Showing posts with label england. Show all posts
Showing posts with label england. Show all posts

Sunday, August 11, 2013

NEWS,11.08.2013



Iran beefs up oil tanker fleet


Iran has beefed up its oil tanker fleet with vessels from China and is selling more crude to Beijing as Tehran struggles under international sanctions, the IEA said in a report Friday.
Iran's once lucrative oil sector has been crippled by sanctions imposed by the United States and the European Union over Tehran's controversial nuclear drive. Despite Iranian denials, the West is convinced Tehran is pursuing a nuclear bomb.
In its monthly oil market report, the International Energy Agency said Iranian crude oil production in July fell back to 2.6m barrels per day (mbd)  50 000m barrels less per day from June.
In contrast, however, the IEA said that preliminary data show that Iranian crude oil exports climbed to 1.16 mbd from just 960 000 barrels per day in June, mainly owing to a rebound in Chinese imports which last month rose to 660 000 barrels of oil per day from 385 000 the month before.
"Just five countries reported importing crude from Iran in July China, Japan, South Korea, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates," the IEA said, noting the number of countries totalled as many as 16 in January 2012.
Despite this, the IEA said "Iran continues to expand its shipping fleet in a bid to sustain crude sales in the wake of increasingly stringent international sanctions".
Since May, it has added four more supertankers, known as VLCCs, to its fleet, which now totals 37 VLCCs and 14 smaller crude tankers.
Most of the additions come from China as part of a 2009 deal to buy 12 VLCCs for $1.2bn.
"The expanding shipping fleet should provide the state oil company more flexibility in marketing its crude and for use in floating storage," the IEA said.
In his first news conference since taking office, Iran's new President Hassan Rowhani earlier this month said he is determined to find a solution to the nuclear programme issue. The IEA said that although analysts are still sceptical, "markets warmed to the tone".

New permit proposals could slow shale drilling


Britain's Environment Agency (EA) proposed new guidance on Friday that could further delay the already lengthy application process for launching shale and other unconventional oil and gas exploration.
Beset by protests that have made the question of whether to allow shale drilling a national issue, shale firms complain that the UK's complex application process takes months longer than in the United States, discouraging investment.
In a technical guidance document on its website, the EA proposed taking longer than normal to decide whether to give an environmental permit for onshore oil and gas exploration if a site is of "high public interest".
If approved, the agency said that the new guidance could increase the time scale for granting environmental permits from the current 13 weeks to six months or more to give it time to consult properly with local communities.
That would be just the latest blow to an industry that the government, keen on the jobs and revenue that Britain's theoretically substantial shale gas reserves could generate, has said it is keen to support.
"This has the potential to delay the exploration of shale gas resources in the UK," said Simon Colvin, an expert on energy and environmental regulations at law firm Pinsent Masons.
"The high public interest status could mean an extremely lengthy process, taking into account a number of rounds of community consultation."
The proposal is part of a consultation document which people can comment on until October 23. The agency will then consider the responses before publishing a final version of the guidance later this year.
"Given the current level of public interest in unconventional gas and oil exploration, it's likely that we will treat such sites as being of high public interest," the agency said in the document on its website.
Fracking
It has been estimated that Britain might have major shale reserves but the amount which could be developed commercially is still uncertain.
The government is looking to shale gas to reduce its reliance on natural gas imports and unveiled tax breaks last month for shale gas developers, which analysts said could attract more companies.
British exploration firms IGas and Cuadrilla are at the exploration stage in shale gas, while other firms are watching developments with interest. But they continue to face significant barriers.
Fracking, which retrieves gas and oil trapped in tight layered rock formations by injecting high-pressure water, sand and chemicals, has already been banned for a year in 2011 after triggering small earthquakes. Protestors successfully blocked access to a Cuadrilla site in southern England last month.
Developers already need to make nine separate applications to the EA for a single exploratory well. They also have to get planning permission from the Department of Energy and Climate Change and the Health and Safety Executive.
"Delaying the process further is simply another layer of red tape at the early stages of exploration," said Colvin.

The cost of complexity


Simple: conquering the crisis of complexity by Alan Siegel and Irene Etzkorn

THE subtitle of this book is conquering the crisis of complexity, and a crisis it is.

Are you paying for things you did not order because the account is too complex to understand? Americans are paying $2bn each year for services they did not request or use on their phone accounts, because the format is confusing.

Research into insurance policy holders indicates that a third to a half of them misunderstood what they have bought.

Most medicine warning labels and inserts are insufficient warning to all but the medically trained.

The solution to these problems is to reduce or eliminate complexity. Simplification is not degeneration into the simplistic. The distinction lies in understanding what is essential and meaningful as opposed to what is not, and then ruthlessly eliminating what is not essential and meaningful.

Why has everything we encounter become so complex? The authors cite many factors, one of which is that simplicity is hard to achieve, which is why Leonardo da Vinci is referred to as “the ultimate sophistication”.

We also need to accept that it is deliberately used as a money-making tactic by those who wish to extract what we would not hand over, if we only knew. On the other hand, many think that more information equals greater clarity, which it definitely does not.

Simplification involves removing complications, unnecessary layers, or distractions while focusing on the essence of  what people want and need in that situation.

Are some industries and offerings too complicated to be simplified? Consider air travel with the various forms of reservation, seating, meals, check-in, landing rights, disembarking and embarking, plane maintenance, fuel volatility, and more. Add to this the overcrowding in the industry.

Southwest Airlines have made their mark through simplifying everything from booking to the maintenance of their planes, from meals to their baggage policy. The result is that they are one of the world’s few consistently profitable airlines.

There are probably very few things that cannot be further simplified. What simplification requires is a thorough and persuasive commitment by an organisation to “empathize, distil, and clarify”.

Consider the following situation. You are asleep on the 20th floor of a hotel in a foreign city. At
03:30 you are awoken by a fire alarm. You can smell smoke. You recall seeing the evacuation instructions on the door.

You try desperately and unsuccessfully to decipher what map is describing, as the alarm is blaring in your ears and the smell of smoke is becoming more intense.

