US to press on with Iran sanctions
President Barack Obama vowed today
to forge ahead with tough sanctions on Iran, saying there was enough oil in the
world market - including emergency stockpiles - to allow countries to cut
Iranian imports.In his decision, required by a sanctions law he signed in
December, Obama said increased production by some countries as well as
"the existence of strategic reserves" helped him come to the
conclusion that sanctions can advance."I will closely monitor this
situation to assure that the market can continue to accommodate a reduction in
purchases of petroleum and petroleum products from Iran," he said in a
statement.Obama had been expected to press on with the sanctions to pressure
Iran to curb its nuclear program, which the West suspects is a cover to develop
atomic weapons but which Iran says is purely civilian.The overt mention of
government-controlled stockpiles may further stoke speculation that major
consumer nations are preparing to tap their emergency stores this year."I
do think it was interesting that it was laid out there," said David
Pumphrey, an analyst at the Center for Strategic and International
Studies."It was sort of like a reminder that yes, this is part of the tool
kit," said Pumphrey, a former Energy Department official.Oil markets
remain tight, the White House said. Surging gasoline prices have become a major
issue in the presidential election campaign."A series of production
disruptions in South Sudan, Syria, Yemen, Nigeria, and the North Sea have removed
oil from the market," the White House said in a statement.France is in
talks with the United States and Britain on a possible release of strategic oil
stocks to push fuel prices lower, French ministers said on Wednesday.Senior
Obama administration officials told reporters that the United States views
releasing emergency stocks as an option, but said no decision has been made on
specific actions.Oil prices briefly rallied by about 70 cents on the
announcement, but later reversed gains to end almost flat as traders turned
mindful of the possible use of reserves."There's been a shift from focus
on a threat (by Iran) to close the Strait of Hormuz to whether or not reserves
are going to be released," said Dominick Caglioti, a broker at Frontier
Trading Co. in New York.Going forward, Obama is required by law to determine
every six months whether the price and supply of non-Iranian oil are sufficient
to allow consumers to "significantly" cut their purchases from
Iran.The law allows Obama, after June 28, to sanction foreign banks that carry
out oil-related transactions with Iran's central bank and effectively cut them
off from the US financial system."Today, we put on notice all nations that
continue to import petroleum or petroleum products from Iran that they have three
months to significantly reduce those purchases or risk the imposition of severe
sanctions on their financial institutions," said Senator Robert Menendez,
co-author of the sanctions law.Obama can offer exemptions to countries that
show they have "significantly" cut their purchases from Iran, and
recently exempted Japan and 10 EU countries from the sanctions.A senior
administration official told reporters that talks continue with China, India,
South Korea and other importers."Each day I think really we see a number
of positive indicators from a broad range of countries," the official
said, citing an announcement by Turkey today that it would cut imports of oil
from Iran by 10% as an example.Obama faces a delicate balancing act on Iran,
leading up to November US general election. On the one hand, he must show
voters he is being tough on the Islamic state.But with oil and gasoline prices
surging in response to geopolitical risks, he must also avoid steps that would
unduly rattle oil markets. That could threaten the global economy and hurt
voters already angered by the rising cost of fuel.Obama also faces pressure
from some lawmakers in Congress who want to make sanctions on Iran even
tighter. The House of Representatives has already passed additional sanctions,
and a bill is pending in the Senate.Senior administration officials briefing
reporters declined comment on the proposed new sanctions."We welcome the
president's determination and applaud the administration's faithful
implementation of the Menendez-Kirk amendment," said a spokesman for
Senator Mark Kirk, a Republican who has pushed for additional measures."To
build on this momentum, we hope the Senate will consider amendments to the
pending Iran sanctions bill that would continue to increase the economic pressure on
the Iranian regime," Kirk's spokesman said.
Spain announces deep cuts amid public protest
Spain has announced
deep cuts to its central government budget as it battles to convince European
partners and debt markets it can rein in its budget deficit in the face of
growing complaints from the public.The government said it would make savings of
27 billion euros for the rest of 2012 from the central government budget,
equivalent to around 2.5% of gross domestic product. The figure includes tax
rises and spending cuts of around 15 billion euros announced in December.The
cuts come despite popular resistance - a general strike on Thursday disrupted
transport, halted industry and saw some minor violence - and against a grim
economic backdrop; Spain is thought to have fallen back into recession in the
first quarter and has the highest unemployment rate in the European
Union."Everyone knows the difficult problem we face in this country, and
it calls for special efforts in fiscal consolidation and structural reforms to
grow and create employment," Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de
Santamaria said after the weekly cabinet meeting.The centre-right government,
which swept to power in November with the largest parliamentary majority in 30
years, has already passed labour market and banking sector reforms that it says
can improve competitiveness and reduce wage costs.EU partners have agreed to
let Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy aim for a total 2012 deficit at 5.3% of gross
domestic product, a less demanding goal than the 4.4% originally suggested but
substantially less than last year's 8.5%.Speaking in Copenhagen after an EU
ministerial meeting, Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos said the measures
would be implemented as soon as possible, adding that any suggestions that
Madrid needed emergency international funds was "absurd".Spain is
trying to assure its EU partners that it is in control of slashing its deficit
and to avoid needing a bailout package like that of smaller neighbour
Portugal."What comforts markets are domestic policies. If we don't do what
is needed, then there will be no rescue fund that is big enough," de
Guindos said. Finance ministers agreed on Friday to increase a financial
firewall to 700 billion euros to ward off fears the euro zone debt crisis could
spill over to Spain or Italy, much larger economies than those bailed out
previously.The Spanish government said it was aiming for a central government
deficit equivalent of 3.5% of GDP, a deficit of 1.5% of GDP coming from Spain's
regions and a balanced social security budget. Smaller local authorities expect
a deficit equivalent to 0.3% of GDP.The regions announced a deficit of 2.9% of
GDP in 2011, meaning they would have to cut around 15 billion euros to meet the
2012 target.Details were scarce, with the government due to set the budget
before parliament on Tuesday, but some economists are concerned that deep
austerity measures could hurt already weakened growth and further endanger the
deficit targets.The government said it would slash spending by 16.9% across the
ministries, with spending at the Foreign Ministry cut by more than half, and
the Industry, Energy and Tourism Ministry taking a cut of more than 30%.Total
cuts of over 42 billion euros, between the central administrations and the regional
authorities, could be tough for an economy struggling to grow, economists
warn."This is as austere as it gets. It's a tightening of fiscal policy
until the pips squeak. There can be no doubting the government's willingness to
curb Spain's excessive budget deficits," said Nicholas Spiro at Spiro
Sovereign Strategy.Rajoy can ill afford to upset nervous bond market investors,
who pushed the yield premium for Spanish 10-year debt on Thursday close to
their highest levels since early January.The premium investors demand to hold
Spanish over German debt dipped slightly after the budget announcement to
around 356 basis points, suggesting a cautious welcome for the plan intended to
improve Madrid's ability to service its debt.Investors fear, however, that the
government may fail to deliver the budget cuts it is promising or will need to
announce new measures before the end of the year which could hurt
growth."I suspect that the government could be forced to implement further
austerity measures later this year, with lingering economic downturn set to
place additional strains on an already perilous budget deficit reduction
plan," said IHS Global Insight economist Raj Badiani. "The main risk
is that the government's tax revenue projections for 2012 look too optimistic."
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