuters on Wednesday he expected to halt production within months because of a shortage of raw materials. The impact could be felt in a Tehran pastry shop.” We are going bankrupt and probably will be closed within weeks," said the owner on Thursday. "All my ingredients come from abroad. Either the prices suddenly doubled or they stopped being shipped. We are doomed.” While the United States and Europe lack the authority without the United Nations to ban dealings by other countries with Iran, their measures can raise the cost of doing business so much that it is no longer profitable for traders.” The objective of current and likely sanctions is very simple: to raise the cost of having anything to do with the purchase or shipping of Iranian petroleum to such an extent that even such potential partners who are formally beyond the legal jurisdiction of the United States or its allies will nonetheless shun doing business with Tehran," said J Peter Pham, with the Atlantic Council, a US think-tank. China, which bought a fifth of Iran's oil exports last year, has cut its imports this year in half, seeking a steeper discount which will hurt Iran's revenues.In public, companies and countries say they will still trade with Iran as long as it remains legal to do so.” Like all the international companies, we do business there, but you have to be very careful," Paul Conway, chairman of US agribusiness giant Cargill told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday. Rahul Khullar, trade secretary of India, one of Iran's main trade partners, said: "If the EU and the US both want to stop exports to that country, please tell me why I should follow suit? Why shouldn't I take up that business opportunity?"Under US pressure, India shut down a payments system for trade with Iran last year. Under a new system, Indian firms are expected to pay for 45% of their Iranian oil imports in Indian rupees to avoid going through international banks. Implementing the system has been stalled while Indian authorities work out whether to subject such payments to tax.Traders revealed to Reuters this week that Iranian buyers had defaulted on payments for Indian rice. Khullar said there were also payment problems in tea, although he did not give details. Indian tea exports to Iran fell by a third last year.Azam Monem, director at McLeod Russel India, the world's largest tea producer, said exporters were waiting for a system to be set up so that Iranian buyers can pay in rupees.Reza Hosseini, a food wholesaler in Tehran, said: "The price per regular package of tea has doubled.... Since Iran is a big importer of tea, the sharp rise in price means that there is a problem with its import.” International shipping firms are cutting back business with Iran. Last year the United States blacklisted major Iranian port operator Tidewater Middle East Co, which operates seven terminals in Iran including Bandar Abbas, Iran's only container port connected to the world's big shipping lines.” I sense that many international shipping companies are challenged beyond what they find can be justified when looking at the potential earnings of trading with Iran," said Jakob Larsen, a maritime security officer with BIMCO, the world's largest private ship-owners' association.” Having said that, I think there are still some who are able to carry on their business in a way that does not breach sanctions and yet ensures a decent return on investment.” Danish shipping company AP Moller-Maersk said this week it had suspended new oil tanker deals with Iran due to the EU measures. German container shipping group Hapag-Lloyd said on Thursday it no longer offered limited services to Iran. It had already ended consignments last year to Tidewater-run ports. Iran faces a bigger challenge if US lawmakers pass sanctions on its main tanker group, the privately run National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) with a fleet of 40 tankers, or on the state-owned National Iranian Oil Company.” The measure ... would amount to de facto oil and shipping embargos," the Atlantic Council's Pham said. "The mere taint would also have a net negative effect on Iran, driving those fearful of the reach of sanctions to decide not to go through with transactions while giving Iran's remaining partners - one thinks, for example, of Chinese firms - the leverage to drive the price they pay down."

Sunday, January 22, 2012

NEWS, 22.01.2012

        CROATIANS VOTE YES OR NO TO EU


Croatia holds a referendum on Sunday on whether to join the European Union in 2013, with its leaders making clear the small Adriatic country has no better option despite the economic turmoil in the bloc.


Eurosceptic protesters demonstrate against Croatia's signing of the European Union (EU) accession treaty at Zagreb's main square January 14, 2012. 


Opinion polls suggest the vote will pass, with the last one, released Saturday, putting support at 61 percent. Supporters say a "No" vote would leave Croatia stuck with struggling fellow ex-Yugoslav republics in the western Balkans, which was ravaged by war in the 1990s and is the only part of south-eastern Europe still outside the EU.But some Croats fear a loss of sovereignty if the country joins now, after just two decades as an independent state."Croatia will not lose its sovereignty or natural resources, nor will it be ruled by the EU," President Ivo Josipovic said in a written statement to the nation Saturday."Europe will not solve all our problems, but it's a great opportunity.” The European Union has said Croatia can become its 28th member on July 1, 2013 after completing seven years of tough entry talks in June last year. It would become the second former Yugoslav republic to join, following Slovenia in 2004.The "No" camp is playing on fears of a wave of foreigners buying up Croatian companies and property. Some say the timing is all wrong and that the EU is not what it once was given the debt crisis that is threatening the single currency.Many complain they are unsure what membership will mean for the country of 4.3 million people.


                                           CHURCH BACKING

"My son is all excited and in favour, but I'm not," said Jasna, a 46-year-old hairdresser from the capital, Zagreb. "There are just so many things I don't know and don't understand about the EU that I cannot vote 'Yes’.” The "Yes" camp this week won the endorsement of Croatia's powerful Roman Catholic church as well as a former wartime general on trial for war crimes but regarded by many Croats as a national hero.” I will vote for membership of the EU because that's where we belong," Ante Gotovina told state news agency Hina through his lawyers from the U.N. war crimes tribunal in The Hague. Croatia broke away from Yugoslavia in a 1991-95 war, and then saw strong growth on the back of foreign lending and waves of tourists to its stunning Adriatic coast. But its economy has been hit hard by the global economic crisis. Analysts and government officials warn a rejection of EU accession Sunday would bring down the country's credit rating, deter investors and further dampen any prospect of a quick economic recovery. If the referendum passes, all EU member states must ratify Croatia's accession before it can join. It will not join the euro zone yet. Croatia’s current GDP per capita is 61 percent of the EU average. It expects some 450 million euros, or 1 percent of its GDP, from EU funds for development projects in the first year alone."Croatia does not have, and will not have any time soon, the money to build infrastructure, develop rural areas and finance labour market reforms," said Zdravko Petak, a professor of political science in Zagreb.” The only things that can kick-start Croatia's growth is European money," he said.
Voting starts at 7 a.m. (0600 GMT) and ends at 7 p.m. (1800 GMT). First results are expected around an hour after polls close.