The map was designed by a safety agency in a well-lit office, by a relaxed and cheerful safety officer. When he was done, he was sure he had a good piece of work. It was clear and accurate. So, what went wrong?

He had not considered how one feels on the 20th floor of a hotel in a foreign city at
03:30, when you are woken up by a fire alarm and can smell smoke. Your emotional state was not considered; the safety officer had not empathised with the condition of the reader of the map under duress.

Empathising with the clients, whether it is the intake at a hospital or your monthly bank or cellphone statement, requires an understanding of how the recipient will experience what you are communicating.

The second factor in simplification is to distil the information or procedure down to its essentials. These essentials are defined by the user’s requirements, not those of the company.

In the Siegel+Gate 2011 Global Brand Simplicity Index, one brand stood out above the rest: Google. Using Google is a simple and a rewarding experience. Visit their landing page and then the landing page of other search engines. Google’s is uncluttered and simple.

To keep it this way, any new features staff wish to add to the landing page must go through an “audition”. The goal is for the home page to have the fewest number of points, because more points mean less simplicity.

This is not only an aesthetic consideration - rather, it has been proven to be an economic one. Studies in the
USA have shown that consumers are willing to spend about 20 minutes trying to work out how to operate a new toy. After that, they give up and return the toy to the store.

The cost of returned products in the
USA is $100bn a year, excluding the reputational damage.

Flip, a video camera, has only one button. Press it and you start videoing and press it again to stop. That is it. A primary school child and an adult can use it, but it is not a cheap, crude toy.

Rather, it is a highly sophisticated camera with proprietary, built-in exposure control algorithms to make sure the picture maintains a smooth look over a range of lighting conditions. You do not see all the complexity, all you see is the elegant simplicity, the distillation of the user’s needs into a convenient video camera.

Two million units were sold in the first six months it was on the market, and it held an impressive 37% of the camcorder market in 2011. 

The third part of the simplification process is the clarification aspect. According to health research organisation NEIH, people’s inability to follow prescription drug instructions cost $290bn in medical expenses each year. The instructions are obviously not clear enough for the users.

The problem is compounded when you have multiple drugs in your medicine cupboard, all in very similar-looking vials.

A pioneer in this field was alerted to the problem when her grandmother took ill from mistakenly using her grandfather’s similar-looking medication. The medicine labelling, she discovered, was practically unreadable even for her, a young woman.

She devised a very simple format that would occupy most of the size of the label and contain only three pieces of information. What is the name of the person for whom then medicine is intended? What is the name of the medicine and the dosage prescribed? How should it be taken?

Any business or service can increase its appeal to customers merely by simplifying the engagement with them. The number of touch-points where improvement can be made inexpensively and quickly is substantial.

The range includes product instructions, invoicing, correspondence, and even finding your contact details. The simplicity of getting information on how you can serve potential customers is widely indicated.

There is gold in this book. Read it. 

New trade route to Europe


A 19 000-ton cargo vessel is making the first journey by a Chinese merchant ship to Europe via the Northeast Passage, a shortened route that could revolutionise trade, state media reported Saturday.
The Arctic route has become navigable due to global warming melting sea ice and promises to slash journey times by around 12 to 15 days, saving shipping companies and Chinese exporters millions in lower fuel bills and reduced operating costs.
A freighter belonging to Chinese shipping firm Cosco left the northeastern port of Dalian on Thursday and was expected to take 33 days to reach Europe via the Bering Strait and Russia's northern coastline, the official China Daily reported.
The SinoShipNews website said the vessel was headed for Rotterdam and was due to arrive on September 11.
The new route, which is now navigable for around four months of the year from the end of July, avoids the politically unstable pinch point of the Suez canal, and trims around 7 000 kilometres off the journey, according to the China Daily.
Around 90% of China's foreign trade is carried by sea and Beijing is also hoping the new shipping route can help develop the northeast.
In 2012, 46 ships used the Northeast Passage, compared with four in 2010, according to Rosatomflot, a Russian operator of icebreakers.
But the traffic is still negligible compared with traditional commercial shipping routes, such as the Suez Canal, which has 19 000 ships pass through it a year.
Previous estimates have suggested up to 15% of Chinese foreign trade could use the Arctic route by 2020.
Europe is one of China's largest trading partners, with two-way trade last year worth nearly $550bn.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

NEWS,25.07.2013



Protesters block gas drilling site


Protesters blocked access to a drilling site in southern England on Thursday as part of a campaign against the controversial "fracking" process used in shale gas exploration, illustrating the potential battle ahead for Britain's nascent shale industry.
Estimates have said Britain may have major shale reserves which could help reverse a rising dependency on energy imports, but the industry is having to tread carefully in order to reassure a sceptical public and vocal environmental lobby.
Cuadrilla Resources is readying a site to drill a well near the village of Balcombe in West Sussex. The well is a conventional one that will not use fracking, but Cuadrilla has fracked elsewhere, and is one of a handful of companies with access to shale acreage that might be fracked in future, and so its activities have become a target for anti-fracking protests.
A spokesman for the privately-owned company said on Thursday that protesters had stopped vehicles from accessing the site.
Hydraulic fracturing or fracking retrieves gas and oil trapped in tight layered rock formations by injecting high-pressure water, sand and chemicals.
The protest has been organised by campaign group 'Frack Off'. They fear that Cuadrilla, the only company to have fracked a well exploring for shale gas in Britain at its Lancashire site, could seek to frack in Sussex at a later date.
"We have tried other methods. We now have no choice but to take matters into our own hands and protect ourselves from the threat fracking poses to our health and environment," said protester Alex Griffiths in an email from Frack Off.
Drilling and fracking wells will in the next few years be critical to establish whether shale gas can be commercially produced in Britain, where fracking is controversial. It was banned for a year in 2011 after triggering small earthquakes, and concerns remain amongst environmental groups that chemicals used could reach water supplies.
The Cuadrilla spokesman said that the company hoped to begin drilling at the site early next week and that the vehicles were carrying parts for the drilling rig.
UK utility Centrica recently bought a quarter stake in Cuadrilla's northern England shale licences. French oil company Total has also said it would like to explore for shale gas in Britain.

