Presidential race heats up as Sarkozy hails manifesto
France’s election race
will pick up pace next week after being thrown off course by an Islamist
gunman, with Nicolas Sarkozy unveiling his manifesto and opponents set to tear
it apart.Mohamed Merah’s killings of three soldiers, a rabbi and three Jewish
children in the worst terrorist attacks in France since the 1990 prompted
presidential candidates to suspend campaigning for several days from Mar 19 and
the nation is only just emerging from a distressed daze. Merah, a 23-year-old
Frenchman who said he had links to al Qaida, was buried near Toulouse yesterday.With only
three weeks to go before the Apr 22 first-round vote, Sarkozy says he is ready
to unveil a fully-fledged manifesto to compete with a weighty 60-point plan
presented by Socialist frontrunner Francois Hollande in January. "You’ll
have a global project, with financing, next week," Sarkozy said. The
manifesto will provide bait to Hollande to come back on the offensive after 10
days of treading water, sidelined as Sarkozy took command over the shooting
crisis. On launching his campaign last month, Sarkozy bet that his best chance
of overcoming dismal popularity ratings and a strong desire for change was to
announce his ideas one-by-one on TV and radio, or campaign speeches, for
maximum impact. "As soon as you unveil an idea, it immediately sounds worn
out," Sarkozy said, explaining his tactic. Having vowed to halve legal
immigration, deport more illegal immigrants, tax fiscal exiles and hold policy
referendums, Sarkozy said it was finally time for a full manifesto complete
with financial incomings and outgoings. He is expected to launch one before he
departs for a trip to the French Indian Ocean island of Reunion on Tuesday. Meanwhile, French police yesterday detained 19 people in a
crackdown on suspected Islamist extremists in cities around the country.Sarkozy
promised more raids to come, but gave no details about the reasons for the
arrests or what the detainees were suspected of."It’s in connection with a
form of Islamist radicalism," he said."There will be other operations
that will continue and that will allow us to expel from our national territory
a certain number of people who have no reason to be here."French Muslims
have worried about a backlash after Merah’s attacks, and French leaders have
urged the public not to equate Islam with terrorism.But concerns about radical
Islam are high, and the government banned a string of international Muslim
clerics from entering France for a conference of a
fundamentalist Islamic group.
Spain’s €27bn budget cut aims to
reassure
Spain announced deep
cuts to its central government budget yesterday as it battles to convince
European partners and debt markets it can rein in its budget deficit in the
face of growing complaints from the public.The government said it would make
savings of €27bn for the rest of 2012 from the central government budget,
equivalent to around 2.5% of GDP. The figure includes tax rises and spending
cuts of around €15bn announced in December.The cuts come despite popular
resistance a general strike on Thursday
disrupted transport, halted industry and saw some minor violence and against a
grim economic backdrop; Spain is thought to have fallen back into recession in
the first quarter and has the highest unemployment rate in the EU. "Everyone
knows the difficult problem we face in this country, and it calls for special
efforts in fiscal consolidation and structural reforms to grow and create
employment," deputy prime minister Soraya Sáenz de Santamaria said after the
weekly cabinet meeting. The centre-right government, which swept to power in
November with the largest parliamentary majority in 30 years, has already
passed labour market and banking sector reforms that it says can improve competitiveness
and reduce wage costs. EU partners have agreed to let prime minister Mariano
Rajoy aim for a total 2012 deficit at 5.3% of GDP, a less demanding goal than
the 4.4% originally suggested but substantially less than last year’s 8.5%. The
Spanish government said it was aiming for a central government deficit
equivalent of 3.5% of GDP, a deficit of 1.5% of GDP coming from Spain’s regions and a
balanced social security budget. Smaller local authorities expect a deficit
equivalent to 0.3% of GDP. The regions announced a deficit of 2.9% of GDP in
2011, meaning that they would have to cut around €15bn to meet the 2012 target.
Details were scarce, with the government due to set the budget before
parliament on Tuesday, but some economists are concerned that deep austerity
measures could hurt already weakened growth and further endanger the deficit
targets. The government said it would slash spending by 16.9% across the
ministries, with spending at the foreign ministry cut by more than half, and
the industry, energy and tourism ministry taking a cut of more than 30%. Total
cuts of over €42bn, between the central administrations and the regional
authorities, could be tough for an economy struggling to grow, economists warn.
"This is as austere as it gets. It’s a tightening of fiscal policy
until the pips squeak. There can be no doubting the
government’s willingness to curb Spain’s excessive budget
deficits," said Nicholas Spiro at Spiro Sovereign Strategy. Rajoy can ill
afford to upset nervous bondmarket investors, who on Thursday pushed the yield
premium for Spanish 10-year debt close to their highest levels since early
January. The premium investors demand to hold Spanish over German debt dipped
slightly after the budget announcement to around 356 basis points, suggesting a
cautious welcome for the plan intended to improve Madrid’s ability to service
its debt. Investors fear, however, that the government may fail to deliver the
budget cuts it is promising or will need to announce new measures before the
end of the year which could hurt growth.
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