Eurozone credit slump deepens


Loans to the euro zone's private sector shrank by more than expected in June, starving the economy of the funds needed to sustain recovery and piling pressure on the European Central Bank to take fresh action.
Loans to the private sector shrank by 1.6% from the same month a year ago, ECB data released on Thursday showed, a bigger fall than even the lowest forecast in a poll of economists, which gave a mid-range reading of -1.1%.
The latest weak lending figures highlight one of main obstacles to recovery in the eurozone, where purchasing manager indexes (PMI) showed private industry expanded for the first time in more than a year in July.
Lacklustre demand is dragging on the appetite for credit, while banks restrain lending to repair their balance sheets.
In a step to reviving lending to the bloc's struggling small and mid-sized businesses, the ECB said last week it would let banks use more of the assets once blamed for triggering the financial crisis as collateral for cheap loans.
Howard Archer, economist at Global Insight, said the weak lending figures heaped pressure on the ECB to do more.
"The further marked fall in lending to eurozone businesses in June maintains pressure on the ECB to come up with concrete measures aimed at improving credit availability to companies, especially small and medium-sized ones," he said.
"We think it is very possible that the ECB will eventually take its key policy rate down from 0.50% to 0.25% as we anticipate that the euro zone will continue to find it very tough to develop clear growth," he added.
The ECB holds a policy meeting next Thursday. No change in interest rates is expected.
An ECB survey released on Wednesday showed that eurozone banks, facing tougher capital requirements, tightened lending standards for both companies and home loans in the second quarter even though their access to funding eased.
Seeking to reassure markets unnerved by the US Federal Reserve's exit plan from money printing, the ECB said earlier this month it would keep interest rates at record lows for an extended period and may yet cut further.
ECB policymakers have since qualified this forward guidance, with Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann said on July 11 the ECB had not "tied itself to the mast".
A poll of 70 economists published on Wednesday showed the ECB is probably done cutting interest rates but may still take other measures to stimulate an economy that may soon creep out of recession.
The survey was conducted before the PMI survey suggested the euro zone private sector grew this month for the first time since January 2012 news that will ease pressure on the ECB to further loosen monetary policy.
Banks granted non-financial firms €12bn ($16bn) less in loans in June than in the previous month, data adjusted for sales and securitisations showed, after a fall of €18bn in May.
Euro zone M3 money supply a more general measure of cash in the economy grew at an annual pace of 2.3% in June, slowing from 2.9% in May and below the consensus forecast of 3.0% in a poll of analysts.

EU lagging behind on 4G


EU member states should do more, and faster, to introduce next-generation 4G mobile phone services if Europe is to reap the benefits of the new technology.
About 75% of the European Union population of about 500 million has no access to 4G services, EU Digital Agenda Commissioner Neelie Kroes said on Thursday.
In stark contrast, in the United States more than 90% of the population had 4G access, she said.
Kroes said that of the 28 member states, three - Cyprus, Ireland and Malta - had no 4G at all while only Germany, Estonia and Sweden had advanced systems in place.
There was virtually no 4G coverage in rural areas across the EU, Kroes said, with the EU accounting for only five percent of global 4G connections.
"This is no way to run an economy. It means ... that Europeans living in rural areas and those on holiday get treated like second-class citizens," Kroes said.
"It doesn't matter where you are, you pay money for a device and mobile subscription and it should work."
4G operates five times faster than the current 3G network and allows users to download large e-mail attachments quickly, watch live television without buffering, make high-quality video calls and play live games on the go.
It is seen as the next essential step in the telecommunications revolution and Kroes has repeatedly lambasted EU countries for lagging behind.
Earlier this week, she said she had to reluctantly agree to delays in nine out of 14 member states who had committed to free up 800 megahertz bandwidth for 4G use by January this year but had failed to make the deadline.

Detroit bankruptcy hearings begin


A judge is considering what to do with challenges to Detroit's bankruptcy from retirees who claim their pensions are protected by the Michigan Constitution.
US Bankruptcy Judge Steven Rhodes settled into his chair shortly after  14:00 GMT. The city wants him to put a stop to lawsuits in other courts, especially after an Ingham County judge said state officials ignored the constitution and acted illegally in approving the bankruptcy last week.
The state appeals court temporarily stopped three lawsuits challenging the bankruptcy process on Tuesday.
As lawyers for some of the thousands of creditors arrived Wednesday, they passed protesters holding a banner saying: "Cancel Detroit's debt. The banks owe us."
The case is expected to last at least a year.

Britain's economy picks up speed


Britain's economy sped up between April and June on the back of stronger spending by consumers and businesses and giving a boost to the government less than two years before an election.
It came at the same time as a raft of UK company earnings reports showing growth picking up.
Gross domestic product rose 0.6% in the second quarter compared with the previous three months, in line with forecasts, preliminary data from the Office for National Statistics showed.
That was double the pace of growth in the first three months of the year but the economy still remains smaller than before the 2008-09 recession, suggesting to some economists that it still needs nurturing by the Bank of England.
The numbers were a boost for finance minister George Osborne, who has fended off calls from the International Monetary Fund and the opposition Labour party to spend more to speed up growth.
"Britain is holding its nerve, we are sticking to our plan, and the British economy is on the mend - but there is still a long way to go and I know things are still tough for families," Osborne said in a statement.
"So I will not let up in my determination to make sure we put right all that went wrong in our economy."
Growing signs of a pick-up in the British economy have coincided with a narrowing of Labour's lead over the Conservatives in some opinion polls.
The recovery also comes as other countries in Europe are struggling to show any growth at all.
Compared with a year earlier, Britain's economy expanded 1.4%, faster than 0.3% in the first quarter. It was the fastest increase since early 2011 although it was boosted by an extra working day in the April-June period this year.
Sterling weakened after the data and British government bond prices pared losses as some investors had been betting on stronger growth which would have reduced further the chance of the Bank of England pumping more money into the economy.
It was the first time that all sectors of the economy  agriculture, production, construction and services - grew since the third quarter of 2010.
The Bank of England's new governor, Mark Carney, may see the data as a sign that the economy is edging closer to what he has termed "escape velocity" or sustainable growth, though he is still likely to judge it needs extra help to get there.
From next month, Carney is widely expected to start providing detailed guidance on how long interest rates will remain low, in an effort to encourage consumers to spend and businesses to borrow and invest.
Still smaller
Britain's economy remains 3.3% smaller than in the first quarter of 2008 which was its peak before the financial crisis plunged the country into recession, tempering the good news about the growth in the second quarter.
"This confirms our view that we are heading down the road to recovery, even if there are likely to still be a few bumps ahead," said Neil Bentley, deputy director-general of British employers group CBI.
"Underlying conditions are quite weak as consumers are still saddled with debt and despite the global economy picking up, the potential for getting knocked off course remains."
Thursday's data showed that output in Britain's service sector - which makes up 78% of GDP - rose by 0.6% in the second quarter after ticking up 0.5% in the first three months of the year.
Services provided the strongest contribution to overall growth, adding 0.5 percentage points, with the retail, hotels and restaurants and the business services and finance components accounting for the bulk of the increase.
Industrial output was 0.6 percent higher while construction - which now accounts for around 6% of GDP after shrinking sharply after the financial crisis - expanded by 0.9%.
Upbeat company news reinforced the sense of an economy on the mend. Telecoms operator BT, for example, posted first quarter profits comfortably ahead of forecasts driven in part by a good performance from the retail division.
Improving construction and housing markets helped two of the biggest trade suppliers, Travis Perkins and Howden Joinery post increased first-half profits.
Consumers, a key engine of Britain's economy, are perking up too. They are now more optimistic about the economy than at any point since April 2010, as measured by a new consumer confidence index by market researchers YouGov and the Centre for Economics and Business Research.
The ONS's preliminary estimates of GDP are among the first released in the European Union, and are based partly on estimated data. On average, they are revised by 0.1 percentage points up or down by the time a second revision is published two months later, but bigger moves are not uncommon.

Obama: Our economy can be stronger


US President Barack Obama sought to inject momentum into his economic and domestic policy agenda on Wednesday with a speech designed to clarify his vision for his second term and hammer Republicans in the House of Representatives for getting in his way.
Obama defended his government's record managing the economy through the recession in his first term and said new spending on infrastructure and education were needed now to grow the middle class, which he argued would boost the nation's economy.
"As Washington prepares to enter another budget debate, the stakes for our middle class could not be higher," Obama said in remarks prepared for a crowd of cheering supporters in a gymnasium at Knox College in Galesburg, Illinois.
Galesburg left a lasting impression on Obama, a former Illinois state senator, early in his political career when the town struggled after it lost its factories.
Obama faces a battle this fall with Republicans in Congress over the budget and raising the debt ceiling.
While the president wants to increase investment in areas he argues would spur economic growth, Republicans want to cut spending and try to force the administration to scale back its signature healthcare program.
"We'll need Republicans in Congress to set aside short-term politics and work with me to find common ground," Obama said.
"It may seem hard today, but if we are willing to take a few bold steps - if Washington will just shake off its complacency and set aside the kind of slash-and-burn partisanship we've seen these past few years  our economy will be stronger a year from now," he said.
Obama plans to expound on his ideas in speeches across the country in the weeks ahead. His address on Wednesday did not include major new policy proposals, but new ideas are expected to be sprinkled in future remarks.
Obama has said he doesn't believe his speech will change minds in Congress, but he hopes to reach their constituents to exert pressure on lawmakers from their home states.
The buildup to Obama's speech has been relentless, as the White House seeks to get past a rough start to his second term, which has been dominated by a series of thorny domestic and foreign issues.
An early push to toughen gun laws failed in Congress, and the Republican-led House of Representatives has said it will not move ahead on sweeping immigration reforms passed by the Senate.
The White House has also been thrown off-message by controversies over phone and internet surveillance, and over the Internal Revenue Service's targeting of conservatives groups seeking tax-exempt status.
Republicans dismissed the speech as being long on rhetoric and short on ideas.
"Americans aren't asking the question 'where are the speeches?' They're asking 'where are the jobs?'" said John Boehner, Speaker of the House of Representatives.

Don't discount the EU


THE 6th South Africa-European Union (EU) summit was held on July 18 and this was, perhaps, well overdue. Tensions between South Africa and the EU have been high since South Africa joined the Brics bloc, comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.

The theme of the summit was ‘Job creation through inward investment’ and aptly so, since several European countries, along with
South Africa, are battling unemployment.

The situation worsened through European investors being wary of developments in
South Africa after the country cut bilateral investment treaties with Belgium, Luxembourg and Spain and will do so with a total of roughly 12 EU countries.

South Africa’s joining of the Brics and the cutting of bilateral investment treaties has raised fears that these moves will be at the expense of its long-standing ties to Europe’s developed economies.

As an economic region, the EU remains
South Africa's leading trade partner and, perhaps even more importantly, three-quarters of our foreign direct investment (FDI) stock originates from the EU.

Given the traditionally and current strong ties between us and the EU, any changes in the EU can consequently have a significant impact on the local economy.

For example, if the EU can turn around its 18 months of economic contraction, South African exports to the region might start to increase again and its contribution toward FDI might become even more substantial.

On the other hand, EU regulations impacting our exports to the region can just as easily hinder local manufacturers and exacerbate the trade deficit.

For example, in the week before the summit, the EU notified the World Trade Organisation (WTO) of a draft commission regulation on food.

As one of our major exports to the EU, this regulation will affect far more than just the agricultural sector. Consider the minimum wage for farmworkers, the rising petrol price and now the mandatory compliance to this regulation.

These costs, of whatever nature, all contribute to the already struggling economy through impacting the farmers and workers, the packaging, distribution and export companies.

The difference among the three costs (wages, petrol and regulation) is that we have a say in what the final EU regulation looks like. In other words, before the regulation comes into effect, we are allowed to review and comment on the draft regulation.

If the comments are of a national interest, the department of trade and industry takes a national stance on the regulation and engages the EU through the WTO. This formally initiates a dispute in the WTO.

If the consultations prove fruitless after 60 days,
South Africa can request adjudication by a panel.

While it appears as though we are moving to favour the Brics nations, we cannot simply ignore developments in the EU.

Should it recover from its current slump, the EU still offers a significant market for our exports and a large source of investment for our development.

Thursday, December 6, 2012

NEWS,06.12.2012



Obama tough on fiscal cliff


President Barack Obama and Republicans crept closer to negotiations on avoiding a recession-threatening package of automatic tax increases and spending cuts, but the White House reaffirmed it would not budge on demands for higher taxes on the wealthy.With a new AP-GFK poll showing clear support for Obama's position and dwindling backing for cutting government services to curb the climbing US budget deficit, the president and House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner spoke by telephone on Wednesday for the first time in days about a way to avoid the so-called fiscal cliff which would occur on 1 January.The telephone contact, disclosed by a Boehner spokesperson, raises the possibility that negotiations could soon resume on heading off what some economists warn could be a serious blow to an economy still recovering from the Great Recession.So far, Republican leaders have said they would only agree to higher tax revenues by closing loopholes or reducing tax breaks, not by raising rates as demanded by Obama. The opposition has struggled, however, to remain united and find its footing in talks with a president emboldened by his November election victory and unified congressional Democrats.While insisting that tax rates go up on the top 2% of American earners, Obama, too, has called for government spending cuts but by less than the Republicans want.Obama, addressing business leaders on Wednesday, said the White House and Republicans could reach an agreement "in about a week" if the Republicans drop their opposition to raising taxes on families making more than $250 000 a year."If we can get the leadership on the Republican side to take that framework, to acknowledge that reality, than the numbers actually aren't that far apart," Obama said.Administration officials are hardening their warnings that Obama is willing to risk going over the cliff. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said on Wednesday that the Obama administration is "absolutely" ready for that risky step.Geithner said in an interview on CNBC the administration thinks budget deficits are so large that they can't be closed without boosting tax rates on the wealthiest 2% of Americans. He also said that the administration would reject a budget plan that didn't include an increase in the federal borrowing limit, which is expected to expire early next year. However, Geithner said he still thinks progress is being made in the budget negotiations and that the outlines of an agreement are becoming clearer."They look inevitable," he said.Speaking to business chieftains Wednesday, Obama warned Republicans not to inject the threat of a government default into negotiations over the fiscal cliff as a way of extracting concessions on spending cuts. "It's not a game I will play," he said, recalling the brinkmanship of last year in which a budget standoff pushed the Treasury to the edge of a first-ever default and led to a downgrade of the US credit rating.While saying he is willing to accept some reductions in government programs such as Medicare, the highly popular federal health insurance programmes for older Americans, he flatly rejects Republican contentions that they can raise about $800bn in additional government revenue over a decade by closing loopholes and narrowing tax deductions on the wealthy, rather than raising income tax rates. The opposition argues increasing rates from 35% to 39.6% as Obama wants would impose a particularly harmful impact on the economy and job creation at a time when the country is still struggling to recover fully from the deepest recession in decades.The White House has ridiculed the Republican plan as "magic beans and fairy dust."

 

US jobless claims fall


The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell for a third straight week last week, dropping back to their pre-superstorm Sandy range.Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 25 000 to a seasonally adjusted 370 000 in the week ended Dec. 1, the Labor Department said on Thursday.Last week's drop brought them back to their pre-storm's 360 000-370 000 range, which economists said suggested there had been no marked weakening in the labor market. They had forecast claims falling to 380 0000."We could reasonably assume there is no underlying deterioration or acceleration in the labor market before the storm," said Pierre Ellis, senior global economist at Decision Economics Inc. in New York."We should still have a relative poor payroll reading tomorrow, but we should have some confidence that payrolls would bounce back in December."The four-week moving average for new claims, a better measure of labor market trends, rose 2 250 to 408 000, reflecting the impact of the late October storm. That was the highest level since October last year.Last week's claims data has no bearing on Friday's employment report. Economists estimate the monster storm, which slammed into the densely populated East Coast, could subtract between 25 000 and 75 000 jobs from November's nonfarm payrolls.The closely watched report is expected to show payrolls increased only 93 000 last month after advancing 171 000 job in October, according to survey of economists. The unemployment rate is seen holding steady at 7.9%.A Labor Department official said there was nothing unusual in the state-level data, but noted claims tend to post their largest percentage increase in the last week of November, catching up from the Thanksgiving holiday.In addition, seasonal layoffs in sectors like construction, start picking up this time of the year. This will make claims a less useful gauge of labor market conditions in the weeks ahead.A separate report from consultants Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs at US firms rose nearly 20% in November to their highest level in six months.The claims report showed the number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid dropped 100 000 to 3.21 million in the week ended Nov. 24.

 

ECB cuts euro-zone growth for 2013


The euro weakened against the US dollar and the yen after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the euro-zone was expected to stay in recession next year, reversing an earlier forecast for a recovery in economic growth.The downgrade to the outlook for gross domestic product came as the ECB left its benchmark interest rate at a record low 0.75%.Draghi said that there had been wide discussion on interest rates within the ECB, which taken together with the weaker growth track has stoked speculation the central bank may cut rates next year.The euro fell 0.9% to $1.2954 and dropped 1% to 106.64 yen after the statement."By the second part of the next year, we should see the beginning of a recovery" in Europe, as the global economy picks up pace, Draghi said.The ECB forecasts the region's economy will shrink 0.5% this year, worse that the 0.4% contraction it forecast three months ago. The economy would shrink 0.3% in 2013, compared to an earlier forecast of 0.5% growth.The ECB lowered its forecast for inflation in 2013 to 1.6% from 1.9% and said inflation would be even weaker in 2014 at 1.4%. Separately, the Bank of England kept its key interest rate at a record low 0.5% while maintaining its quantitative easing programme.Euro-zone GDP shrank 0.1% in the third quarter, the European Union confirmed, following a 0.2% contraction in the second quarter."The underlying reason for euro weakness is still there, and the ECB's warnings of continued weakness over the next year could be the catalyst for a continued euro drop," Neal Gilbert, market strategist at GFT. The ECB's first monetary policy decision in 2013 "could include another cut in interest rates."Equity markets were broadly stronger across Europe, though sentiment was driven by optimism the US Congress will find a way to avert the fiscal cliff which could plunge the US economy back into recession next year.Germany's DAX 30 rallied 1.1% to 7,534.54, the highest since January 2008, as figures showed factory orders in Europe's biggest economy jumped 3.9%, seasonally adjusted, in October. The Economy Ministry revised the previous month's decline to 2.4% from 3.3%.France's CAC 40 rose 0.3%. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.7% to its highest close since May last year.Cracks are showing within Republican ranks over hiking taxes for the wealthiest Americans, a move that House Speaker and senior Republican John Boehner has refused to budge on in negotiations with President Barack Obama.Some 80 members of the US Congress, including Republicans and Democrats, have signed a letter calling for an exploration of "all options" in to end a deadlock between Obama and Boehner, Bloomberg reported, citing a spokeswoman for Representative Mike Simpson of Idaho, a republican who has signed the letter.US stocks were little changed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.15 and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 0.025. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3%.

ECB depicts bleak 2013


The euro zone economy is likely to shrink next year as it has in 2012, the European Central Bank predicted on Thursday, sharply downgrading its outlook after holding interest rates at a record low 0.75%.The bank's new staff projections put gross domestic product in a range of falling by 0.9% to growing by just 0.3% next year, suggesting contraction is far more likely than not. ECB President Mario Draghi said downside risks prevailed.In September, the ECB's staff had pencilled in a significantly higher range of -0.4% to +1.4% for the euro area economy."Economic weakness in the euro zone is expected to extend into next year," Draghi told a news conference after the central bank's monthly policy meeting."Later in 2013, economic activity should gradually recover as global demand strengthens and our accommodative monetary policy stance and significantly improved financial market confidence work their way through the economy."The Governing Council's decision to leave its main interest rate unchanged matched economists' expectations, which also showed opinion was split down the middle over the chances of a cut early next year."The Governing Council continues to see downside risk to the economic outlook for the euro area," Draghi said. "These are mainly related to uncertainties about the resolution of sovereign debt and governance issues in the euro area."A political impasse over the United States' fiscal policy, which could presage steep tax hikes and budget cuts if a deal is not reached, could also dampen sentiment for longer, he said.The level of uncertainty was reflected in the ECB's first attempt to forecast 2014, for which it pencilled in growth of between 0.2% and 2.2%. The midpoint forecast for 2012 was pushed slightly lower to -0.5%.Draghi said rates were not lowered because of high indirect taxes and increasing energy prices in some euro zone countries."There was a wide discussion ... but the consensus was to leave the rates unchanged," he said, a hint that opinions differed about what course to take.He also said the policymakers discussed setting a negative rate on the ECB's deposit facility in an attempt to encourage banks not to hoard cash at the ECB but lend it into the real economy instead.German Bund futures rose in response to that and the euro came under pressure.The ECB will also continue to supply eurozone banks with all the liquidity they ask for in the central bank's refinancing operations at least until July 2013, Draghi said.While financial markets have calmed since the European Union and the International Monetary Fund put in place further steps to help Greece, and the ECB promised to do what it takes to preserve the euro, the bloc's economy has sunk into recession from which it shows few signs of emerging soon.An inflation forecast of 1.1% to 2.1% next year compared with the ECB's target of close to but below two percent there would appear to be plenty of room to cut rates further.But recent policymakers' comments have suggested the ECB is unlikely to do so in the near future and the central bank is wary of taking any action that could see the bloc's governments soft-pedal on budget consolidation efforts.Also, market interest rates vary greatly across the 17-country bloc and the ECB is focused on fixing what it calls the 'transmission mechanism' for passing on its rates to all corners of the euro area before contemplating lowering official borrowing costs.The most obvious mechanism for doing that would be the ECB's yet to be used new bond-buying scheme, which could drive down government borrowing costs.The ECB has not yet bought any sovereign debt under its new programme dubbed Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) because Spain, which is seen as most likely to become the first country to make use of the new support measure, has not yet fulfilled the precondition of asking for help from the euro zone's rescue fund.Pressure for the ECB to intervene is building.Spain auctioned fewer bonds than it hoped to on Wednesday as investors fret over the timing of an expected aid request by the government.



Europe needs to tackle tax avoidance


European governments should coordinate their efforts to root out tax avoidance costing them around €1 trillion every year, the European Union's executive body said on Thursday.The European Commission said member states need to share information better, introduce an EU-wide tax identification number and devise common criteria for blacklisting tax havens.The proposals were part of an action plan detailed by EU taxation policy commissioner Algirdas Semeta on Thursday to deal with inventive and increasingly common tactics used by big companies and others to reduce their tax bills."Tax competition must not open the door to fraudulent or abusive tax practices," Semeta said. A new framework would result in profits being taxed in the state where the "actual economic activity takes place".The Commission intends to present its action plan to EU finance ministers next year but is not aiming to persuade member states to pass binding legislation.The impetus to deal with the problem has grown as several European countries try to increase tax revenues and cut spending to rein in heavy debts.A number of high-profile examples have hit headlines in recent months, including one involving coffee chain Starbucks .A recent examination of Starbucks' accounts showed that the company had reported 13 years of losses at its UK unit, even as it told investors the operation was profitable and among the best performing of its overseas markets.The chain's UK unit paid no corporation tax on its income in the last three years for which figures were available.Starbucks said on Thursday it could pay up to $32.18m more in tax as it announced plans to change its accounting practices, surrendering to criticism from lawmakers, campaigners and the media.Examination of Amazon's accounts showed how the world's biggest online retailer had minimised corporate taxes by setting up in Luxembourg, and channelling sales through its units there.In effect, Amazon used inter-company payments to form a tax shield for the group, behind which it has accumulated $2bn to help finance its expansion. Amazon declined to answer questions about its tax affairs.BusinessEurope, the lobby group that represents companies, said it supported the Commission's initiative, but also called for a simplification of the tax system across European Union.Semeta suggested part of the blame lay on tax regimes "artificially designed to steal tax bases or encourage aggressive tax planning".He rounded on non-EU state Switzerland as one country whose policies encourage aggressive tax avoidance."I can openly say that we consider that several tax regimes in Switzerland, according to our estimations, do not meet criteria of the code of conduct on business taxation," he said.



Prada shrugs off slowdown concerns


Italian fashion house Prada SpA beat forecasts with a 30% rise in third-quarter net profit, shrugging off concerns about a slowdown in demand for luxury goods.The Hong Kong-listed company, popular for its coloured Miu Miu dresses and leather handbags and shoes, has outperformed its sector so far, helped by its retail expansion in new markets."The group has continued to grow at a rate that has exceeded our expectations but great care has still been paid to cost control and working capital management," Patrizio Bertelli, chief executive, said in a statement.The company, led by trend-setting designer Miuccia Prada and her husband Bertelli, posted a net profit of €122.1m in the third quarter, boosted by wealthy spenders from Asia and other emerging markets.That compares with an average forecast from analysts SmartEstimate of €110m and with €93.6m a year earlier.Wealthy tourists from Asia and Russia have shielded the fashion house from a sluggish growth in Italy, being felt by domestic peers such as Tod's.Milan-based Prada also says it still has plenty of room for growth because it has a limited presence in fast-growing markets including Asia, compared with rivals such as LVMH and Salvatore Ferragamo.Prada shares have soared 80% so far this year, outperforming the benchmark Hang Seng Index which is up 21% over the same period.Global sales of luxury goods are expected to grow 5% this year, stripping out currency effects, from 13% last year, according to a report by Bain and Italy's luxury goods trade body Altagamma.


Brazil launches port investment program


Brazil's government launched a $26bn port investment program on Thursday to reduce the high costs and notorious delays in shipping goods in and out of the major commodities exporter.The plan to modernize port infrastructure announced by President Dilma Rousseff seeks to increase investment in Brazil's ports through partnership with private companies.The bidding process that will open next year will favor tenders that offer the lowest tariffs for handling the greatest volume of cargo, moving away from a prior model of granting concessions to the highest bidder."Our objective is the greatest movement of cargo possible at the lowest possible cost," Rousseff said."We want to increase the efficiency of Brazilian ports with this partnership, which will make our exports more competitive and increase production," she said. "We want an explosion of investment through this partnership with the private sector."The bulk of the investment would be made between 2014 and 2017, Ports Minister Leonidas Cristino said.The ports slated for modernization include Santos, which is Latin America's largest port by value of goods moved, Rio de Janeiro, Paranagua, Porto Alegre, Espiritu Santo, Itaqui, Pecem and Suape. Rousseff said Brazil's ports handle 95% of Brazil's foreign trade. The country is the world's top exporter of coffee sugar and citrus and a major grains exporter. It is also one of the world's biggest exporters of iron ore used to make steel.

Thursday, July 5, 2012

NEWS,05.07.2012


European Central Bank cuts rates to new low

 

The European Central Bank cut its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point Thursday to a record low 0.75 percent to try to help ease Europe's financial crisis and boost its sagging economy.The action, which was widely expected, is meant to make it cheaper for businesses and consumers to borrow and spend money. But experts said that fear over the economy was so high in Europe that the cut might only have limited effect.In a more surprising move, the ECB cut the interest rate it pays banks on overnight deposits by a quarter percentage point to zero. This pushes banks to lend the money, rather than sock it away with the ECB.ECB President Mario Draghi said the eurozone economy would recover only gradually. Some of the risks foreseen from the debt crisis had already materialized, pushing the bank to act, he said.Analysts warned the rate cut might do little to jolt the eurozone economy back to life, however. Borrowing rates are already low, but businesses and households are not spending money because they are afraid of the economic outlook.Draghi said there is more the ECB could do to stimulate growth "we still have all our artillery ready" and that low inflation gives the bank more wiggle room. However, he suggested no further actions were imminent.Stock markets initially rose after the news, but the gains faded as investors worried about a slowdown in the global economy. Germany's DAX stock index fell 0.5 percent and the Dow 0.2 percent. The euro was down 1.1 percent at $1.2380."Today's ECB interest rate cut does little to alter the bleak economic outlook," said Jennifer McKeown, analyst at Capital Economics.She said the ECB is likely to now wait and see how the financial markets and the economy react to the rate cut and to the new emergency measures announced by European leaders last week.The leaders agreed to make it easier for troubled countries and banks to receive rescue loans from Europe's bailout fund and also signaled greater willingness to use emergency funds to purchase government bonds. The goal would be to drive down troubled countries' borrowing costs. They also agreed to create a single Europe-wide banking regulator to prevent bank bailouts from wrecking individual cuntries'government finances.Collectively, the moves sent a message to financial markets that leaders from the 17 countries that use the euro could work together to fix their problems. They also helped lower the high borrowing costs for financially stressed countries such as Italy and Spain, the euro region's third- and fourth-largest economies.Lending activity in the eurozone has remained weak because businesses are not asking for credit because of the slow economy and out of fear that the eurozone may suffer a further financial calamity. Concerns remain that bankrupt Greece could eventually leave the euro, causing more turmoil, or that Spain and Italy could need bailouts that would strain the resources of donor countries.Joerg Kraemer, chief economist at Commerzbank, said the cut wouldn't fix what was wrong. The reason the eurozone economy is weak is not because of "high ECB rates but because of uncertainty stemming from the sovereign debt crisis. This can't be cured by lower rates."The cut to the refinancing rate will give some further relief to banks by lowering the rate they pay on the €1 trillion in cheap emergency loans they took from the ECB Dec. 21 and Feb. 29, the bank's chief emergency measure. The rate on that money is the average refinancing rate over the life of the loan, which can be up to three years. Lower costs on that money means they can earn more when they use it to buy higher yielding investments such as gThe cut in the deposit rate is meant to push banks to stop using the ECB as a safe haven by parking money there overnight. Before the debt crisis exploded, banks would deposit about €50 billion with the ECB overnight. That ballooned as the crisis made banks wary of investing or lending money. On Wednesday, banks had placed €790 billion with the ECB overnight.There are other safe havens for banks to place their money government bonds of financially strong countries like Germany, for example. But a central bank is considered the ultimate safe haven since it can print money at will.The eurozone crisis has battered investor confidence for 2 ½ years. It has seen Greece, Ireland and Portugal need bailouts from the other eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund to keep paying their debts and covering their budget deficits. Spain has asked for as much as €100 billion in rescue loans for its banks.Earlier in the day, the central banks of China and Britain took action to stimulate their economies.The Bank of England decided to purchase another 50 billion pounds in government bonds from financial institutions. The hope is that the banks will use the extra cash to lend to businesses and households.China's central bank, meanwhile, cut interest rates for the second time in a month to shore up its economy, the second-largest in the world. Interest on a one-year loan was reduced by 0.31 percentage points to 6 percent effective Friday. Chinese authorities have rolled out a series of stimulus measures since March after economic growth slowed to a nearly three-year low of 8.1 percent in the first quarter.In the U.S., weak economic indicators have raised speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve may also have to do more to keep the U.S. economy growing. Some think the Fed might carry out a third round of bond purchases aimed at driving down interest rates on business and consumer loans.The Fed took more limited action at its meeting ending June 17, extending its so-called Operation Twist effort in which it sells short-term bonds and buys longer-dated issues to push down long term interest rates. The Fed meets next Aug. 1.

Friday, June 15, 2012

NEWS,15.06.2012.

Euro zone won't let Greece go easily - economist

 

If Greece leaves the euro zone it could send a signal to other struggling European economies they are better off leaving too economists says. As Greece heads to the polls this weekend, the world waits to see which way the population votes on austerity measures.But University economist Professor Christoph Schumacher says Greece is too big to fail.He that on top of the 1 trillion euros it will cost the region in the event of a Greek exit, it will send the wrong message to other struggling euro zone economies."Imagine Greece doing well leaving the euro zone - that would send the message to countries like Portugal, Spain, Italy that if we devalue our currency and boost our economy, I believe Greece might send the signal of the end of the euro," he said.Schumacher said he does not think the euro zone will allow Greece to leave easily.He said the people of Europe want to be united and will not let someone go just because they are struggling."But the solution with the austerity measures at the moment may not be the right way to go because it will not give Greece the chance to recover," Schumacher said.He has said so far austerity has not helped the Greek economy.According to Schumacher, in the past two years Greece's GDP has fallen by 20%, its unemployment has risen to 24%, and for people under 25 years old the unemployment rate is over 50%.And if it does leave, "the whole world will feel it", according to the economist."They already see the effects right The Official Cash Rate, said it is "monitoring Europe closely" and if things seriously deteriorated, would re-introduce liquidity facilities it made available during the global financial crisis.Schumacher said even if the socialist party wins the election, austerity measures will be challenged but they may not necessarily leave the euro zone.The mood in Greece Greeks are "pretty amped" about the election this weekend. The leaders of the pro and anti-austerity parties are holding rally."I guess it's really the last hurrah to fire up the base and get people to turn out,the event is a "bit of a black box" because no polling has been allowed days out from the election.


UK to flood banking system with 100b pounds

 

The UK government and central bank will flood Britain's banking system with more than 100 billion pounds ($155.43 billion), seeking to pump credit through an economy struggling to escape recession under the "black cloud" of the euro zone crisis.In his annual Mansion House policy speech to London financiers on Thursday, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said Britain would launch a scheme to provide cheap long-term funding to banks to encourage them to lend to businesses and consumers.He also said the bank would activate an emergency liquidity tool.Treasury officials said the government plan could support an estimated 80 billion pounds in new loans, while the central bank's separate scheme will provide monthly 5 billion pound tranches of six-month liquidity to banks.King said the case for pumping more money into the economy via further purchases of government bonds had increased as the outlook for the economy had worsened, although he again rejected calls for the central bank to buy private assets.King said the euro zone's woes were leading to a crisis of confidence in Britain which was leading to a self-reinforcing weaker picture of growth."The black cloud has dampened animal spirits so that businesses and households are battening down the hatches to prepare for the storms ahead," he said.Britain's action comes just before cliffhanger Greek elections this weekend that could determine the fate of the euro zone, as well as a meeting of the leaders of the world's major economies next week to find ways to tackle the currency bloc's crisis and spur the global economy.British finance minister George Osborne warned of the huge dangers from a collapse of the euro area. He again urged euro zone leaders to fix the crisis and said Britain was taking action to protect its own economy."We are not powerless in the face of the euro zone debt storm," Osborne said in his speech at Mansion House. "Together we can deploy new firepower to defend our economy from the crisis on our doorstep."Britain is still reeling from the 2007-2009 financial crisis that has left many Britons poorer and forced the country to bail out big banks with tens of billions of pounds of taxpayers' money.The government on Thursday announced a sweeping reform of bank regulations aimed at making financial institutions safer, and avoiding a re-run of the crisis which has pushed Britain into recession twice in the last four years.Cash boost Britain slid back into recession around the turn of this year, piling pressure on Osborne's embattled Conservative-led coalition government to come up with new ways to boost growth.The government has pinned its fortunes on a tough austerity plan of tax hikes and spending cuts to erase a budget deficit which still comes in at around 8% of GDP.Osborne defended his debt-cutting measures, arguing that they gave the Bank of England the leeway to keep monetary policy loose, and said there was still more the central bank could do.BoE Governor Mervyn King said the central bank would complement its quantitative easing asset purchase scheme with new steps to encourage bank lending and reduce their funding costs, which have rocketed as a result of the euro zone crisis.The BoE and finance ministry have designed a new scheme, to be launched in a few weeks, that would offer banks loans with a maturity of possibly 3-4 years at below current market rates.The loans would be made available on condition that banks increase their lending to businesses and households.In addition, the central bank will activate its Extended Collateral Term Repo facility, created in December, to provide six-month liquidity to banks against a wide range of collateral.King said now was the right time to activate the scheme, which is aimed at helping banks through phases of exceptional stress.King hinted that the central bank may also restart its QE programme, which it halted in May having bought 325 billion pounds of British government bonds, and countered accusations that the scheme had lost its effectiveness."With signs of a deterioration in the outlook, especially in world markets, the case for a further monetary easing is growing," King said.